Comments on: SpaceX launches another 23 Starlink satellites https://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/spacex-launches-another-23-starlink-satellites-7/ Thu, 31 Oct 2024 05:58:51 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.4 By: Terry https://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/spacex-launches-another-23-starlink-satellites-7/#comment-1528879 Thu, 31 Oct 2024 05:58:51 +0000 https://behindtheblack.com/?p=109609#comment-1528879 Jan……10
Feb…….9
Mar…..13 (1 was IFT-3 of Starship/Super Heavy)
Apr…..12
May….13
June…12 (1 was IFT-4 of Starship/Super Heavy, 1 was Falcon Heavy)
July……5 (FAA stand down of two weeks)
Aug.…12
Sep…….9
Oct…..12 (Another FAA stand down)(1 was IFT-5 of Starship/Super Heavy, 1 was Falcon Heavy)

129 (11 flights monthly for remaining 2 months)
131 (12 flights monthly for remaining 2 months)
133 (13 flights monthly for remaining 2months)
135 (14 flights monthly for remaining 2 months)

My projected range is now 129 to 135 flights in 2024, as compared to my last projection in mid-October of 128 to 137 flights.

The SpaceX launch pace quickened to 7 flights in the later half of October as compared to only 5 flights in the first half of the month.

Unfortunately, 150 flights this year is completely out of the question as SpaceX would need to launch at a cadence of 21.5 flights per month starting November 1. Even 140 flights is out of reach now as they would need a cadence of 16.5 flights per month. SpaceX’s best month in 2024 is only 13 flights and they have only done that twice.

I am still projecting the 2024 SpaceX flight total to be in the low 130’s. The odds of the flight totals being in the high 120’s has decreased due to the strong October finish.

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