Regarding the current season, not sure what you’re talking about. The Atlantic/Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico region has seen a total since of five systems. Three tropical systems have occurred prior to the last two days which have seen Hurricane Danielle and T.S. Earl form (Earl as of tonight’s 11PM EDT update is the new kid on the block).

The eastern Pacific is up to ten (counting the current Javier).

August in the A/C/G was the first August since 1997 to not see to see any named systems form. Very unusual indeed.

Regarding the seasonal forecasts put out by the National Hurricane Center and others, you are correct to observe storm formation lags somewhat behind what one would think. Obviously, we’ll see what the next two months bring as we approach the peak and immediate weeks following.

We speak by phone several times a week. We both watch the space weather web sites and he tells me of his abilities to monitor radio broadcasts by frequency, thus current atmospheric conditions.

Things have been all over the place for several months.

He misses being able to hear certain stations that are part of his daily listening habits.

I could pass a ham exam tomorrow, but my time- committed interests lay elsewhere.

It’s good that aged brothers can relate in interesting ways.

Particularly when the 11 year flipping magnetic field of the sun, aligns it’s negative field to attract to earth‘s Northern positive magnetic pole, complementary polarity alters the earths magnetic field significantly.
The results as an augmented Heating and drought… Not necessarily as where people locally and around the world are receiving far too much rain in unusual amounts. On the other hand, 20 to 25 storms were predicted for hurricane season… Still not one named storm yet! First time that’s happened in 80 years?

Currently, there is a large Solar coronal hole pointed right at us. This is not unusual, just an opportunity if the sun decides to be active.