To read this post please scroll down.

 

Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription, which takes about a 15% cut:

 

4. Donate by check. I get whatever you donate. Make the check payable to Robert Zimmerman and mail it to
 
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652

 

You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


In an interview Richard Branson says that Virgin Galactic is working to replace SpaceShipTwo’s hybrid engine.

In an interview Richard Branson says that Virgin Galactic is working to replace SpaceShipTwo’s hybrid engine.

So for instance, the initial rocket which I’ll be flying on to space will be thrown away afterward. Within six to nine months, we will be using rockets that will have capability of being used maybe up to 1,000 times, but definitely up to 100 times. That will bring the cost of space travel down dramatically.

This timing fits with their new schedule for the first commercial flights of SpaceShipTwo sometime late in 2014. I suspect they are hoping to fly the ship a few more times with the troublesome hybrid engine, partly for engineering research and partly to keep interest up in the company, and then switch over to a new engine.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

10 comments

  • Kelly Starks

    Good idea. hybrids (and solids) are hard to scale up reliably, and trash themselves after one flight – and make for rough ride. Liquids have better safty, durability, re-useability, and performance.

  • wodun

    Raises some questions about how they got this far with the current engine and how developing a new one will work out.

  • Dick Eagleson

    The most straightforward source for a new engine would be their Mojave Spaceport neighbor XCOR, though the SpaceX Draco is also an outside possibility.

  • Not sure I agree that solids are hard to scale reliably. Shuttle used solids for primary boost, and the one failure was forseen and avoidable. All US ICBM’s use solid rockets, and reliability is a primary concern. I agree with your assessment of the advantages of liquid-fuel rockets, but I’m wondering where there is sufficient storage space on SpaceShipTwo, and how the added mass of fuel will affect payload. If seating has to be reduced, then any cost savings from re-usability will be compromised.

  • Pzatchok

    Hybrids are hard to use. Or at least use the way they want to.

    I don’t know why they don’t just make up some large JTOW type solid rockets that they can jettison off after making space.

    Then just using a liquid fuel rockets of even hybrid jet engines for landing.

  • Kelly Starks

    >..Not sure I agree that solids are hard to scale reliably…

    The solid parst are flexible, and the burn rate varies with exactly how they flex. Calculating the extra movement of a extra scale material while its burnering – and the burning throwing around shockwaves disrupting oxidizer flow…. You can do it, but its nor easy – and the result makes for a rough ride.

    Solids are used as a quick and dirty solution for launchers

    > All US ICBM’s use solid rockets, and reliability is a primary concern…

    Actually storability is the big concern. Once cast the solid motors are relatively insensitive to being left that way for years – or decades. Liquids you worry about moving parts lubricants drying out, things leaking out in confined silos/launch tubes, etc. Solids are a bit dangerous to be around – but a good mix can be parked for years to decades without degrading.

    >.. I’m wondering where there is sufficient storage space on SpaceShipTwo, and
    > how the added mass of fuel will affect payload….

    The mass of a similar performance liquid will be less due to higher ISP of most any liquid system that I can think of – though I’m not sure how bulky it would be in comparison?

  • Kelly Starks

    Sadly Rutan made the basic mistake of assuming hybrid’s were innately completely safe, then assumed his company could build their own just fine. These mistakes cost years and lives – and likly contributed to Branson informing them that scaled wouldn’t be involved in the next space ship 3 project, and Rutan deciding it was time to turn the rest of Scaled over to Northrup and retire.

  • Thanks for your thoughtful reply. In the context of ICBM’s, storability and reliability are essentially the same thing. When you need a missile, you need it RIGHT NOW, even if its been sitting in a silo for a few decades. I’m sure the Titan II maintenance requirements caused more than a few grey hairs.

    For repeatable, reliable access to space, liquids are the way to go, for sure. The tradeoff is the failure mode set size is much larger.

  • Kelly Starks

    >..The tradeoff is the failure mode set size is much larger.

    Not sure about that. Anyway, not a lot of failures in professionally made liquid engines. Solids seem to stil fail more often.

  • Kelly Starks

    I think Branson would probably rather go with one of the more established firms. Having to wait now over 10 years for SS2 due to Rutan’s struggling with the engine etc, I think Branson would be eager to move up to the bigger,more solid and capable, suppliers.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *