SpaceX now valued at $100 billion, the world’s 2nd most valuable private company
Capitalism in space: Because of the high price that some of its investors were able to get selling their private shares of SpaceX, the company’s valuation was reassessed upward from $74 to $100 billion and making it the second most valuable private company in the world.
The stock sale did not raise money for SpaceX as it was a secondary sale by these investors to get a profitable return on their initial investment. Regardless, the stock price they were able to get increased the company’s value.
The high price also illustrates objectively what investors think of SpaceX’s value. No matter what the critics may say, when the time comes to lay the money on the table, those willing to do it are convinced SpaceX is going to be successful in cashing in on its various space projects.
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Capitalism in space: Because of the high price that some of its investors were able to get selling their private shares of SpaceX, the company’s valuation was reassessed upward from $74 to $100 billion and making it the second most valuable private company in the world.
The stock sale did not raise money for SpaceX as it was a secondary sale by these investors to get a profitable return on their initial investment. Regardless, the stock price they were able to get increased the company’s value.
The high price also illustrates objectively what investors think of SpaceX’s value. No matter what the critics may say, when the time comes to lay the money on the table, those willing to do it are convinced SpaceX is going to be successful in cashing in on its various space projects.
Readers!
Please consider supporting my work here at Behind the Black. Your support allows me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Only now does it appear that Washington might finally recognize this reality.
In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are four ways of doing so:
1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.
2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
3. A Paypal Donation or subscription:
4. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652
You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.
…making it the second most valuable private company in the world.
That’s quite an achievement for SpaceX. Congratulations. I expect the number one slot to be taken once StarLink kicks into gear.
As space becomes established as a business platform for the world’s wealthiest companies, a solution to the problem of orbital debris must be found. Operators (and potential operators) of immense constellations of satellites seem to thinking in denial: “Once all of my sats are in orbit, we’re really going to have to solve this, starting by restricting any new constellations!” How convenient, and foolish.
I think it’s possible that a sufficiently large event could release enough debris to cause an orbital debris’s catastrophe already, and such an event could be within the capacity of most nations with access to orbital-class rockets. Once such a debris cascade had occurred, it could take many years and tillions of dollars to allow space travel and commerce to resume, and cause enormous damage to the commercial and social health of our civilization.
I’m cautious about market valuations as determinative of actual worth of an enterprise – as a survivor of the tech-bubble burst at the turn of the century. Investors can be manic, then fickle, and turn on a dime.
That being said, SpaceX has a much, much better business model than the hype-driven variations on the Underpants Gnome Model that were implemented by companies who rose, then quickly fell, in the tech bubble.
SpaceX is all but guaranteed to succeed because they have realistic (and bold) expectations, leading to providing real hardware/services that can deliver real value to their customers … especially as government space moves from the developer to the customer role.
Dammit, no edit capability… sort of like after a debris cascade!
“Dammit, no edit capability… sort of like after a debris cascade!”
Actually, worse. There are several systems being put under test in the next 2 years for getting a debris generator out of orbit.
There is little to allow editing without some substantial risk of spam being inserted into the system. SpaceNews, which has some interesting articles about systems to prevent Kessler Syndrome Cascades over the last several months, and lots of good editable comments, has almost no resistance against spam being inserted into their comment sections. Sigh.
SpaceX’s Starlink uses many strategies to combat the debris problem.
https://ecfsapi.fcc.gov/file/1081071029897/SpaceX%20Orbital%20Debris%20Meeting%20Ex%20Parte%20(8-10-21).pdf
There are many more, from design to orbital deployment altitudes. No need to declare “the sky is falling!” just yet. :)
The best time to get rid of space debris is while the satellite is still intact. It’s probably best to put international agreements in place that satellites must have a mechanism by which they can be reliably de-orbited after their service life is over. As far as I know, such agreements are not yet in place. Also, a fund should be set up to fund removing satellites that are now defunct — probably funded by the countries that have launched such satellites so far. I realize international agreements are a panacea, but it really is something that would be for the good of everyone.
I did not intend to imply that SpaceX is a bad actor… it’s the guys trying to catch up that worry me more, since they have a motivation to cut corners. And people like the NorKs. So no, the sky isn’t falling, but nobody thought the World Trade Center would fall either.
We have a huge system containing a titanic amount of stored kinetic and potential energy, and I believe it is not being well-managed today, given the accidental and malicious threats that already exist.
The actual risk of colliding satellites is extremely low, like the risk of an airplane running into a boat or a submarine. (these are large craft, as compared to satellites or cube sats on a much larger sphere of dimension)
Low earth orbit decays soon enough, about the time the satellites become obsolete.
The bigger threat is a “large astroid” of loose material colliding with another… Causing the earth to be hit like a shotgun blast. We did not know how much trouble we “could be” in until the recent sample return mission made it clear without any reservations.
The SpaceX valuation is fully justified imho as they have already achieved a near monopoly stranglehold on the commercial launch market with Falcon 9, and are demonstrably far ahead of everyone else with Raptor / Super Heavy / Starship well into development. So everyone else is chasing a train that is already well out of the station and still accelerating.
And don’t forget about those Trillion Dollar asteroids in the news just a few weeks back. Yeah, Musk has vocally prioritized Mars, but he is first and foremost a businessman and fully recognizes that he will need a substantial cash flow to realize his grand colonization vision. So if you’re taking bets on who will come up with a rational and realistic business plan to exploit these asteroid resources sooner rather than later, my money is on Elon.
Ray, that “large event” you were looking at might be a Starship refueling disaster.
I like SLS because I don’t trust depots. To me, we should have fewer large sats…and any depots hypergolic…no boil-off.
“””Jeff Wright
October 10, 2021 at 3:48 pm
Ray, that “large event” you were looking at might be a Starship refueling disaster.
I like SLS because I don’t trust depots. To me, we should have fewer large sats…and any depots hypergolic…no boil-off.””””
And cars should be huge so they can take everybody to work at once. Also they should be fueled up at the factory before the tank is welded shut because the depots/gas stations can’t be trusted.