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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription, which takes about a 15% cut:

 

4. Donate by check. I get whatever you donate. Make the check payable to Robert Zimmerman and mail it to
 
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You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


Space Force adds Stoke Space and Blue Origin to its list of smallsat launch companies

The Space Force has now added rocket startups Stoke Space and Blue Origin to its list of launch companies who are now approved to bid on launches of the military’s small satellites.

The two firms join 10 other vendors in the OSP-4 pool: ABL Space Systems, Aevum, Astra, Firefly Aerospace, Northrop Grumman, Relativity Space, Rocket Lab, SpaceX, United Launch Alliance (ULA), and X-Bow.

This program is designed for launches that are not critical and can be used to help new rocket companies, while also encourage all the companies to move more quickly, as the contracts are designed to be require a launch within 12 to 24 months after award, and sometimes much sooner. For example, several recent Firefly launches required the company to deliver the payload to the assembly building and get it mounted in less than a few days, and to do so only when told by the military.

This military smallsat launch program is also wholly different than the Space Force’s large payload launch program, which presently only allows SpaceX, ULA, and Blue Origin to bid on launches. With both programs however it appears the military is no longer limiting the companies that can bid to as small a number as possible — which had been its policy for the first two decades of this century — but instead is eagerly expanding the number over time to increase competition and its own options. With the large payload program the Pentagon intends to revisit its list yearly to widen it as new companies mature.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

6 comments

  • pzatchok

    I wonder what would happen if Space X remade the single engine Falcon 1 and made sure it was reusable.

    Or a three engine Falcon 3,

    I think they would take everyone’s contracts with little trouble.

  • Rockribbed1

    Competition is healthy. Spacex doesn’t need to capture every niche of the market.

  • pzatchok

    No they do not have to.

    But what if they contracted to provide the rockets and basic tech for a new rocket company to operate maintain and fly.

    It would cut down on start up costs for the new company and really reduce the testing time since Merlin engines and tanks are already proven.

  • Edward

    pzatchok wrote: “I wonder what would happen if Space X remade the single engine Falcon 1 and made sure it was reusable. … I think they would take everyone’s contracts with little trouble.

    Rockribbed1 replied: “Competition is healthy. Spacex doesn’t need to capture every niche of the market.

    It is fun to speculate upon what could have been or what could be (Bobby Kennedy might have asked, “why not”*).

    Competition is healthy in a free market, but capturing every niche of the market would distract SpaceX from its focus, so it would be against SpaceX’s best interest to be the competition in every niche. Let others specialize and find their own efficiencies.

    Around the year 2000, Elon Musk decided it would be nice to explore Mars commercially; surely private enterprise could perform Mars exploration cheaper than NASA and JPL do. But he discovered that cheaper robotics still cost far too much to launch, so he decided to solve that part of the problem first. Reducing the cost to orbit has resulted in far more productivity in space than we had in the 20th century. Many more companies are now able to be profitable in space than ever before.

    Now that the launch cost is lower, Musk returned to the original problem of Mars exploration. His solution to the cost of exploration seems to be the colonization of Mars so that much more exploration can happen much faster. A side benefit is to make humanity multi-planetary, just in case someone starts a nuclear WWIII or global-climate-warming-Ice-Age-change turns out to be real and catastrophic (either increasing temperatures or the onset of the next Ice Age, as though humans lack the ability to adapt to new conditions, like those on Mars).

    Pursuing other goals, objectives, or niches risks losing focus. Starlink was formed in order to help finance colonization of Mars. Working on NASA’s lunar Human Landing System helps to finance several aspects of getting to and landing on Mars, with cargo and humans. Ocean-going launch and landing platforms, transmogrified from drilling rigs, may be needed in the future, but are likely an expensive distraction for right now.

    pzatchok wrote: “But what if they contracted to provide the rockets and basic tech for a new rocket company to operate maintain and fly.

    “Why not?” It is a good question. I suppose if airliners were used only once then thrown away, like most rockets, Boeing and Airbus would also be airline companies as well as the manufacturers. Stanley Kubrick, in his movie 2001: A Space Odyssey, had imagined Pan Am as an Earth-to-orbit shuttle operator, so maybe we will see similar niche markets arise in the future, and the manufacturers will sell rockets and spacefaring interplanetary craft to the companies that operate these markets. If these efficiencies work for air travel, why not for space travel, too?
    ___________________
    * “Some men see things as they are, and ask why. I dream of things that never were, and ask why not.”

  • Edward: FYI, that quote you attribute to Bobby Kennedy was actually written by George Bernard Shaw, and came from the lips of the Devil. I think the play was “Man And Superman”.

  • Edward

    The Devil, you say?

    All these decades I thought it was a respected man saying something profound.

    Well, I suppose that Shaw counts as well-respected, too, but his play’s character: not so much.

    Looking it up, I find it attributed to both men, but finding who said it first was difficult. Shaw died in 1950, and Kennedy was born in 1925, and since the play was first produced in 1907, I think it is more probable that Kennedy borrowed it from Shaw’s Devil character.

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