Scroll down to read this post.

 

Readers!

 

The time has come for my annual short Thanksgiving/Christmas fund drive for Behind The Black. I must do this every year in order to make sure I have earned enough money to pay my bills.

 

For this two-week campaign, I am offering a special deal to encourage donations. Donations of $200 will get a free autographed copy of the new paperback edition of Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, while donations of $250 will get a free autographed copy of the new hardback edition. If you desire a copy, make sure you provide me your address with your donation.

 

As I noted in July, the support of my readers through the years has given me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Only now does it appear that Washington might finally recognize this reality.

 

In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.

 

Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.

 

Please consider supporting my work here at Behind the Black. You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are four ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription:

 

4. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
 
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652

 

You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


Lockheed Martin starts assembling first manned Orion capsule

My heart be still! Thirteen years after winning its contract to built the manned Orion capsule, Lockheed Martin proudly announced this week that it has finally begun building the first capsule that will carry humans.

I should add that this first manned flight is not scheduled to happen for another five years. Moreover, they have so far spent at least $14 billion on this capsule, and will likely spend another five billion by the time it finally launches. That’s 18 years and $19 billion, for a single manned mission. Seems somewhat shameful to me.

The article is filled with much of the dishonest hyperbole that has surrounded the Orion capsule from the start:

  • “NASA’s first of a new generation of manned deep space exploration craft”
  • “Orion will be a major step in the American program to establish a Deep Space Gateway station, return to the Moon, and eventually make a manned landing on Mars”
  • “Orion has tremendous momentum.”
  • “This is not only the most advanced spacecraft ever built, its production will be more efficient than any previous capsule.”

What Orion really is is a lie. It is nothing more than the ascent/descent capsule for the as-yet still undesigned, unfunded, and unbuilt interplanetary spaceship that will be needed for any real deep missions. It is also a boondoggle of the worst sort, providing pork for congressional districts while accomplishing nothing.

Lockheed Martin is lying in its press release here, and it is shameful that any journalist who knows anything about space should buy into those lies.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon. from any other book seller, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

9 comments

  • Kirk

    RZ: “What Orion really is is a lie. It is nothing more than the ascent/descent capsule for the as-yet still undesigned, unfunded, and unbuilt interplanetary spaceship that will be needed for any real deep missions.”

    This is the part I’ve never understand. Back when NASA was officially on a “Journey to Mars”, Orion was described as part of that pathway. I’ve assumed that if you needed to haul an Earth descent capsule with you all the way out and back, you’d want to make it as light a possible, with the result likely as cramped as a Soyuz descent module. Orion is way too big for this purpose, but is too small to be the habitation module for a six month voyage. It may be the right size for the late lamented(?) ARM, or the planned annual month-long visits to the DSG, but isn’t that because these missions were built around the hardware?

  • Kirk

    I see the article makes a big deal about it being the capsule which will “carry astronauts beyond low Earth orbit for the first time in almost 50 years.” I wonder how concerned SpaceX is about stepping on toes with their planned lunar tourism mission. Dragon 2 is no Orion, but such a flight would take away some of Orion’s bragging rights.

  • Localfluff

    Sending astronauts to an asteroid turned into towing an asteroid to Lunar orbit, and then just a boulder from an asteroid. DSG is ARM without also the boulder, it’s just the rendezvous in Lunar orbit, but without anything to rendezvous with. They even keep the solar electric propulsion that the ARM asteroid (boulder) towing spacecraft was supposed to have used, to keep DSG on station balancing a Lagrange point. Orion will make up about one third of the DSG’s pressurized volume, it’s design and location are made up just to make SLS and Orion indispensable.

    Many things will happen in five years. I think Orion will find it harder and harder to actually fly at all some day.

    @Kirk
    They mean in 50 years from now.

  • ken anthony

    What’s a journalist?

  • Klystron

    “Orion has tremendous momentum”. This is verifiably false. Where momentum p = mv, Orion has a velocity v=0. Therefore Orion has ZERO momentum! Q.E.D.

    Great work Bob in shining the light on this massive boondoggle.

  • D Engel

    Could the Falcon Heavy launch the Orion?

  • Localfluff

    @D Engel
    The Falcon Heavy could launch Orion with the DCSS-5 upper stage (that will be used on the first SLS+Orion launch), and then Orion gets 3 km/s delta-v from LEO. This seems to be enough for a Lunar flyby-and-return but not to enter Lunar orbit and then return to Earth.

    Elon Musk said, when asked a couple of years ago, that Falcon Heavy could land an astronaut on the Moon, but the return vehicle would have to be landed uncrewed separately. I think it can be more practical to build a Lunar spacecraft in LEO, if it so takes three Falcon Heavy launches.

  • Edward

    Klystron,

    Nice analysis, but you missed the part where there is a small non-zero velocity. The mass (or is it “mess”?) from Congress, on the other hand, is so large that it overwhelms the small non-zero velocity to produce a tremendous momentum. It is that overwhelming mass that makes it so difficult to halt the boondoggle.

    We keep thinking that SLS, and possibly Orion, will collapse under the embarrassment of the inexpensive Falcon Heavy, but Congress may be able to continue to rationalize SLS by noting that there will be a much more capable version coming along soon. Where “soon” means sometime in the far distant future (2029, if there is no further schedule slip — yeah, I’m laughing, too).

    The Big Falcon Rocket’s large spaceship, Interplanetary Transport System (Big Falcon Spaceship?), could be flying before Orion can make its first actual mission flight, maybe even the scheduled first manned test flight. Please note that there is no current actual mission for Orion, just a test flight.

    – Falcon Heavy: 63,800 kg to low Earth orbit(LEO); first launch in 2018
    – SLS Block 1: 70,000 kg to LEO; first launch in 2019

    — BFR: 250,000 kg to LEO expendable/150,000 kg reusable; first launch in 2022
    — SLS Block 2: 130,000 kg to LEO; first launch in 2029

    Saturn V: 140,000 kg to LEO

    reference:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comparison_of_orbital_launch_systems

Readers: the rules for commenting!

 

No registration is required. I welcome all opinions, even those that strongly criticize my commentary.

 

However, name-calling and obscenities will not be tolerated. First time offenders who are new to the site will be warned. Second time offenders or first time offenders who have been here awhile will be suspended for a week. After that, I will ban you. Period.

 

Note also that first time commenters as well as any comment with more than one link will be placed in moderation for my approval. Be patient, I will get to it.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *