To read this post please scroll down.

 

THANK YOU!!

 

My November fund-raising campaign for Behind the Black is now over. As I noted below, up until this month 2025 had been a poor year for donations. This campaign changed that, drastically. November 2025 turned out to be the most successful fund-raising campaign in the fifteen-plus years I have been running this webpage. And it more than doubled the previous best campaign!

 

Words escape me! I thank everyone who donated or subscribed. Your support convinces me I should go on with this work, even if it sometimes seems to me that no one in power ever reads what I write, or even considers my analysis worth considering. Maybe someday this will change.

 

Either way, I will continue because I know I have readers who really want to read what I have to say. Thank you again!

 

This announcement will remain at the top of each post for the next few days, to make sure everyone who donated will see it.

 

The original fund-raising announcement:

  ----------------------------------

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription, which takes about a 15% cut:

 

4. Donate by check. I get whatever you donate. Make the check payable to Robert Zimmerman and mail it to
 
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652

 

You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


The up and down tale of two rocket startups, Vector and Phantom

Jim Cantrell and cars
Jim Cantrell at Vector in 2017, shown in front of
one of his side businesses, fixing and refurbishing race
cars and rare luxury sports cars (located then at Vector).

The tales of rocket startups are often fraught with ups and downs of all kinds, often traveling in circles that no one can ever predict. This is one such tale.

In the mid-2010s there was a rocket startup called Vector, based here in Tucson, founded by a guy named Jim Cantrell. At that time Cantrell pushed the company in the style of Elon Musk, going very public for publicity and to raise investment capital.

He was remarkable successful at both. Unfortunately, his engineers were not as successful at engine building. After years of effort they all realized that their rocket engines were under-powered, and wouldn’t be able to get the rocket into orbit. In 2019 the company’s biggest investor backed out, Cantrell left the company, and new owners took over, hoping to rebuild.

Flash forward to 2021, and Jim Cantrell has reappeared with a new rocket company, Phantom Space, also based in Tucson, raising $5 million in seed capital. In the next four years he obtained a small development contract from NASA, completed another investment round raising around $37 million, and began development of a new orbital rocket, dubbed Daytona. The company also began work on its own small satellite constellation, PhantomCloud (more on this later).

As for Vector, there was little to report during those four years. The only update said the company was buying engines from the rocket engine startup Ursa Major, the same company Phantom was using.

It is now the end of 2025, and the fate of these two companies has once again intertwined, in a most ironic manner. Last week I learned from Jim Cantrell that Vector had closed shop, and that its last remaining assets, some of which Cantrell himself had helped develop when he headed Vector, had been bought by Phantom. This includes several unused rocket stages, the vertical rocket test stands, and a lot of computers, and hardware.

Vector rocket loaded onto a truck

Cantrell himself drove out to California, packed up the stuff, and shipped it back to Tucson. The picture to the right shows one truck with an unused Vector rocket stage sticking out the back.

Meanwhile, Phantom seems quite alive, though as with all startups things are taking far longer than planned. It is not going to launch Daytona in 2023, as first predicted by Cantrell to me in 2022. Nor will they do it in 2026, as Cantrell later predicted in 2024. Now the company hopes to do its first static fire tests in ’26 (using engines built by Ursa Major and Vast’s Launcher engine subsidiary), with a launch targeting the second quarter of 2027. No one should be surprised if the company doesn’t meet these dates either.

The company however appears sound. After raising $37 million in 2024, it is now planning a second round of fund-raising in ’26, aiming to raise $60 million. Both of its launchpads at Cape Canaveral in Florida and Vandenberg in California are under development. At Cape Canaveral that launch site is the landing pad SpaceX presently uses for Falcon 9 landings, and Phantom is negotiating a lease with SpaceX to let it continue to do landings there, as long as they do not conflict with Phantom launches.

And the company is taking a page from SpaceX and developing its own satellite constellation to launch on its own rockets. Unlike Starlink, however, PhantomCloud is not for internet communications, but will be a large constellation of smallsats acting as orbital data centers (ODCs) for cloud computing.

Now, I expect the mention of ODCs will cause the eyes of many of my knowledgeable readers to roll in skepticism. In the past six months practically every satellite, space station, orbital capsule, and rocket company (including Musk) has been raving about this idea: It’s the new hot thing! Put your cloud data centers in orbit rather than on Earth! We can do it for you!

Most of these promises and claims are hogwash, and should be treated with great skepticism. Many are being pushed by people who know little about space, and thus don’t know the complexities of building a satellite. We can be sure most will never get off the ground, or will fail if they do. At this point we don’t even know for sure if the demand for such things really reflects a true market, or a bubble of false enthusiasm.

Jim Cantrell at Phantom
Jim Cantrell at Phantom in 2022.

What makes Phantom’s constellation different is threefold. First, Cantrell isn’t jumping on the bandwagon here. The bandwagon is trying to catch up with him. He first mentioned this idea to me in 2017, while giving me a tour of Vector. In the interim he obtained patents for the idea, in a manner that will require a lot of the new proposals by others to come to him to get licensing rights.

Second, many of the new ODC proposals involve large satellites. Cantrell’s proposal is aimed at putting up many smallsats distributed in low Earth orbit. SpaceX hopes to do the same thing using Starlink as its base, but I wonder if it might also be need to work out some license issues with Phantom first.

Third, Cantrell is not coming to this project as a novice. He has spent years working on spacecraft, including some planetary probes.

Phantom has been developing this concept now for several years, putting it well ahead of the herd. It is building two demo satellites for launch late in 2026, setting the stage for constellation deployment thereafter. If Daytona develops even close to schedule, the company will be well positioned to not only build its satellites, but eventually launch them. SpaceX has already proved the synergy of that arrangement.

Most importantly, it is also well positioned to put its ODC constellation before anyone else.

All this remains the stuff of dreams, however, except that those dreams do involve real satellites and rockets being built. The dreams will only become reality when they finally get launched. And I have been following Jim Cantrell’s story now for almost a decade, and he still hasn’t launched anything. While we all wish him well, we also must remember that this is rocket science. It ain’t easy, and there are never any guarantees.

Only the future knows what will happen.

————–
Full disclosure: Jim Cantrell has long been one of the biggest supporters of my work here at Behind the Black. He has also never tried to tell me what to write. If he had I would have returned his donations.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

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