To read this post please scroll down.

 

THANK YOU!!

 

My November fund-raising campaign for Behind the Black is now over. As I noted below, up until this month 2025 had been a poor year for donations. This campaign changed that, drastically. November 2025 turned out to be the most successful fund-raising campaign in the fifteen-plus years I have been running this webpage. And it more than doubled the previous best campaign!

 

Words escape me! I thank everyone who donated or subscribed. Your support convinces me I should go on with this work, even if it sometimes seems to me that no one in power ever reads what I write, or even considers my analysis worth considering. Maybe someday this will change.

 

Either way, I will continue because I know I have readers who really want to read what I have to say. Thank you again!

 

This announcement will remain at the top of each post for the next few days, to make sure everyone who donated will see it.

 

The original fund-raising announcement:

  ----------------------------------

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription, which takes about a 15% cut:

 

4. Donate by check. I get whatever you donate. Make the check payable to Robert Zimmerman and mail it to
 
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652

 

You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


December 1, 2025 Quick space links

Courtesy of BtB’s stringer Jay. This post is also an open thread. I welcome my readers to post any comments or additional links relating to any space issues, even if unrelated to the links below.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

13 comments

  • Richard M

    This is interesting: Eric Berger interviews Dylan Taylor, chairman and chief executive officer of Voyager Technologies about the prospects for commercial space stations. Voyager is the corporation developing the Starlab space station.

    https://arstechnica.com/space/2025/12/space-ceo-explains-why-he-believes-private-space-stations-are-a-viable-business/

    Interesting information revealed: 1) Taylor says that they estimate Starlab will cost approximately $2.8 to $3.3 billion; 2) Starlab’s critical design review is coming on Dec. 15-18; they have reached 27 of 31 milestones; 3) they have moved fabrication from Germany to Louisiana; 4) he expects final NASA selections in June or July. He insists they have loads of customer interest (“advanced discussions”), especially from sovereign clients (national space agencies). Also intriguingly, Voyager just hired away Vast’s business development manager.

  • Richard M

    One more interesting item, also space station related: For the first time in International Space Station history, all eight docking ports aboard the orbital outpost are occupied following the reinstallation of Northrop Grumman’s Cygnus XL cargo spacecraft to the Earth-facing port of the station’s Unity module.

    https://www.nasa.gov/blogs/spacestation/2025/12/01/space-station-first-all-docking-ports-fully-occupied-8-spacecraft-on-orbit/

  • Jeff Wright

    I hope that isn’t the Zenith of Men into space, but I fear it won’t be.

    On spaceflight control
    https://techxplore.com/news/2025-12-advances-spacecraft-algorithm-precision-extreme.html

    Nozzle flow
    https://phys.org/news/2025-12-faucet-jet-breakup-angstrom-scale.html

  • Dick Eagleson

    Richard M,

    I think this interview with Taylor provides additional evidence for our host’s case that Vast is the leader in the Commercial LEO space station race. Despite Taylor’s very complimentary remarks about competitor Axiom, it is Vast from which his own organization chose to poach a key executive. As with SpaceX, which also disproportionately loses people to competitors and start-ups, it is people who work for the leading organizations in their fields that attract the most headhunters.

  • john hare

    The Chinese cable catching concept could make sense depending on details. Lighter and simpler than the SpaceX chopsticks under some assumptions. I vaguely recall discussion of this sort of thing mumble decades back.. The margin of error on vertical speed should be much higher as well as a bit more horizontal leeway. The devil, as always, is in the details.

  • Richard M

    Hello Dick,

    Oh, I agree on all points (of course). Vast is, quite obviously, the company closest to deploying an actual space station into orbit. Haven-1’s construction is basically complete now!

    But it is worth keeping in mind that its follow-on station, Haven-2 — the one that NASA is actually evaluating using — requires a NASA CLD award to close its business case, just as Starlab does. Even so I have the sneaky suspicion that Vast can get Haven-2 built faster than Voyager can build Starlab. That said, it’s interesting that Taylor says that Voyager has made a dramatic change in their fabrication process, switching it to Vivace in Louisiana. I don’t know how fast Vivace works, but it will reduce the big supply chains from over the Atlantic, if nothing else.

    Taylor says he expects at least two stations to receive NASA CLD awards (possibly three). If so, I kinda wonder if I wouldn’t give those awards now to Vast and Starlab, and not Axiom, if I were making that decision. I have the sense that these are the two best run companies.

  • Richard M

    Jeff,

    I hope that isn’t the Zenith of Men into space, but I fear it won’t be.

    Yes, Progress 93 is docked at the Zenith port. But as I understand it, NASA’s astronauts now close the Zarya hatch whenever the cosmonauts are accessing the progress at that port, in the interests of caution.

  • Richard M

    Just saw multiple reports of a startling development regarding the Crew-12 mission, NET 15 February 2026. Several Russian sources claim that a cosmonaut, S. Artemyev was replaced due to ITAR violations, (photographing restricted SpaceX documentation with his phone). The official Roscosmos reason is “due a transfer to another job”. Cosmonaut Oleg Artemyev was expelled from the United States for violating ITAR.
    t.me/prostinas/3438

  • Richard M

    Sorry, got the name wrong: the expelled cosmonaut name is Oleg Artemyev.

