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Expect fewer and less violent protests should Trump win

Nazi brown shirts destroying Jewish businesses on Kristallnacht
No more American Kristallnachts

Based on recent events, I am willing to predict that we shall see much less violence than expected in the days after the election should Donald Trump win. And if those protests occur, they will mostly be concentrated in Democratic Party strongholds where the protesters feel reasonably confident they can get away with it.

I base this optimistic prediction on the trends we have been seeing. As I first noted in April 2024, the strength of these leftist protests has clearly lost steam in the last four years. While in 2020 the protests and looting and violence occurred almost everywhere, destroying many inner cities, in the last year those protests have mostly been confined to college campuses, and have resulted in relatively little damage in comparison.

The reasons have been two fold. First, the authorities, while still generally treating these protesters too gently, have still responded more aggressively. Violent protesters are now arrested. Some face prison terms. Faced with real consequences, this violent leftist protest movement can no longer get the same numbers to turn out.

Second, the protests and violence has declined because of the utter failure of these protests to work. If anything, the looting and destruction has convinced vast numbers of Americans to oppose the left and to now vote with even greater energy against the politicians who support it.

Thought trends have been obvious for months, recently we have had even more evidence that the protests and violence will be less should Trump win. And that evidence is striking.

First there was Trump’s rally in Madison Square Garden. You might not remember this, but during the 2016 campaign Trump attempted to hold a rally in downtown Chicago. In the end he had to cancel the event because of threats of violence from what appeared to be an organized effort by Democrats and leftist activists, bringing thousands of protests to surround the event and threaten anyone who entered or left.

Similar violence later occurred at other 2016 rallies, as well as in 2019, often resulting in Trump supporters being attacked and beaten.

Yet when Trump arranged his rally in Madison Square Garden in 2024, none of this happened. The security might have been better, but it appeared that the violent Antifa forces no longer had the ability to organize in large numbers. More important, they probably were unwilling to face a now enraged conservative electorate no longer willing to turn the other cheek.

Nor was the New York rally a one-off. Trump has held many rallies in deep-blue locations, with no problems. In this sense freedom of speech has returned to America.

Turning Point USA event at University of Nebraska October 8, 2024
Turning Point USA event at University of
Nebraska October 8, 2024

The second recent datapoint has been the pro-Trump voter rallies being held by Charlie Kirk and Turning Point USA on many academic campuses in 2024. In the past, if you dared to wear a MAGA hat on an American campus you would have almost certainly been harassed and attacked. Thus, no one would do so. For years when polled privately conservatives on campuses admitted that they had to keep their mouths shut for fear of attacks and violence.

In the 2024 campaign Turning Point USA could not only hold pro-Trump events on campuses nationwide, handing out hundreds and hundreds of MAGA hats while registering many voters, the students flocked to the events in the thousands, and came away wearing those hats quite confidently. Without doubt some were later harassed on campus, but that they were wearing the hats and unafraid to gather suggests that much of the steam has gone out of the leftist campus movement of violence and intimidation.

Thus, based on this anecdotal evidence, I am willing to bet that the violence expected post-election day, should Trump win, will be relatively minor. We might see some looting and riots and violence in DC and in Oregon and Washington and California, but for the rest of the country, things will instead be celebratory and in fact quite joyous.

What will happen however in the next few months leading up to Trump’s inauguration remains unknown. Rather than violent mob protests, we should instead be prepared for more focused violence, such as additional assassination attempts against Trump, done by lone individuals who might very well be getting support from elsewhere.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon. from any other book seller, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


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"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

19 comments

  • Ray Van Dune

    “Based on recent events, I am willing to predict that we shall see much less violence than expected in the days after the election should Donald Trump win.”

    This seems counterintuitive, based on the higher propensity for violence on the part of the left than the right.

  • ON ELECTION DAY

    “On election day going through the various news items as I do most days, I came across this inspiring observation and quote from the great political, legal and rabid media Constitutional scholar from the View: Whoopi Goldberg.”

    https://www.sigma3ioc.com/post/on-election-day-2024

  • sippin_bourbon

    I am not predicting anything. Or counting on anything.

    Heck, tomorrow we could be staring at internet new stories about how Kamala got a record breaking 90 million votes, and how dare anyone question it…

  • John

    I hope you’re right. I’d almost expect state-sponsored violence given the melt down that will occur if Trump wins.

    I am sure there will be a mental health crisis- they believe the hitler and end of democracy rhetoric.

    Also, it’s the end of the beginning of election season, GO VOTE.

  • wayne

    “A Psychological Analysis of the Personality Traits of Donald Trump & His X-Men of Coalition of Supporters”
    Dr. Jordan Peterson October 24, 2024
    https://youtu.be/K8o6n-AVqMw
    57:24

  • I think the Democrat Party has called off its brownshirts so far because it didn’t look good and also because they are sure they have the “Cheat” to win assured.

    Robert mentioned that there may be more attempts to assassinate Trump if he wins (and even if he doesn’t win in my opinion). If they succeed in doing this, the Democrats will contend that since Kamala came in second she should accede to the Office of President rather than J. D. Vance moving up.

