Handicapping Trump’s Supreme Court pick


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Link here. The analysis is not only thoughtful, it is very entertaining. He also provides a lot of information about the people on Trump’s shortlist, while also admitting quite heartily that his prediction is worth nothing, based on the events of the last year.

Nonetheless, the data here once again suggests that, despite Trump’s past history as a moderate liberal Democrat, he is going to rule from a conservative perspective. At least, that is what it looks like, based on his list of possible Supreme Court nominees. We have of course no guarantee at this time whether he will stick with that shortlist.

8 comments

  • Cotour

    Related, Trump will now influence us all through the Supreme Court, and this is part of my ongoing therapy:

    Can you Trumpsplain that to me? The Russians.

    Trump, being sooo asymmetrical and unconventional in relation to most all other politicians that have been empowered with the presidency by the people of America in modern times needs interpretation. Not to be made excuses for but to be interpreted, he will certainly get himself and the country into tight spots with his style over time but long term I believe it will work out in a net positive fashion. His style and strategies can be very unsettling and confusing for many and it makes them nervous. This in actuality is his (and our) biggest asset.

    Whats up with Trump and the Russians?

    Several months ago as Wikileaks began to disseminate the actual and accurate confidential email communications from inside of the DNC and the Hillary Clinton campaign it became abundantly apparent to anyone who was following it that Clinton was going to be the candidate even though Bernie Sanders was making real inroads with his growing number of followers sickened by our ever corrupt and corrupting government. Sanders in reality was going nowhere and would soon be forced to get in line and stop his foolishness as per the strategy that was being executed by the Democrat party leadership. And that is exactly what he did. He was no one, going nowhere.

    Wikileaks was clearly displaying a preference for Trump over Clinton, but where were they getting all of these thousands of accurate inside emails that revealed their treachery? Did they not have any RNC email information? There is reasonable information that the inside DNC emails came from a young man working for the DNC as an information officer by the name of Seth Rich, who was gunned down at 4:00 am in Washington DC. He was supposedly shot while being robbed. Shot three times in the back with nothing taken from his person. Immediately after that incident Julian Assange curiously
    offered a $20 thousand dollar reward for any information in regards to his murder. It was reasonably assumed that Seth Rich was the source of Wikileaks DNC information, but where did the Clinton campaign email information come from? John Podesta? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder_of_Seth_Rich

    There is credible information that John Podesta was the victim of a Phishing scam in which he was tricked into resetting his pass word and thereby allowed access to all of his and others emails inside of the Clinton campaign, this included Hillary’s illegal email system. This mistake by Podesta was apparently a critical error. Who did this phishing and who provided it to Wikileaks? That’s a good question. It could have been the Russians or Russian arms length actors, but it could have been a host of other country’s or other actors as well, it could have been actors in our own NSA for that matter working against the Hillary machine. The point here is that the information was accurate and not edited in any way. None of the Democrats argued the accuracy of the emails. The truth in this instance was a hard biting bitch of transparency.

    What the Clinton campaign did with this hard hitting inside view into their lies and deceitful political activities when they began to understand that they were on the road to possibly losing the presidency was to begin to spin the story of the Russians “Hacking the election” and by extension created the suspicion that the voting machines themselves in the United States were hacked during the election. The first element of that last statement may well be true, the Russians or actors working for them may well have provided Wikileaks with the information, although Assange clearly says that they did not. But the second part is much, much more doubtful and has been established to be false, the voting machines in the individual states were not hacked in any way. Confusion and ignorance of the details is the politicians best friend.

    To ad to all of this the head of the CIA, James Clapper testifies that “the Russians did it”, but James Clapper is established to be a class “A” liar to Congress https://youtu.be/QwiUVUJmGjs. And also James Comey testifies to Congress that “the Russians did it”, but James Comey has certainly been revealed to not be an objective head of the FBI and a political actor as was revealed during his contortions during the 2016 election. Both of these men are no longer trustworthy actors as far as the American people go IMO.

    So how does this all filter through to the strategic “Trumpbrain” ? And how is he going to naturally / intuitively counter it and also use it to his benefit?

    Trump manufactures leverage and capital out of basically nothing, words and threats, and then uses that perceived leverage and capital later on in negotiations to his benefit. That is the simple equation that needs to be applied to Trump in order to understand his words and actions. It is a function of a freewheeling, practical savant type mind.

    So from my point of view Trump is actively attacking two of our enemy’s at the same time in this instance, both China and the Russians. Trump cozying up to the Russians, who the “New World Order” / “One World Government” types like Obama and Clinton have been pushing to the brink in order to realize their world wide Leftist / Socialist agendas, in order to begin to create a new alliance with the Russians. It is important to understand that these “New World Order” agendas that were begun by George Bush sr. have become the mortal enemy of the Russians and their sovereignty and have essentially forced Russia and China to become closer and in opposition to the United States and its agenda. This is strategically not good for the U.S., these actions have pushed both of our adversaries to join together to oppose us. Trumps actions serve to destabilize that new alliance, especially for the Chinese who are on a trajectory with their clearly stated agenda to dominate the world militarily. The Chinese are actively building their military forces as evidenced by their activities in the South China Sea and in building their air force and their blue water navy.

