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	Comments on: China accelerates its schedule for its upcoming Moon/Mars missions while admitting its lunar base will take longer	</title>
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	<link>https://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/china-accelerates-its-schedule-for-its-upcoming-moon-mars-missions-while-admitting-its-lunar-base-will-take-longer/</link>
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		<title>
		By: Jeff Wright		</title>
		<link>https://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/china-accelerates-its-schedule-for-its-upcoming-moon-mars-missions-while-admitting-its-lunar-base-will-take-longer/#comment-1580704</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jeff Wright]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 26 Apr 2025 21:39:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://behindtheblack.com/?p=113646#comment-1580704</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I liked the LESA concept--but it died the moment a perfectly good HLLV was killed so some tiled monstrosity with the illusion of cost reduction took its place...and America looks to repeat that mistake.

Besides, what is really needed is automation.

The Teslabot may wind up of greater utility than Starship even if the latter can be made to work.

Space funding is uncertain--be it public or private. Folks get entirely distracted with where funds come from.

A good, self-replicating system that can remain in operation should be the goal. 

Then even if NASA and SpaceX both went under, America still gets a Moonbase and all you need is a ride to get you there.

Freitas wrote about such a SRS...before we had widespread 3D printing.

How nice it would be to see a Moonbase build itself--with Greens on the left and moon-hoax-believers powerless to stop it. No more stroking egos of politicians or vulture capitalists.

And from China&#039;s perspective--they could spawn all kinds of Frankensteinian abominations with a biotech base that would make Weyland Yutani look like boy scouts.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I liked the LESA concept&#8211;but it died the moment a perfectly good HLLV was killed so some tiled monstrosity with the illusion of cost reduction took its place&#8230;and America looks to repeat that mistake.</p>
<p>Besides, what is really needed is automation.</p>
<p>The Teslabot may wind up of greater utility than Starship even if the latter can be made to work.</p>
<p>Space funding is uncertain&#8211;be it public or private. Folks get entirely distracted with where funds come from.</p>
<p>A good, self-replicating system that can remain in operation should be the goal. </p>
<p>Then even if NASA and SpaceX both went under, America still gets a Moonbase and all you need is a ride to get you there.</p>
<p>Freitas wrote about such a SRS&#8230;before we had widespread 3D printing.</p>
<p>How nice it would be to see a Moonbase build itself&#8211;with Greens on the left and moon-hoax-believers powerless to stop it. No more stroking egos of politicians or vulture capitalists.</p>
<p>And from China&#8217;s perspective&#8211;they could spawn all kinds of Frankensteinian abominations with a biotech base that would make Weyland Yutani look like boy scouts.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Richard M		</title>
		<link>https://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/china-accelerates-its-schedule-for-its-upcoming-moon-mars-missions-while-admitting-its-lunar-base-will-take-longer/#comment-1580341</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Richard M]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Apr 2025 04:02:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://behindtheblack.com/?p=113646#comment-1580341</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[&lt;blockquote&gt;My whole point is where need a large aerospace industry of MANY companies with MANY ideas and MANY products of all kinds, competing with each other for profit. Starship and Blue Moon are merely a start.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

And I agree: We *are* going to need all of that for a long-term sustained presence on the Moon.

But my point was more limited:

1. Starship and even Blue Moon will have the *lift capacity* and operation at scale to bring what is needed for a base (or bases). What that capacity would be lifting is another story!

2. But even in the short term, Starship HLS is supposed to have up to 1100 cubic meters of pressurized volume. That&#039;s actually more than the ISS has, and more than the LESA base that NASA was looking at for Apollo Applications. A single Starship HLS could effectively function as a (small) base, if you really wanted to. 

(Now, is that desirable? A discussion worth having! But I am merely pointing out raw capabilities.)

