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Curiosity’s dramatic path forward

Curiosity's future travels
Click for full image.

Cool image time! In the coming weeks and months the view from Curiosity is going to give us the most spectacular views of another world since the Apollo astronauts walked on the Moon.

In today’s download of new images from the Mars rover Curiosity was the photo above, reduced to post here. Taken by rover’s right navigation camera, it looks west directly in line with Curiosity’s future travels, and shows that it is now finally entering mountain country.

The overview map below provides the context.

Overview map

The blue teardrop indicates Curiosity’s present position. The white lines indicate the approximate area seen in the image above. The red dotted line shows Curiosity’s planned route. The white dots show the rover’s actual recent path.

As you can see, the science team has diverged considerably from their planned route. They appear to be skirted much closer to the mountains than originally planned so that if they hold generally to their original plans they will circle around the biggest ridge much closer to it.

There is even the possibility, suggested by this navigation image, that they are considering changing their plans and heading directly into Gediz Vallis. Should they do so we will be treated to breath-taking mountainous views that will actually exceed anything ever seen on another world, including the best pictures taken by the Apollo astronauts.

What I expect is really happening is that the scientists do not wish to retreat downhill, because to do so will mean they will be seeing geology already studied. Higher ground allows them to go where no geologist as ever gone. They will likely stay as high as they can as they go around the big mountain. They might even poke into Gediz Valles a short distance before heading west around that mountain.

Time is essential however. First, the Curiosity team now has to share download time with the Perseverance team, meaning they cannot get as many images or data as they used to. This means it will take longer to accomplish anything they try to do.

Curiosity's wheels
Click here for top image and here and here for the bottom image.

Second, and far more important, the condition of Curiosity could become a factor. For more than a full week at the end of May they were unable to drive at all because of several niggling problems. The cover of one of the rover’s camera did not close as planned, and there was another issue with the rover’s tall mast which holds its high resolution camera. Both problems have been solved and the rover has resumed travel, but both point to a future of many new technical problems.

And of course, there is the problematic condition of Curiosity’s wheels, which they discovered early in the mission were not as robust as planned. Since then the engineers have done good work in protecting those wheels and reducing further damage by carefully picking their way around rough ground. However, their future path into the mountains is far rougher than anything so far experienced. They will be hard put to prevent further wheel damage.

The two images to the right illustrate the seriousness of this issue. The top photo was taken about two months after the bottom, covering a period earlier this year when the rover was traversing some of this rough terrain. For comparison, the numbers indicate the same tread sections.

As you can see, it appears the breakages have increased. And this change is significant, because for years the rover’s engineers worked to protect the wheels, resulting in relatively little new damage. The rocky nature of the mountainous terrain the rover is now traversing seems to unfortunately be overwhelming their efforts.

And if this stops Curiosity’s travels in the near future it will be a great tragedy, especially because the rover is finally moving into terrain that is both breath-taking and also significant geologically. To not reach that ground would be a terrible loss.

Conscious Choice cover

Now available in hardback and paperback as well as ebook!


From the press release: In this ground-breaking new history of early America, historian Robert Zimmerman not only exposes the lie behind The New York Times 1619 Project that falsely claims slavery is central to the history of the United States, he also provides profound lessons about the nature of human societies, lessons important for Americans today as well as for all future settlers on Mars and elsewhere in space.

Conscious Choice: The origins of slavery in America and why it matters today and for our future in outer space, is a riveting page-turning story that documents how slavery slowly became pervasive in the southern British colonies of North America, colonies founded by a people and culture that not only did not allow slavery but in every way were hostile to the practice.  
Conscious Choice does more however. In telling the tragic history of the Virginia colony and the rise of slavery there, Zimmerman lays out the proper path for creating healthy societies in places like the Moon and Mars.


“Zimmerman’s ground-breaking history provides every future generation the basic framework for establishing new societies on other worlds. We would be wise to heed what he says.” —Robert Zubrin, founder of founder of the Mars Society.


All editions are available at Amazon, Barnes & Noble, and all book vendors, with the ebook priced at $5.99 before discount. The ebook can also be purchased direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit, in which case you don't support the big tech companies and I get a bigger cut much sooner.


Autographed printed copies are also available at discount directly from me (hardback $24.95; paperback $14.95; Shipping cost for either: $5.00). Just email me at zimmerman @ nasw dot org.


  • Jeff Wright

    I have often thought the dismal images from Viking hurt Mars exploration. No danger of that here!

  • The wheel situation looks to be real problem. The latter image shows a significant increase in damage, along with what looks like the onset of general failure in that section. I would expect a hole that size would compromise the rover’s climbing ability. And every time that section rolls over ground, dust and pebbles will enter the wheel; putting bearings at risk at the least. Curious if the rover can be run in reverse, if there is more suitable ground on one side.

  • Blair K Ivey: I am 90% sure that bearings are not an issue, nor any material that might get through the gaps. See these two webpages:

    Diagram of a Curiosity wheel

    The Mars Curiosity Rover Wheels and Legs

    The treads, called grousers, appear to carry the bulk of the cylinder structure strength. Moreover, if you look there are other gaps as large as the damage that were machined in on purpose. I think the wheel is more robust that it appears.

    Nonetheless, the damage is not a good thing, and over the coming months is going to require continuous monitoring. It might eventually cause them to retreat from the rough terrain they are presently in.

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