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As I noted in July, the support of my readers through the years has given me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Only now does it appear that Washington might finally recognize this reality.

 

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China on track for Mars launch in July?

Two stories today, one from Nature and the second from space.com, pushed the idea that China’s Mars orbiter/lander/rover mission is still on schedule to meet the July launch window.

A close read of both stories however revealed very little information to support that idea.

The Nature article provided some details about how the project is working around travel restrictions put in place because of the COVID-19 virus epidemic. For example, it told a story about how employees drove six scientific instruments by car to the assembly point rather than fly or take a train, thereby avoiding crowds.

What struck me however was that this supposedly occurred “several days ago,” and involved six science payloads that had not yet been installed on the spacecraft. To be installing such instrumentation at this date, only four months from launch, does not inspire confidence. It leaves them almost no time for thermal and vibration testing of the spacecraft.

The article also provided little information about the status of the entire project.

The space.com article was similar. Lots of information about how China’s space program is dealing with the epidemic, but little concrete information about the mission itself, noting “the lack of official comment on the mission.” Even more puzzling was the statement in this article that the rover “underwent its space environment testing in late January.”

I wonder how that is possible if those six instruments above had not yet been installed. Maybe the instruments were for the lander or orbiter, but if so that means the entire package is not yet assembled and has not been thoroughly tested as a unit. Very worrisome.

Posting today has been light because I was up most of the night dealing with a family health issue, meaning that I ended up sleeping for several hours during the day. All is well, nothing serious (it is NOT coronavirus), but it has left my brain and schedule very confused. Will likely take a good night’s sleep to get back to normal.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon. from any other book seller, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

6 comments

  • Gary M.

    Take good care of yourself Robert. It sounds like you have people in your life that need you healthy and well rested.

  • Edward

    Robert,
    You are tired. The six instruments are for the lander, but it was the rover that was tested in January.

    They probably need not perform a thermal vacuum test with all three together, but they may want to do a shake test with them assembled in launch configuration. Fortunately, shake tests do not take as long as thermal vacuum tests.

  • Edward. I am tired, but I thought I was clear enough. No matter.

    Naps in the afternoon never do me much good. I couldn’t stay awake, but when I get up after a mid-day nap I always feel like a truck hit me.

  • Chris

    Sleep is good food!

  • Ray Van Dune

    How many more years before the idea of launching a probe/lander to Mars will sound ridiculous? Pay the $/kg freight to Spacex, and they will take it there and either leave it in orbit, or roll it down the ramp where you want to start your expedition. Simple.

  • Lee S

    I hope you and your family are OK Bob….even if we don’t see eye to eye very often, sleep deprivation is an absolute nightmare! (Metorphoricaly speaking!)
    Given the Chinese space agencies method of VERY slow and steady I would be very shocked if they had not rigourously tested everything, and were not 100% confident of their methodology. They know the whole world is watching, and their space activities are a matter of huge national pride. If they mess up, the consequences for the mission managers will be worse than they would be here in the west!

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