I spoke with an HR person that was telling me how they would turn applicants away, because they did not have an SSN or Workers Visa.. It was a dead give away that they were not in the US legally.

An hour later, same person shows up with an SSN. There was no way to track it. (This was a while ago). They knew it was probably take or stolen, but the law in that State at the time did not allow them to call LE to investigate.

So while on the face, tying to SSN sounds okay, it’s really not that reliable.

Every vote should be connected to your SSN.
Not to track who you voted for bet to instantly track if you have voted.

Attendance at rallies may not be as useful as it may seem. Shortly before the 2012 election, Romney was getting huge crowds at his rallies, but he lost. Trump got huge crowds in 2016 while Clinton got nice crowds, yet Clinton had more votes (but fewer Electors). This week, Trump still has huge crowds while Biden got a dozen cars (6 feet of social distancing between cars, go figure), yet we can expect that the voting will be far closer than this huge difference in rally attendance suggests.

What will really matter is the amount of cheating that the Democrats are able to perform during the election.

“In the end however the only poll that will matter will be the actual vote, on November 3rd.”

Already we are hearing about thousands of ballots being found in dumpsters, sometimes all of which were filled out as Trump votes. Project Veritas has exposed that Democrats have teams available to “harvest” Democrat ballots in locations where harvesting is legal, but in this case they are paying voters money to pre-sign their ballots and giving them to the teams for filling out the votes as necessary in order to change votes in certain precincts or counties from Republican wins to Democrat wins. We already saw this happen in Minnesota with the Al Franken election to the Senate — a bunch of ballots were “found” in the trunk of a car, votes almost exclusively for Franken.

We have also known that for years or decades Democrats have bussed people from polling place to polling place in order to vote early and vote often. They are told who to say that they are. This type of voting has been known for a century and can be seen in the movie “The Great McGinty.”

The problem is not the polls, it is the corruption. The Party is corrupt, but it has on its side a corrupt news media and entertainment industry. It looks like the U.S. Postal Service may also be corrupted, yet we depend upon it for absentee ballots and many states now rely upon it for mail-in voting, where in-person voting is either nonexistent or discouraged. Add to all this that the U.S. government and perhaps several state governments have taken sides during elections. The poll on November 3rd is hardly trustworthy.

What kind of country has an election system that is so untrustworthy, biased, and corrupted?

I hope that this will happen, but with vote by mail, I believe that the Democratic party intends upon winning and will do whatever is needed to win. Mail in ballots and legal challenges make November 3rd doubtful…

Of course, it’s also worth noting that Trump is running slightly ahead of 2016 in the battleground states. By election day, Trump and Clinton were essentially tied in the electoral college according to the same polls. So we may have to just wait for the final numbers in a few weeks. The national polls may match the actual voting almost perfectly, the same as they did in 2016.

The sad fact is that polls are not conducted to reflect reality, but to create a reality. (The polling about the Gay Rights issues early this century is an especially blatant example. Gay sex just isn’t something most people perseverate about, and the legal ramifications are of it are of even less general interest.)

Something a bit over a quarter-century ago, I was in college pursuing a Geol/Geog double major, and took a class called “Human Geography” that vaguely billed itself as studying migration and settlement patterns. I recall thinking it odd that it had Statistics as a prereq, and that none of the other Geog majors seemed to have taken it. But it was a break from GeolE, and seemed like good worldbuilding fodder…
If you haven’t guessed, it was a masterclass in selecting a “random sample” that would return whatever result the organization paying for the poll wanted.
It was the single most cynical thing I’ve ever encountered.
(Naturally, there was a Psych counterpart, I believe it was more about “selling” the results than skewing questions, but I didn’t want to investigate further.)
Every poll I’ve looked into since then has raised red flags. The little bit of methodology they provide to the public inevitably screams manipulation.

The fact today is that there is no democrat party anymore. There are only socialists and communists on the left working as hard as they can to destroy America. It is hard for me the believe that they could get anymore corrupt than they are now.

What impressed me most was the reactions of people along the route. Folks were out on porches, carports, garages and some even standing out in the rain to wave their own signs, flags and/or hands as the caravan past. I’ll never forget one young family standing among their yard signs, with the girls literally jumping up and down as we honked past. The overall enthusiasm was something I never saw in 2016. Perhaps back then there was reluctance to admit support for Trump. This time, I have seen the exact opposite.

We all agreed the weather dampened turnout, but I heard no complaints. As one lady put it, “If it was raining on Election Day, would that stop you from voting?” So I don’t put too much faith in polls. I look at all the smiling faces at the rallies and see the hope in their eyes. That gives me hope for the future.

So ignore the daily media/poll barrage which is far more about trying to shape rather than unbiasedly determine and report on public sentiment. Like you say, life is short, so go read another essay on BTB, or re-watch an Evening Pause you especially liked, or get out for a walk around the block. As Terri Clark says, we’ve got better things to do : )

Day to day polling, even 3 weeks out from an election, is simply a naval gazing waste of time.

My humble opinion anyway.

I emphasize “make it a true second political choice”. with the addition – For a country which wishes to stay democratic.

At the same time media shouted that Hillary Clinton would win with 85% probability. I went with the data and won a bet for the first time in my life. Perhaps it is different this time, but I will hold my bets until the last few days and keep an eye on the relevant polling results. The betting odds is not a predictor but a profit opportunity.