Amazon picks rocket startup ABL to launch 1st two prototype Kuiper satellites
Capitalism in space: Amazon has chosen the smallsat startup rocket company ABL to launch its first two prototype Kuiper satellites, with that launch targeted for ’22.
KuiperSat-1 and KuiperSat-2 will reach orbit via the RS1, a new rocket developed by California-based ABL Space Systems. Amazon also announced today that it has signed a multi-launch deal with ABL to provide these early Project Kuiper launches.
The 88-foot-tall (27 meters) RS1 is capable of launching 2,975 pounds (1,350 kilograms) of payload to LEO, according to its ABL specifications page. ABL is charging $12 million for each launch of the two-stage rocket. The RS1 has not flown yet, but ABL has said that it aims to conduct a debut launch from Alaska’s Pacific Spaceport Complex before the end of 2021.
Earlier this year, Amazon announced that it had signed a deal with United Launch Alliance (ULA), whose Atlas V rocket will loft operational Project Kuiper craft on nine different launches.
Does anyone notice what rocket company has not won these contracts, even though its owner is also Amazon’s founder and biggest shareholder? That’s right, as far as I can tell, Blue Origin’s New Glenn rocket has apparently not won any contracts to launch Amazon’s Kuiper satellites. Notice also that the deal with ULA uses its Atlas-5 rocket, not its new Vulcan rocket, even though ULA wants Vulcan to replace the Atlas-5 beginning in ’22.
Since both New Glenn and Vulcan depend on Blue Origin’s troubled BE-4 rocket engine, these contracts strongly suggest that the engine’s technical problems have not yet been solved, and that neither rocket will be flying in ’22 as both companies have promised.
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Capitalism in space: Amazon has chosen the smallsat startup rocket company ABL to launch its first two prototype Kuiper satellites, with that launch targeted for ’22.
KuiperSat-1 and KuiperSat-2 will reach orbit via the RS1, a new rocket developed by California-based ABL Space Systems. Amazon also announced today that it has signed a multi-launch deal with ABL to provide these early Project Kuiper launches.
The 88-foot-tall (27 meters) RS1 is capable of launching 2,975 pounds (1,350 kilograms) of payload to LEO, according to its ABL specifications page. ABL is charging $12 million for each launch of the two-stage rocket. The RS1 has not flown yet, but ABL has said that it aims to conduct a debut launch from Alaska’s Pacific Spaceport Complex before the end of 2021.
Earlier this year, Amazon announced that it had signed a deal with United Launch Alliance (ULA), whose Atlas V rocket will loft operational Project Kuiper craft on nine different launches.
Does anyone notice what rocket company has not won these contracts, even though its owner is also Amazon’s founder and biggest shareholder? That’s right, as far as I can tell, Blue Origin’s New Glenn rocket has apparently not won any contracts to launch Amazon’s Kuiper satellites. Notice also that the deal with ULA uses its Atlas-5 rocket, not its new Vulcan rocket, even though ULA wants Vulcan to replace the Atlas-5 beginning in ’22.
Since both New Glenn and Vulcan depend on Blue Origin’s troubled BE-4 rocket engine, these contracts strongly suggest that the engine’s technical problems have not yet been solved, and that neither rocket will be flying in ’22 as both companies have promised.
Readers!
Every February I run a fund-raising drive during my birthday month. This year I celebrate my 72nd birthday, and hope and plan to continue writing and posting on Behind the Black for as long as I am able.
I hope my readers will support this effort. As I did in my November fund-raising drive, I am offering autographed copies of my books for large donations. Donate $250 and you can have a choice of the hardback of either Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8 or Conscious Choice: The origins of slavery in America and why it matters today and for our future in outer space. Donate $200 and you can get an autographed paperback copy of either.
Please consider supporting my work here at Behind the Black. My analysis of space, politics, and culture, taken from the perspective of an historian, is almost always on the money and ahead of the game. For example, in 2020 I correctly predicted that the COVID panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Every one of those 2020 conclusions has turned out right.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are four ways of doing so:
1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.
