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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription, which takes about a 15% cut:

 

4. Donate by check. I get whatever you donate. Make the check payable to Robert Zimmerman and mail it to
 
Behind The Black
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You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


DARPA awards contracts for XS-1 spaceplane

The competition heats up: DARPA has announced contract awards to three companies for the construction of its experimental XS-1 spaceplane, designed to take off and land like a airplane.

The contracts go to Boeing, Northrop Grumman, and Masten Space Systems, and have them each respectively partnered with Blue Origin, XCOR, and Virgin Galactic. More details on the Boeing contract can be found here.

The description of the XS program is quite exciting:

The XS-1 program aims to develop a fully-reusable unmanned vehicle that would provide aircraft-like access to space and deploy small satellites to orbit using expendable upper stages. XS-1 seeks to deploy small satellites faster and more affordably, and develop technology for next-generation hypersonic vehicles.

XS-1 envisions that a reusable first stage would fly to hypersonic speeds at a suborbital altitude. At that point, one or more expendable upper stages would separate and deploy a satellite into Low Earth Orbit (LEO). The reusable first stage would then return to earth, land and be prepared for the next flight. Modular components, durable thermal protection systems and automatic launch, flight and recovery systems should significantly reduce logistical needs, enabling rapid turnaround between flights.

Key XS-1 technical goals include flying 10 times in 10 days, flying to Mach 10+ at least once and launching a representative small payload to orbit. The program also seeks to reduce the cost of access to space for 3,000- to 5,000-pound payloads to less than $5 million per flight.

It would seem that, if we include SpaceX and Stratolaunch, there is an increasing confluence of forces for the development of a reusable first stage.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

6 comments

  • If we can develop a true SSTO capability that would be very exciting. My concern is that aerospace development seems to be moving in the direction of unmanned vehicles. Sure, they’re cheaper, safer, and less complex than crewed craft, but for the general public to get excited about these developments, you need people in the pointy end.

  • The key here is the engineering. If an easily reusable first stage can be developed, even if it for unmanned payloads, that engineering will significantly lower the cost to orbit, which in turn will make manned payloads more affordable. Moreover, the science fiction nature of these reusable space planes makes them cool, which also gets the public excited.

    Overall, I see no downside to any of this. When it comes to space exploration, we are beginning to move into very exciting times.

  • DK Williams

    Didn’t we learn from the shuttle program that, unless a quantum leap in technology is made, this type of craft is just too expensive?

  • With respect, and I do mean respect, I think you may be overestimating the American public appetite for shooting unmanned cargo ships into orbit. The cultural landscape has changed from ‘can do’ to ‘what can you do for me’. As DK Williams points out, Shuttle was horrendously expensive, but could put seven people into orbit and 65,000 lbs of cargo. It could also return those same people and 35,000 lbs on a somewhat regular basis. Yes, the service record was spotty, but it did happen.

    My thesis is that if you want to inspire the next generation, they need something more than ground control jobs.

  • Maybe so, but I am still focused on the engineering that will come out of this, even if the XS-1 goes nowhere, as do most of these kinds of projects. A large number of the companies listed in this contract award are aggressively using this engineering to build manned vessels.

  • Edward

    Blair,

    I think that we can agree that Americans *do* favor manned launches over unmanned, but Americans also want our rockets to be safe when they launch their crews. There are also a lot of advantage that we gain from our unmanned payloads; they are also very important, even if they are not as sexy or exciting. They are like the power plant; we don’t pay attention to them, either, but we all expect the lights to turn on at the flick of a wall switch.

    The unmanned launches can be considered as “proving grounds” for the rockets and associated hardware. Once everyone is happy with the unmanned launches, then the hardware can be adapted for manned use.

    The Atlas V is an example of a rocket that proved itself as reliable during unmanned use, so when commercial manned spacecraft were being planned, they chose that rocket.

    The Air Force even requires a certain number of successful launches before they will allow their *unmanned* payloads on them. SpaceX recently had a public dispute about that.

    I think that it is reasonable for us to expect the technology, not just the hardware, to be proven before we put people on board. That turned out to be a mistake with the Space Shuttle. It was not as ready for prime time as we were led to believe.

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