I admit, I&#039;m in a bit of a hurry. I&#039;d like to see these things happen whilst I am still among the living -- even if that means having it happen with NASA playing a somewhat larger role than I might prefer. But I&#039;m selfish that way.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>My whole point is where need a large aerospace industry of MANY companies with MANY ideas and MANY products of all kinds, competing with each other for profit. Starship and Blue Moon are merely a start.</p></blockquote>
<p>And I agree: We *are* going to need all of that for a long-term sustained presence on the Moon.</p>
<p>But my point was more limited:</p>
<p>1. Starship and even Blue Moon will have the *lift capacity* and operation at scale to bring what is needed for a base (or bases). What that capacity would be lifting is another story!</p>
<p>2. But even in the short term, Starship HLS is supposed to have up to 1100 cubic meters of pressurized volume. That&#8217;s actually more than the ISS has, and more than the LESA base that NASA was looking at for Apollo Applications. A single Starship HLS could effectively function as a (small) base, if you really wanted to. </p>
<p>(Now, is that desirable? A discussion worth having! But I am merely pointing out raw capabilities.)</p>
<p>I admit, I&#8217;m in a bit of a hurry. I&#8217;d like to see these things happen whilst I am still among the living &#8212; even if that means having it happen with NASA playing a somewhat larger role than I might prefer. But I&#8217;m selfish that way.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Edward		</title>
		<link>https://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/china-accelerates-its-schedule-for-its-upcoming-moon-mars-missions-while-admitting-its-lunar-base-will-take-longer/#comment-1580321</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Edward]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Apr 2025 02:21:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://behindtheblack.com/?p=113646#comment-1580321</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[&lt;strong&gt;Robert Zimmerman&lt;/strong&gt;, 
&lt;strong&gt;Richard M &lt;/strong&gt;may not be too far off.  Starship can start a lunar base by bringing heavy equipment, and Blue Moon can be an early manned lander.  Sacrificing a couple of cargo Starships can give us a start on the lunar base while our current space station companies adapt their designs for use as better-built parts of the lunar base.  Vulcan and Neutron could conceivably haul supplies and light equipment to the base (via someone&#039;s lander).  I&#039;m fairly sure that we can get a reasonable start with what we have coming online in the next half decade, and this start should encourage a large number of other companies to get into the lunar business, too, by finding even more efficient methods of getting to and from the Moon than we have now.  

Meanwhile, NASA can show the world what commercial space stations can do as the agency rents them for a few months at a time.  Unfortunately, the Gateway lunar space station does not seem to be designed for any purpose other than a way-station for voyages to the Moon, so if the commercial space companies bypass it, then Gateway has no clear use.  

Sorry, &lt;strong&gt;Jeff Wright, &lt;/strong&gt;but the problem with SLS is its inefficiency.  That is why so many other launch vehicles are doing so much better than SLS, and why it is not a real part of the lunar equation.  Or any equation, for that matter.  

About a decade ago, I saw this decade, the 2020s, as potentially being exciting, with the prospect of Bigelow commercial space stations kept busy by commercial spacecraft, lunar landings, both manned and unmanned, and maybe even a dragon voyage to Mars (unmanned lander, manned flyby and return to Earth).  Similar things are happening, but somewhat later than I had expected.  Next decade, the 2030s, should be even more exciting, with manned missions to Mars, with the intent of colonization -- an even better plan than Mars One.  