2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
3. A Paypal Donation or subscription:
4. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652
You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.
…and that neither rocket will be flying in ’22 as both companies have promised.
It is pretty well known that New Glenn won’t be flying in ’22, but that would be a very serious delay for ULA. Space Force won’t wait forever and there are plenty of newcomers chomping at the bit to be given a chance to supplant the Vulcan. At what point does ULA start looking for a viable Plan-B to the BE-4.
“Plan B” may not be the best way to characterize what ULA needs right now….
Man, I feel so bad right now for Tony Bruno. He bet his whole company on the BE-4, and he must be sweating bullets.
USSF-67 is the third U.S. national security launch to be added to the Falcon Heavy’s crowded 2022 manifest
https://spacenews.com/falcon-heavy-could-launch-three-u-s-space-force-missions-in-2022/
SpaceX just picked up another Falcon Heavy launch for 2022. That’s a total of 4 Falcon Heavy launches scheduled for next year — three for Space Force and one commercial/NASA. The way things are going, by 2023 both Boeing with Starliner and ULA with Vulcan will have dug themself so deeply into holes, they may never be able to keep up.
“Scott M.
November 2, 2021 at 7:29 am
Man, I feel so bad right now for Tony Bruno. He bet his whole company on the BE-4, and he must be sweating bullets.”
That’s capitalism, most companies go bust. But the genius of capitalism is that it allows resources to be deployed to companies with better ideas
Col Beausabre, I agree whole-heartedly with your assessment of how capitalism should work. But I still feel for Bruno because, as the CEO, he had a choice and at the moment appears to have picked the wrong one. I hope to be proven wrong.
Scott M., I am curious, what choices do you think Tony Bruno had, besides BE-4?
1. I ruled out teaming with SpaceX, because his competition would have him by the throat. But then again, BO is a competitor but perhaps not one he took seriously? Then why use their engine?
2. Another possibility is “build your own”, but perhaps Tony didn’t see ULA as a maker of engines?
3. Another foreign engine could have run into the same problems as the RD-180.
What other options were there – just asking.
Ray Van Dune asked: “I am curious, what choices do you think Tony Bruno had, besides BE-4?”
ULA chose Blue Origin’s BE-4 engine over Aerojet Rocketdyne’s AR-1 engine. These two engines were contending to be the Vulcan booster stage engines:
https://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/why-ula-picked-blue-origins-engine-over-aerojet-rocketdyne/
Robert’s analysis:
Edward, thanks for answering my question. I immediately asked myself if ULA’s choice of BO didn’t put them at just as much risk as the AR-1, but I will read Bob’s article first!
Ray Van Dune: Edward once again demonstrated that you have right in front of you a space resource that will almost always answer such questions. All you need to do is use the search box on Behind the Black. If it happened in the past eleven years in space, I will have certainly reported on it, with the relevant links in my posts.
Bob, this is not a snarky comment: can you suggest the search criteria that one could have used? I thought first of doing a search, but had trouble framing the question.
Ray Van Dune: Searches on BtB work better if you keep the search simple. For this search I would type BE-4 and ULA, at the most. Or BE-4 and Aerojet. Try both.
Ray Van Dune and Robert,
I had used “BE-4 ULA Vulcan”. I got a lot of hits and had to go back a few years. My success was due to knowing the answer already (Except I couldn’t remember whether it was the RL-1, but I was certain it wasn’t the RL-10) and just needed to find the BtB article announcing the decision.
On Duck Duck Go, I just now asked the question: “What engines did ULA choose from for Vulcan?” and this came up:
https://duckduckgo.com/?q=What+engines+did+ULA+choose+from+for+Vulcan%3F&t=h_&ia=web
In the article at the top of the list, a BtB posting, Robert notes that the AR1 was 18 to 24 months behind the BE-4 development. It looks like conditions changed quickly, once the BE-4 was chosen.
Edward: That search you did on DuckDuckGo was gratifying to me, in that not only was BtB at the top, a second BtB post was about six down. My web searches are not normally for this kind of information (I get that at my own site), so I was surprised at your result.