The uncertainty of science: Despite predictions that global warming would destroy the world’s coral reefs, scientists as well as divers who visit the reefs regularly have found that they are instead thriving, with almost no damage.
[R]ecent research has shown some coral reefs are coming back to life much more quickly than scientists believed possible. Scientists found Coral Castles teeming with life during a 2015 dive, despite declaring the reef dead 13 years ago. βEverything looked just magnificent,β said Jan Witting, the diveβs lead scientist who works at the Sea Education Association, told The New York Times. βLast year, the whole place was holding its breath,β Witting said. βThe whole oceanβs in bloom this year.β
Rangiroa lagoon in French Polynesia had rebounded just 15 years after being devastated by the incredibly strong 1998 El Nino warming event. βOur projections were completely wrong,β marine biologist Peter Mumby told BBC News in 2014. βSometimes it is really nice to be proven wrong as a scientist, and this was a perfect example of that.β
These bad predictions, some as recently as April 2016, not only were not based on facts, they did serious harm to the tourist industry and the people who depend on it.
βScientists had written off that entire northern section as a complete white-out,ββ Chris Eade, owner of the diving boat Spirit Of Freedom, told The Courier-Mail in an interview. βWe expected the worst,β Eade said. βBut it is tremendous condition, most of it is pristine, the rest is in full recovery. It shows the resilience of the reef.β
Eade said dire predictions about the demise of the Great Barrier Reef has hurt tourism businesses β a $5 billion industry. Heβs particularly angry with scientists who estimated bleaching had hurt 93 percent of the Great Barrier Reef, mostly concentrated in the northern half. βBetween 60 and 100 percent of corals are severely bleached on 316 reefs, nearly all in the northern half of the Reef,β Terry Hughes, the lead coral reef scientist at Australiaβs James Cook University, said in April. Hughesβ research was based on aerial surveys of 911 reefs, and found 316 reefs were βseverely bleached.β But thatβs not what Eade and other reef tourist operators have observed taking people out for daily dives. [emphasis mine]
In other words, the scientist really didn’t look at the reefs. Instead, he took a quick distant survey and declared disaster, probably to promote the agenda of global warming.