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State Department claims orbiting Russian satellite is a military threat

At a conference yesterday a State Department official claimed that an orbiting Russian satellite is behavior in a manner that suggests an unstated military purpose.

Russia has described the satellite in question as a “space apparatus inspector,” Yleem Poblete, assistant secretary for arms control, verification and compliance at the U.S. State Department, said at a conference on disarmament in Geneva yesterday. “But its behavior on orbit was inconsistent with anything seen before from on-orbit inspection or space situational-awareness capabilities, including other Russian inspection-satellite activities. We are concerned with what appears to be very abnormal behavior by a declared ‘space apparatus inspector,”’ Poblete said.

“We don’t know for certain what it is, and there is no way to verify it,” she added. “But Russian intentions with respect to this satellite are unclear and are obviously a very troubling development — particularly when considered in concert with statements by Russia’s Space Force commander, who highlighted that ‘assimilate[ing] new prototypes of weapons [into] Space Forces’ military units’ is a ‘main task facing the Aerospace Forces space troops.'”

If you read the whole speech, you will discover that much of this is somewhat overstated, and that it is simply part of the Trump administration’s aggressive lobbying in favor of creating a Space Force. I don’t deny that this satellite could be testing technologies that could have military uses. I can also recognize it when a government official is trying to use the press to advocate for more funding. At no point does Poblete describe in detail the behavior that makes them think this satellite is doing things “inconsistent with anything seen before from on-orbit inspection or space situational-awareness capabilities.” In fact, if it is making unusual orbital changes that is very consistent with these purposes since any satellite designed to make orbital inspections of other facilities would need that capability.

In fact, I bet it isn’t the satellite’s activity that concerns them, but its vague description. The Russians really haven’t told us what it is. While this is surely a concern, this speech’s purpose is to lobby for the Space Force, not pressure the Russians to provide more information.

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3 comments

  • MDN

    Seems to me that this is one of those things we’re just going to have to learn to get used to. With the dawn of supplemental station keeping craft that will “dock” with and maintain the orbit of older satellites that have run out of fuel but are still functional the basic technology for anti-satellite operations will come along for free as well.

    I don’t know how sophisticated and cooperative our satellite tracking infrastructure is, but assuming it is not as formal as air traffic control we need an international effort to define and build a future proof near Earth orbital monitoring and control system. Space is crowded already, but with the dawn of cube sats it is going to become exponentially worse in the decades to come.

    Such a system would function like air traffic control does today with all satellites mandated to be registered, and to be equipped with transponders to simplify their orbital tracking. And, all maneuvering for “inspection” or whatever would need to get an approved “Flight Plan” before commencing. Realtime monitoring of the transponders would allow our defense agencies to guard against unauthorized maneuvering, and deployment of stealth satellites that do not adhere to these requirements would be banned with the loss of commercial orbital slots etc. imposed on any country found in violation.

    That’s my thinking on this anyway : )

  • wayne

    -I rather think we don’t need an ‘international effort.’

    pivoting–
    Assignment; Earth
    Star Trek (original)
    https://youtu.be/WfAP6fJZ1is
    3:10

  • wodun

    They could have used China as an example. I seem to recall some articles posted here about the suspicious nature of some of China’s space activities.

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