To read this post please scroll down.

 

Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription, which takes about a 15% cut:

 

4. Donate by check. I get whatever you donate. Make the check payable to Robert Zimmerman and mail it to
 
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652

 

You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


Most recent engine test on eighth Starship prototype had issues

Capitalism in space: The most recent engine test on November 12th of SpaceX’s eighth Starship prototype had a problem that will delay its planned 50,000 foot test hop.

The Starship SN8 vehicle performed its third brief “static fire” — a test in which engines are ignited while a rocket remains tethered to the ground — at SpaceX’s South Texas facility on Thursday, near the village of Boca Chica.

Shortly after the test, which several outside organizations webcast live, material could be seen apparently dripping from SN8’s base. This looked odd, and SpaceX founder and CEO Elon Musk soon confirmed that something off-nominal had happened. “We lost vehicle pneumatics. Reason unknown at present. Liquid oxygen header tank pressure is rising. Hopefully triggers burst disk to relieve pressure, otherwise it’s going to pop the cork,” Musk said via Twitter on Thursday night. (Burst disks are single-use devices that, like valves, seal off different sections or systems of a vehicle. They relieve pressure when they open, as Musk noted.)

The cause of the problem is unknown at the moment, Musk said in another Thursday tweet: “Maybe melted an engine preburner or fuel hot gas manifold. Whatever it is caused pneumatics loss. We need to design out this problem.”

The decision to pin down the cause and redesign things so it won’t happen again makes perfect sense, but it also means that the hop will not occur in the next week or so, as hoped for by the company. Expect a delay. Based on the pace that SpaceX works, that delay however should not be longer than one or two months.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

5 comments

  • Brad

    Unless this turns out to be a minor problem, that probably kills any hopes for a 15 km alt. test flight this year.

    Problems are bound to crop up during development of something as novel as the Starship Mars transportation system. So many people though have unrealistic high expectations of the rate of success. I think it will take SpaceX twice as long to get Starship working compared to their aspirational timeline. Meaning the first manned Starship to Mars landing is more likely to launch during 2031 than 2026.

    Even so, 2021 should be a pretty exciting year to watch Starship. Probably a lot of test launches and a lot of crashes too!

  • LocalFluff

    @Brad, I can’t imagine SpaceX fiddling with a non-working launcher for a decade, when they’ve come so far already. With their track record and efficient learning curve I’d be surprised if Starship doesn’t (because of technical problems) put its first hardware in orbit next year or 2022.

    But they do require quite some other kinds of hardware and preparations before launching people to Mars on a 30 months or so long trip. I don’t believe that will be done this decade. A test or preparatory launch to Mars can only be made every 26 months, and they need more than one.

  • Diane Wilson

    A replacement Raptor is being installed today, so I expect to see static fires this week. Assuming the static fires pass, I expect the 15km hop sooner rather than later.

    Keep in mind the speed of their prototyping cycle. I would almost call SN8 “expendable.” It’s an engineering test article, and there’s a limit to how much they can learn from it on the ground. I also would not expect the first 15km hop to be successful; there are too many unknowns that can only be understood from flight data. SN9 is nearly complete, and could probably be on the launch pad (they have two, just in case SN8 destroys one), and ready for SN9 static fires in two or three weeks.

  • LocalFluff

    @Diane Wilson
    Installed today!? Can they just change it on the launch pad as if it were a flat tire on a car? I suppose that if it weren’t a prototype with no more than three engines, they could’ve launched anyway with only one broken engine.

    “Engine rich exhaust” meaning that parts of the engine hardware flew out together with the burning fuel. No problem!

  • Diane Wilson

    @LocalFluff,

    So far, through all the Starship prototypes, they’ve mounted all of the Raptors while on the launch pad. So that’s routine. “Rocket surgery,” if you will, as opposed to rocket science. This is the second Raptor swap-out on SN8.

    They really do need all three engines working for the 15km hop. In addition to launch, they’re also planning to test parts of the entry and landing profile. Flipping from vertical to almost horizontal at the top of that 15km will require two working Raptors.

    No real details on the problem, yet, but discussion over on NasaSpaceFlight has focused on issues with heat and vibration in the confined area under the Starship as a possible root cause. Apparently this is a normal part of rocket development for multiple-engine rockets.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *