A new poll of Earth scientists has found that a majority are skeptical of human-caused global warming.

Please consider donating to Behind the Black, by giving either a one-time contribution or a regular subscription, as outlined in the tip jar below. Your support will allow me to continue covering science and culture as I have for the past twenty years, independent and free from any outside influence.


Regular readers can support Behind The Black with a contribution via paypal:

Or with a subscription with regular donations from your Paypal or credit card account:


If Paypal doesn't work for you, you can support Behind The Black directly by sending your donation by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman, to
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652

Consensus! A new poll of Earth scientists has found that a majority are skeptical of human-caused global warming.

Only 36 percent of geoscientists and engineers believe that humans are creating a global warming crisis, according to a survey reported in the peer-reviewed Organization Studies. By contrast, a strong majority of the 1,077 respondents believe that nature is the primary cause of recent global warming and/or that future global warming will not be a very serious problem.

This is fun to note, but this poll is as worthless in determining the climate of the Earth as every previous poll that said the opposite. What matters is the data. However, this quote about the poll is significant:

One interesting aspect of this new survey is the unmistakably alarmist bent of the survey takers. They frequently use terms such as “denier” to describe scientists who are skeptical of an asserted global warming crisis, and they refer to skeptical scientists as “speaking against climate science” rather than “speaking against asserted climate projections.” Accordingly, alarmists will have a hard time arguing the survey is biased or somehow connected to the ‘vast right-wing climate denial machine.’

Another interesting aspect of this new survey is that it reports on the beliefs of scientists themselves rather than bureaucrats who often publish alarmist statements without polling their member scientists. We now have meteorologists, geoscientists and engineers all reporting that they are skeptics of an asserted global warming crisis, yet the bureaucrats of these organizations frequently suck up to the media and suck up to government grant providers by trying to tell us the opposite of what their scientist members actually believe.



  • joe

    Global warming is a lie, climate change is happening and has been going on for about 4.5 billion years if that is indeed the age of the earth, the media and the government have been pushing this lie for over 30 years, the thing about a lie is, that if its told enough times it starts to become fact! When every third story in the news is related to global warming, it becomes brain washing, and when the teachers in elmentary school tow the government line about global warming, they are perpetuating this lie and indoctrinating our young, they no longer need to go after thinking adulds because they creat a reality that is false!

  • Jim

    Its interesting to note that the authors themselves do not agree with Mr. Taylor’s conclusions, and they addressed him directly as a response to the Forbes article, which you can see below Mr. Taylors piece in the comments section. They tell Mr. Taylor that they did not have what could be called representative sample in order to make the broad conclusions he makes. Here is a quote from them:
    “In addition, even within the confines of our non-representative data set, the interpretation that a majority of the respondents believe that nature is the primary cause of global warming is simply not correct. To the contrary: the majority believes that humans do have their hands in climate change, even if many of them believe that humans are not the only cause.”
    But what do they know, they are the one’s who did the study Mr. Taylor uses.

  • Chris Kirkendall

    Bob is exactly right – it matters not what people THINK is going on – look at the data. The data does not support human-caused warming…

  • Jim

    If that is what Bob is saying, and I am not sure he is, than both of you are wrong.

    Here is the data from the study:
    They break the respondents into 5 groups-
    1. 36% belong to the Kyoto group, which says global warming is real, and man is the cause. This is the largest group of respondents.
    2. 24% belong the Nature group, which says man is too insignificant to have an impact. This is the second largest group of respondents.
    3. 10% belong to the Economic group, which says they are not sure whether man or nature is the primary culprit, so the cause is undetermined.
    4. 17% belong to the Fatalist group, which says climate change is caused by both nature and man.
    5. 5% belong to the Regulations group, which says climate change is caused by both nature and man.

    So, any reading of the above percentages, which I took directly from the study itself, says that of the two groups who believe strongly one way or the other on whether man or nature is the culprit, most would say man (35% compared to 24%). If you then add in the responses of those who think both man and nature are the cause, then one can safely say that 68% is the number. Any reading of the data says that most respondents believe that man plays a role in global warming, if not the major role. They all may vary even more on what to do about global warming, but not the causes.

    The authors attempted to correct Mr. Taylor, but you can go read the report itself that Bob provided a link to and look at the findings from the data.

  • Jim

    Actually Bob’s link is to Taylor’s article, but in the article there is a link to the report.

  • My real point in noting this poll is that it illustrates quite clearly, as your comment above so well points out, how little consensus there is on the subject of climate. These polled scientists probably know the data better than anyone, and they can’t agree on anything.

    Thus, when politicians like Barack Obama demand we do something about a science that they claim is “settled”, they are lying, and should be called out for doing so.

  • Jim

    You know, it did occur to me that one could also have put out this headline from the study:
    “Only 24% of surveyed geoscientists believe global warming is attributed to natural causes.”
    Hopefully the authors would have corrected that mistake as well.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *