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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

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Airbus wins contract to build lander for Europe’s long delayed ExoMars Franklin rover

Low resolution cropped section of map
Geology map for Franklin landing site. Click for
original image. Click here for original article.

The European Space Agency (ESA) late yesterday announced that it has awarded Airbus a $194 million contract to build the lander that will place Europe’s long delayed ExoMars Franklin rover on the Martian surface, replacing the Russian lander that became unavailable when the ESA/Russian partnership ended after Russia invaded the Ukraine in 2022.

Airbus announced late March 28 (Eastern time) that it was selected by ESA and Thales Alenia Space, the prime contractor for the mission, to build the landing platform for that rover mission, scheduled to launch in 2028.

The landing platform is the part of the ExoMars spacecraft that handles the final phases of its descent to the Martian surface in 2030, including performing the final landing burn. After landing, the platform will deploy ramps to allow the ExoMars rover, named Rosalind Franklin, to roll onto the Martian surface.

This project was first begun in the early 2010s, with a launch date targeting 2018. Initially a partnership between ESA and NASA, Obama canceled all American participation in 2012. Russia picked up the slack, but then the mission had numerous technical problems that caused it to miss first that 2018 launch window, and then 2020 window as well. Then, just months before launch in 2022, Russia invaded the Ukraine, resulting in Europe ending all its partnership deals with Russia.

The mission is now working to launch in the 2028 window. We shall see if it can meet that date.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

3 comments

  • Richard M

    Eric Berger also has an article up today about this development. There’s nothing new here; it is just a recap of ExoMars’ history — useful if you’re not familiar with its long and convoluted history.

    Eric opines: “The Trump administration is poised to push NASA’s exploration program to focus on Mars, and that will likely entail sending SpaceX Starships to the red planet with increasing frequency. SpaceX is aiming for the 2026 launch window for Mars and certainly will be targeting one or more Starships for late 2028. Will NASA, citing redundancy with Starship missions, pull the plug on ExoMars again? With ExoMars, the only certainty is to expect the unexpected.”
    https://arstechnica.com/space/2025/03/four-different-rockets-three-landers-and-two-decades-will-exomars-ever-launch/

    Berger is increasingly hostile to the administration and Elon’s involvement with it (check out his BlueSky feed, where he clearly feels more uninhibited) but maybe it’s not *totally* paranoid to wonder about NASA’s funding commitment to ExoMars. After all, it was the Obama Administration pulling out of it abruptly in 2012 that left ESA holding the bag the first time around — we’ve been to this rodeo before. But Jared Isaacman gets a vote, and given some of his past comments I would be very surprised if he would be happy seeing this modest commitment deep-sixed.

  • Dick Eagleson

    I think it’s fair to say all NASA projects are now on the bubble at least until Isaacman is sworn in.

    But I think that while the future of ExoMars is most likely to be unconnected budgetarily to whatever Elon plans to do anent Mars, its overall fate will still be influenced by whatever he manages to do between now and 2026. Elon seems pretty eager to put the pedal to the metal on his Mars efforts, but the notion of sending at least one – and possibly several – cargo-only Starships, crewed by Optimus robots, to Mars in 2026 is still, in my view, a project with a probability above 50% of proving doable. To maximize that probability, though, means keeping NASA involvement as minimal as possible – most preferably zero – as NASA involvement always introduces delays. If there is no NASA money/involvement in SpaceX’s initial Mars efforts then there can be no adverse budgetary impact on any NASA decision anent ExoMars.

    That said, it remains an open question as to how much actual incremental science value there is to be had from ExoMars as opposed to a project of some other kind costing the same amount of NASA cash. Given the new target departure date for ExoMars, the answer to this question certainly could prove to be heavily influenced by whether or not Elon actually gets off a 2026 Mars maiden effort. If he does, that would presage a far larger effort in the 2028-9 window that might even include human crew. Even just a larger Optimus-crewed effort then – or an initial one if 2026 proves a miss – would raise serious questions about ExoMars’s cost-effectiveness, especially if Curiosity and Perseverance are both still chugging along.

  • Richard M

    Hello Dic,

    I think the argument for the ExoMars participation is largely political. We (Obama) stiffed them hard in 2012, as I said; and after the Ukraine War forced them to hit the ejector seat on Roscosmos, they were in a tough spot, and it is probably fairly cheap diplomacy to help ’em.

    Not that ExoMars won’t produce worthwhile science (it should); but I don’t think that was the sole motivation for NASA. Also, it will end up going to a location that is sure to retain Cat IVb classification (i.e., no Starships).

    To maximize that probability, though, means keeping NASA involvement as minimal as possible – most preferably zero – as NASA involvement always introduces delays.

    VSECOTSPE had a thoughtful idea on this a few months back. If Trump really wants a “sanctioned” SpaceX venture to Mars before he leaves office, have NASA issue a Space Act RFP for a cargo demonstration to the Martian surface, to launch by the 2028 launch window, with some appropriate minimum payload requirement (50 tons or whatever) with mission architecture and design left entirely to the bidder, for a nominal award and use of the DSN; let their boffins cook up whatever science packages they want to stick on it, with an understanding of the risk involved. It wouldn’t put lives at risk, and it would allow a NASA involvement that is minimally intrusive, while still giving Trump something to crow about.

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