NASA needs to keep on the ball if it is going to keep up with the commercial space community.  SpaceX already has plans for a manned Mars and is building hardware not only to get there but to colonize the planet.  They are way ahead of NASA in this way.  Blue Origin has shown an interest in lunar landers for half a decade, when it unveiled its Blue Moon idea.  NASA, meanwhile, is still getting over the malaise that Obama put it in when he set it adrift with no meaningful missions.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Robert Zimmerman</strong>,<br />
<strong>Richard M </strong>may not be too far off.  Starship can start a lunar base by bringing heavy equipment, and Blue Moon can be an early manned lander.  Sacrificing a couple of cargo Starships can give us a start on the lunar base while our current space station companies adapt their designs for use as better-built parts of the lunar base.  Vulcan and Neutron could conceivably haul supplies and light equipment to the base (via someone&#8217;s lander).  I&#8217;m fairly sure that we can get a reasonable start with what we have coming online in the next half decade, and this start should encourage a large number of other companies to get into the lunar business, too, by finding even more efficient methods of getting to and from the Moon than we have now.  </p>
<p>Meanwhile, NASA can show the world what commercial space stations can do as the agency rents them for a few months at a time.  Unfortunately, the Gateway lunar space station does not seem to be designed for any purpose other than a way-station for voyages to the Moon, so if the commercial space companies bypass it, then Gateway has no clear use.  </p>
<p>Sorry, <strong>Jeff Wright, </strong>but the problem with SLS is its inefficiency.  That is why so many other launch vehicles are doing so much better than SLS, and why it is not a real part of the lunar equation.  Or any equation, for that matter.  </p>
<p>About a decade ago, I saw this decade, the 2020s, as potentially being exciting, with the prospect of Bigelow commercial space stations kept busy by commercial spacecraft, lunar landings, both manned and unmanned, and maybe even a dragon voyage to Mars (unmanned lander, manned flyby and return to Earth).  Similar things are happening, but somewhat later than I had expected.  Next decade, the 2030s, should be even more exciting, with manned missions to Mars, with the intent of colonization &#8212; an even better plan than Mars One.  </p>
<p>NASA needs to keep on the ball if it is going to keep up with the commercial space community.  SpaceX already has plans for a manned Mars and is building hardware not only to get there but to colonize the planet.  They are way ahead of NASA in this way.  Blue Origin has shown an interest in lunar landers for half a decade, when it unveiled its Blue Moon idea.  NASA, meanwhile, is still getting over the malaise that Obama put it in when he set it adrift with no meaningful missions.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Dick Eagleson		</title>
		<link>https://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/china-accelerates-its-schedule-for-its-upcoming-moon-mars-missions-while-admitting-its-lunar-base-will-take-longer/#comment-1580317</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dick Eagleson]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Apr 2025 01:06:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://behindtheblack.com/?p=113646#comment-1580317</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I&#039;m with Richard M on this one.  A single company is sufficient to build a lunar &lt;i&gt;base.&lt;/i&gt;  Building an entire cis-lunar &lt;i&gt;economy,&lt;/i&gt; though, will be a much larger and long-term project.  Still, I think SpaceX will be taking the first steps needed to do both before 2030 with Blue Origin likely being the next major player.  After the mid-2030s, things will begin to go in many directions on and near Luna with more and more players involved.  Some of those players will be nations, such as India.  But most will be private sector entities.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m with Richard M on this one.  A single company is sufficient to build a lunar <i>base.</i>  Building an entire cis-lunar <i>economy,</i> though, will be a much larger and long-term project.  Still, I think SpaceX will be taking the first steps needed to do both before 2030 with Blue Origin likely being the next major player.  After the mid-2030s, things will begin to go in many directions on and near Luna with more and more players involved.  Some of those players will be nations, such as India.  But most will be private sector entities.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Robert Zimmerman		</title>
		<link>https://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/china-accelerates-its-schedule-for-its-upcoming-moon-mars-missions-while-admitting-its-lunar-base-will-take-longer/#comment-1580310</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Robert Zimmerman]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Apr 2025 21:48:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://behindtheblack.com/?p=113646#comment-1580310</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/china-accelerates-its-schedule-for-its-upcoming-moon-mars-missions-while-admitting-its-lunar-base-will-take-longer/#comment-1580305&quot;&gt;Richard M&lt;/a&gt;.

Richard M wrote, &quot;You sure could build a base using Starship or Blue Moon/New Glenn, though….&quot;

I don&#039;t agree. Two companies with lunar landers ain&#039;t enough. My whole point is where need a large aerospace industry of MANY companies with MANY ideas and MANY products of all kinds, competing with each other for profit. Starship and Blue Moon are merely a start.

Only when a nation has such an industry will it be capable of building a colony on another world. And it won&#039;t be the government doing it.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/china-accelerates-its-schedule-for-its-upcoming-moon-mars-missions-while-admitting-its-lunar-base-will-take-longer/#comment-1580305">Richard M</a>.</p>
<p>Richard M wrote, &#8220;You sure could build a base using Starship or Blue Moon/New Glenn, though….&#8221;</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t agree. Two companies with lunar landers ain&#8217;t enough. My whole point is where need a large aerospace industry of MANY companies with MANY ideas and MANY products of all kinds, competing with each other for profit. Starship and Blue Moon are merely a start.</p>
<p>Only when a nation has such an industry will it be capable of building a colony on another world. And it won&#8217;t be the government doing it.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Richard M		</title>
		<link>https://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/china-accelerates-its-schedule-for-its-upcoming-moon-mars-missions-while-admitting-its-lunar-base-will-take-longer/#comment-1580305</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Richard M]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Apr 2025 20:48:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://behindtheblack.com/?p=113646#comment-1580305</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[&lt;blockquote&gt;It appears reality has finally set in at China’s space agency. China might land humans on the Moon by 2030, but getting a manned lunar base established will not be so easy, and will likely not occur any sooner than the 2040s, if then.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Yes, if they want to build a base of even the smallest sort on the Moon, they are going to need an architecture considerably more robust than the updated Apollo counterpart they are currently developing.

You sure could build a base using Starship or Blue Moon/New Glenn, though....]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>It appears reality has finally set in at China’s space agency. China might land humans on the Moon by 2030, but getting a manned lunar base established will not be so easy, and will likely not occur any sooner than the 2040s, if then.</p></blockquote>
<p>Yes, if they want to build a base of even the smallest sort on the Moon, they are going to need an architecture considerably more robust than the updated Apollo counterpart they are currently developing.</p>
<p>You sure could build a base using Starship or Blue Moon/New Glenn, though&#8230;.</p>
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