    His replacement will be Andrey Fedyaev, who will be the first Russian to fly on a Dragon twice.

    Does not look like NASA has made a statement about this. Yet.

  • Jay

    Richard M,
    Thank you for that information. There were rumors that he was removed due to his religion, a Russian version of Scientology, but this makes sense about an ITAR violation. As punishment, they will probably stick him with cleaning up the pad 31/6 at Baikonur

  • Dick Eagleson

    Richard M,

    Vast has stated that it plans to have at least the first module of the initial Haven-2 configuration on-orbit by 2028. Just when it expects to complete the full four-module initial Haven-2 configuration, I don’t know. Probably no sooner than 2029. That is also the year Taylor says Starlab will launch as a single Starship payload. Vast intends to reconfigure Haven-2 to a cruciform configuration and add four additional modules at some point. I don’t know the intended timing of these upgrades either. What does seem likely is that the US will have at least two new LEO space stations on-orbit by the time ISS is splashed.

    Perhaps Axiom will make it three. Vast’s big advantage is its vertical integration. It builds all of its large structural components itself in its own facility. Axiom and Starlab get their major structural components from contractors. The fabrication progress of Axiom’s modules can only be described as leisurely. Perhaps that is an intrinsic characteristic of Thales-Alenia and perhaps it has to do with the rate at which Axiom has proven able to pay for the work.

    Starlab’s contractor, Vivace, is US-based. It is one of several outfits, including Boeing and Lock-Mart, that rent parts of the Michoud Assembly Facility. That will certainly de-complicate the logistics of getting Starlab from fab shop to launch pad as the path between Michoud and KSC is well-worn.

    As to how much faster Vivace can actually crank out Starlab’s main hull module than could the now-spurned German contractor, we have this from the Vivace website:

    “Once requirements are developed, Vivace can design, analyze, build, test, and deliver primary structures up to 7 meters (23 feet) in diameter. Vivace has successfully built and tested aluminum pressure vessels for spaceflight up to 5.5 meters (18 feet) in diameter.”

    “Vivace has developed innovative and proven approaches to the design and fabrication of space station modules that radically reduces lead time and cost while preserving reliable performance to rigorous human spaceflight requirements.”

    Sounds good, but the proof of the pudding is in the eating.

    Saw something about the Russian cosmonaut-spy on X just before coming back here. I can’t say I’m greatly surprised. It would be interesting to know if he was operating entirely for Russia’s benefit or whether the Russians intended to pass along whatever he got to the PRC in return for some additional war-related goods. I’m inclined to think it was the latter as the Russian space infrastructure doesn’t strike me as being able to take much advantage of SpaceX trade secrets these days – certainly not as much as the PRC. In any case, it’s just one more large-ish bump on an ISS “cooperation” road that is rapidly devolving into a rutted cart track as ISS enters its hospice care era.

  • Jeff Wright

    If I were a spy, I would just turn in a burner phone and wear glasses with one of those chip cameras in it.

    I wouldn’t be surprised if they still used burst transmission and a Minox.

    I think that cosmonaut was just taking touristy snaps because:

    1.) Putin has wrecked Russia Space.

    2.) Raptor and glass-cockpit pix don’t reveal tech secrets found on the inside.

    3.) There are other ways to get information.

    4.) RD-270 predated Raptor by decades.

    I think it was the United States that dismantled a Luna probe once…I don’t think it was much of an intelligence boon, in that Russians just put heavier, less sophisticated tech atop larger rockets.

    Warhead secrets need protecting against Third World nations (Russia and China already know how and might help other nations.

    The Norks are proving that even a broke nation can build an ICBM.

    NGAD they could not match, but an ICBM allows warheads to fly higher faster and further than any plane.

  • Edward

    From the Eric Berger interview of Dylan Taylor of Voyager Technologies, linked by Richard M, above:

    There’s huge demand, Eric. Honestly, this has been one of my surprises. Over the last 12 months, and I really want to credit Axiom on this, with the PAM (private astronaut) missions, they really pioneered this notion of sovereign astronauts outside of the ISS consortium. There’s huge demand from emerging countries with space agencies that want a sovereign astronaut, that want to send their astronauts to the ISS or to a safe and qualified and NASA-approved space station. So there is a lot of demand there.

    I am not as surprised as Taylor was. I expected that commercial space stations, such as Bigelow was developing, combined with commercial manned spacecraft would attract many nations that could not afford full blown space programs. I expected those nations would go with lighter versions that did not develop their own launch vehicles, manned spacecraft, and space stations. Rather than spend billions per year on a space program, these nations can spend tens of millions a year, renting time on various types of commercial hardware.

    The current government-run space stations have limited availability. Only so many astronauts can go aboard them, and only so much research can be performed. Axiom’s private astronaut missions had to be short, while the government missions could last for months or even a year. The priorities that governments put on the use of their space stations was for their own benefit, not ours.

    The Outer Space Treaty says that space should be used for the benefit of all mankind, but government uses space for their own benefit. Commercial space uses space for the benefit of all mankind, the customers of commercial space.

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