To read this post please scroll down.

 

THANK YOU!!

 

My November fund-raising campaign for Behind the Black is now over. As I noted below, up until this month 2025 had been a poor year for donations. This campaign changed that, drastically. November 2025 turned out to be the most successful fund-raising campaign in the fifteen-plus years I have been running this webpage. And it more than doubled the previous best campaign!

 

Words escape me! I thank everyone who donated or subscribed. Your support convinces me I should go on with this work, even if it sometimes seems to me that no one in power ever reads what I write, or even considers my analysis worth considering. Maybe someday this will change.

 

Either way, I will continue because I know I have readers who really want to read what I have to say. Thank you again!

 

This announcement will remain at the top of each post for the next few days, to make sure everyone who donated will see it.

 

The original fund-raising announcement:

  ----------------------------------

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription, which takes about a 15% cut:

 

4. Donate by check. I get whatever you donate. Make the check payable to Robert Zimmerman and mail it to
 
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652

 

You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


95% of all climate models agree: The observations must be wrong.

“95% of all climate models agree: The observations must be wrong.”

I’m seeing a lot of wrangling over the recent (15+ year) pause in global average warming…when did it start, is it a full pause, shouldn’t we be taking the longer view, etc. These are all interesting exercises, but they miss the most important point: the climate models that governments base policy decisions on have failed miserably.

I’ve updated our comparison of 90 climate models versus observations for global average surface temperatures through 2013, and we still see that >95% of the models have over-forecast the warming trend since 1979, whether we use their own surface temperature dataset (HadCRUT4), or our satellite dataset of lower tropospheric temperatures (UAH).

When 90 different climate model predictions are compared with the actual data, all but two vastly overestimate the amount of heating that has occurred since 1979. In other words, these models are wrong, they are undependable, and they shouldn’t be used to decide policy by any politician.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

10 comments

  • Jwing

    Science practiced like theologians or science practiced like skeptics…well, .it’s obvious which way the “consensus” currently practices.

    How pathetic. They’ve relied so heavily on their computer modeling in the name of their credibility, their grants and their agenda that they can’t or won’t see the proverbial forest from the trees.

  • Cotour

    If I were to make up 90 different climate predictions and two of them were close to being accurate, does that mean that I am able to make predictions about what the climate is likely to do?

  • Ed

    Data doesn’t matter. Consensus does. What do you think this is, science or something?

  • Ed

    And of course the 2 out of 90 that even came close were ignored.

  • As I’ve said before, the key to effective computer models is calibration. If your model cannot predict past results, it can’t predict future probabilities. I’ve not seen any evidence that climate models were calibrated. The whole enterprise is bushwah. Until and unless climate models are calibrated, I see no reason to put any faith in them.

  • Jwing

    Remembering the old TV show Dragnet….Srgt. Friday plainly stating “Just the facts, Mam.” Wishing that was still true today.

  • Should we believe those who state “facts” that fly in the face of common sense and actual data. I’m old enough to have seen the 40 year weather cycle twice. But then those “climate scientists” have the degrees, BS, MS, PhD… we all know what BS is, MS is More of the Same, and PhD is just Piled Higher and Deeper. “Who,” Galileo asked, “would dare assert that we know all there is to be known?” He was imprisoned by those who held to the “scientific consensus of the universe” of the day, about the time of the Jamestown settlement. Like the weather, man and human nature… the more thy change, the more thy stay the same. My high school physics teacher used to fool us all the time by presenting a demonstration that the the class all agreed would have certain outcomes, but when executed, would have an entirely different result. Then he would recite, “Science by consensus is ideology; science is only science when everybody can get the same result. There is no consensus in science, just facts.”

  • William Cottrell

    I listen to J. Batchelor. regularly. His interview with you mentioned an independent scientist to published a review of the number of scientists was far different than that presently suggested by climate change “believers”. What was that reference? Thanks

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