  • wayne

    Mark me down as not willing to predict we shall see much less violence than expected if Trump wins.
    Today is just the first hurdle, there’s plenty of time for the left to completely melt down.

  • sippin_bourbon

    BillB

    They can claim whatever they want.
    The Constitution is clear on that matter.

  • “Robert mentioned that there may be more attempts to assassinate Trump if he wins (and even if he doesn’t win in my opinion). If they succeed in doing this, the Democrats will contend that since Kamala came in second she should accede to the Office of President rather than J. D. Vance moving up.”

    You could propose / argue that even if Trump was not here up to and after he prevails that he has so drastically transformed the political landscape and game in American politics and has forced the Left to define themselves and the Right to redefine itself that he has achieved Incon status and is now the symbol of a new political movement in America.

    Trump the American political Icon, Trump the re-founder!

    https://www.sigma3ioc.com/post/refounding-or-death

  • sippin_bourbon

    I should have been clearer. I was speaking about the time period from the election finally being decided till the electors vote and then the Congress certifies the electors vote. And secondly the Democrats don’t give a flip about what the Constitution states as they only want Power. (Article II, Section 1, Paragraph 3)

  • David Eastman

    BlackBloc Antifa are already trying to riot in Seattle, and the police shut it down hard before it got beyond a small crowd. There were arrests, but I would be surprised at actual prosecutions. There are rumblings that Portland Antifa is trying to get themselves motivated to go cause chaos, but I haven’t heard of any actual action yet. It seems that, like in Seattle, the police here are not interested in letting anything get out of hand, they want to shut it down fast, and who cares if the DA lets them go, as long as they prevented big ugly riots from getting on the news.

  • Jeff Wright

    Obama had a charisma that Kamala lacked–she as a prosecutor sent a lot of folks up the river, so she earned no loyalty from criminals.

    Had I been on Kamala’s payroll–I would have told her to talk about Jan 6 pardons–how I wanted to be Prez of all Americans…I would have went to coal country and said America needs miners…that rare Earths are needed even if all coal vanished—and above all–I would push for Kelly to be VP.

    Biden ducked out so late in the game that a lot of oppo research went out the door.

  • pzatchok

    Jeff
    Kamala is a grown woman please do not manspane to her and tell her what to do.(src)

    The left made Trump.
    During his very first run they filled the airwaves with everything about him. They ignored all the other primary candidate. They gave him billions in free airtime.
    Then when he became the candidate they attacked him. They attacked him on everything and pretty much ignored the democrat candidate. They again gave him billions in free airtime.
    Then after he was elected legally they again attacked him. First about not having a mandate and the popular/majority vote The left couldn’t just leave it alone they started to attack everyone who voted for him calling them every foul name in the book.
    Guess who is tired of it?

    For the last 4 years there has been a question about Bidens mental health. But the left actively ignored it. Yes we the right questioned it even before he was elected. Why did he hide in his basement if not because of that?

    Kamala because of Bidens problems has essentially been in charge for the last 2 years, And if she has not been in charge who exactly is in charge now? If the administration in Washington(those people really running the country) didn’t think she was good enough to run the country two years ago why should we think she is good enough now?

    During the whole Biden administration hundreds of normal citizens have been prosecuted for trespassing. Jailed for trespassing. Bankrupted for trespassing. More Americans have been separated from their families then those illegals from south of the border. The Illegals families can always go back over the border and join their criminal family members.

    The left during this election attacked black men for not voting for Kamala. A rather racist and un American thing to do. Imagine the outrage if the right ran around attacking white people for not voting all white. Using race for any reason is sick.

    Enough of my rant for today.

    If you want to see why Kamala lost just watch todays episode of The View. They refused to say Trumps name and blamed white women for not voting for Kamala. They never once even thought Kamala could have just been a bad candidate.
    Even CBS admitted that if she was announced the candidate a year ago(Why????) she would have had a better chance.
    Her whole campaign was Trump bad and abortion good. Ignore everything else.

    Trump spoke to EVERYONE the same way with the same message. Thats why Latinos and Blacks voted for him. He treated them just like he treated whites. He treated them like Americans. Its noticeable how equally he treats everyone.

  • pzatchok

    Its now 130 eastern time.

    Where is Kamala?
    Is she hiding?
    Is she throwing a fit?
    Is she walking around all mad expecting men to understand why?
    Is she looking for a way to invalidate the election?

    She couldn’t even be enough of a leader(man enough) to announce her loss and congratulate the winner.

    At this point she should just stay hidden.

  • pzatchok

    Oh and as for riots.

    Wait for Trump to take office.
    It always happens to republicans.
    As soon as they are in office the homeless become a problem. Drug addicts become a problem. SS is in trouble. Crime is now a problem.

    Give it 6 months till the “problems” start and then just before the next midterms the riots will begin again.

  • pzatchok

    Just found out through Fox news that She supposedly called Trump and talked about a peaceful transition.( The left thinks the right will riot)

    She is supposedly going to address the nation at 4 pm est.(12 hours late for me)

  • Jeff Wright

    I worked all day yesterday and missed everything.

    Polls are useless things.

    Luntz needs to get a real job.

  • Alex Andrite

    7 Nov 2024
    The people have the government they deserve.

    WE The People !
    …whew…

    A.

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