    So is it to the Russians interests for Trump to be the president of the United States rather than Clinton? IMO that’s a BIG FAT YES. But is it also in Americas interests that we reconnect with the Russians and pose a new threat to the Chinese? That’s is an even BIGGER AND FATTER YES, in my opinion. And that is what I see as Trumps over arching resulting strategy, whether clearly stated or not, and is how this entire thing lays out.

    We must also calculate into this equation the fact that the Democrats are now desperate to remain at some level of political consequence and so they, and the people who have been supporting this “New World Order” agenda, must craft some level of propaganda to use against Trump and his supporters. And so we have the “Russian Hacking Of The American Election”, which is a non truth. They may, or may not have provided the transparent view into the lies and deceit of DNC and Clinton emails to Wikileaks in some manner in order to influence the American voter, but they did not “hack” the election as some would like to be able to argue.

    So if the Russians did provide the emails to Wikileaks in some manner and they did attempt to influence the American voter that to me is a bit of a double edged sword. We on the one hand understand these activities because we / the CIA do them all of the time attempting to shape the world to our own purposes. We on the other hand understand that the Russians, if they did indeed actively attempt to influence our electorate, must pay some price for their actions. But from my position Hillary Clinton would have been a continuing “New World Order”, un American, sovereignty surrendering machine that we the American people could not for one minute continue to afford. So let Jan. 20th come and go and see where we find ourselves under the leadership of the “Trumpbrain” and the Trump administration, it will certainly if nothing else, be interesting. BIG TIME! JGL.

  • Cotour

    Who would have thunk it? New York and California are DEVELOPING as the centers of Trump resistance.

    http://www.politico.com/story/2017/01/trump-opposition-california-new-york-233321

    I would have never come up with that, how does the Politico do it?

  • Steve Earle

    Cotour said:
    “…That’s a good question. It could have been the Russians or Russian arms length actors, but it could have been a host of other country’s or other actors as well, it could have been actors in our own NSA for that matter working against the Hillary machine. The point here is that the information was accurate and not edited in any way. None of the Democrats argued the accuracy of the emails. The truth in this instance was a hard biting bitch of transparency….”

    Exactly. That is a great article Cotour, did you write it? Can I copy re/post it?

  • Cotour

    Yes I wrote that Steve, you can certainly share it if you like. I must admit that my thoughts just grew and grew on this subject, I did not realize that it grew to article level until I saw it posted. Thanks to the Zman for allowing it.

    I have said this before: Steve Earl, you are a wise man :)

    I think I will be “Trumpsplaining” a lot in the coming years.

  • Alex

    Not a perfect hit, but somewhat related, an importamt statefromt made by Stephen Bannon about Trump’s task:

    “This is not the French Revolution. They destroyed the basic institutions of their society and changed their form of government. What Trump represents is a restoration – a restoration of true American capitalism and a revolution against state-sponsored socialism. Elites have taken all the upside for themselves and pushed the downside to the working- and middle-class Americans.”

  • Cotour

    Alex, that’s a great Bannon quote, right to the heart of the matter, I believe that Trump alone is crazy (Read: savvy, ballsy, manipulative, visionary, forceful, asymmetrical / different think / problem solve capable, risk taking and most of all American enough) enough to actually get what needs to get done, done. And make no mistake, this must get done.

    This massive and almost impossible to accomplish task will benefit not only America and its Constitution and the American people but also the many other people and country’s around the world and benefit us and them far, far into the future. What kind of a person is capable of accomplishing such a task? A person like Trump, who I have pointed out long ago has many of the personal get done traits of many of the founders of this country.

    Paradigm changes do not come from the ordinary man or woman. I make a new analogy here, we can see this new administration as the dirty dozen, and Trump is Lee Marvin.

    https://youtu.be/3SsYyTijnu4 The perfect contemporary modern American political analogy.

    He has identified the guys that can get the job done that needs to get done and he alone MUST control them them and give them the cover to get it all accomplished.

  • Alex

    @Contour: Thank you for commenting. I think you hit also the nail. It is man as Trump, also called the “power-clown”, to arrive required changes. There are rumors that Trump can be one of the best US-Presidents ever.

  • Edward

    I listened to a little of Obama’s Good Riddance speech. He was telling us what terrible shape he has left the country in and was telling us what needs fixing after he was through mucking it all up, but he seems to be proud of mucking it all up. He has a list of messes that he is leaving Trump to inherit.

    For instance: “All of us, regardless of party, should throw ourselves into the task of rebuilding our democratic institutions.” He left us with the task of rebuilding our democratic institutions.

    Apparently, his style was not just to lead from his behind but to lead by bad example. His speech essentially said, “don’t do what I did. It leaves a broken mess that others have to clean up and fix.”

    One good thing, however. He left us with a warning against presidents and politicians like him. He informed us that the Constitution is a good document, but that it takes good people to ensure it is followed and not abused, like he abused it by using his pen and phone to go around the “negative liberties” that he previously said to describe the Constitution.

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