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Astra defaults on debt agreement

The rocket startup Astra revealed on Friday that it was unable to meet the requirements of one of its investors that it maintain at least $10.5 million in cash reserves, and thus defaulted on that debt agreement.

Astra twice last month failed to meet minimum cash reserve requirements associated with a $12.5 million note issuance to New Jersey investment group High Trail Capital.

The debt raise first required that Astra have “at least $15.0 million of cash and cash equivalents” on hand. That liquidity requirement was adjusted after Astra failed to prove compliance a first time, to require “at least $10.5 million of unrestricted, unencumbered cash and cash equivalents.” Having fallen out of compliance a second time, Astra now owes $8 million on the aggregate principal investment.

Sadly, it appears the end for this company is coming.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

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11 comments

  • Concerned

    It’s really not that sad. They were a woke San Francisco-based company that plastered “Black Lives Matter” on the side of their rocket and had a business plan that was only going to work if Uncle Sam gave them a steady stream of contracts.

    Good riddance.

  • Questioner

    Concerned:

    Thank you for these interesting details. I agree with you, it’s not really sad, except for Astra’s shareholders of course. I also found Chris Kemp not really convincing in the role of CEO of Astra, too distant, almost a little arrogant. No comparison to based Peter Beck, who worked in his workshop 15 years ago and made the parts for his small rocket engines himself. However, Astra’s main problem was that they had neither a really convincing business idea nor particularly innovative technical solutions for their rockets that could have secured them a place in the market.

  • sippin_bourbon

    They are back under a dollar, and have been for several weeks.

    Their next quarterly results are on the 13th. I would not expect good news.

    The original model included the flawed assumption that the market would accept low reliability. I seem to remember that that the original plan of 80% reliability would be acceptable. If someone is launching hundreds of small sats, that would be okay, because they are building the same sat in volume. But they contracts they won were one offs, or small constellations, like the 6-bird TROPICs mission. That kind of success rate no longer works.

    And in testing, they failed to reach that.

    I saw a discussion on Reddit that estimated they now have about $2.5M left in cash, barring a last minute investor willing to infuse cash. Granted, that is internet math, so take with a grain of salt. But the suggestion is that will not cover payroll through the month.

    We shall see.

  • Questioner

    sippin_bourbon:

    Yes, it’s true, their business philosophy (as a counter concept to the reusable rocket, which is expensive to develop and produce) was that of the cheap disposable rocket, produced in large numbers on an assembly line. Many who refer to such a concept cite the mass production of the German V2 (A4) from the Second World War or to Kayser’s OTRAG as an example. Whether this is an economically viable concept remains to be seen. It would definitely have required a very launch rate, perhaps up to a few thousand per year. But which market can it cover in the long term? Of course, a 20% loss in reliability is not acceptable in this case either, I would say a maximum of 2%.

    The Astra boys were also a bit unlucky. In the end, she had a well-functioning first stage, but a not very reliable second stage engine that was technically unrelated to the first stage engines. It would have been smarter to give the first stage 7 to 9 engines (instead of 5) and use that engine on the second stage as well, as many other rocket companies do.

  • Jeff Wright

    Well…that went sideways…

  • Col Beausabre

    The A4 (“V2”) was not exactly a beacon of reliability either. But what do you expect from a project led by a war criminal SS major that employed slaves to build its rockets? Not much worker buy in.

    “The Dutch resistance estimated the number of failed launchings at 8.4 %. This concerns only the failures exclusively at, or immediately after the take-off. Furthermore a number of the rockets didn’t survive the return into the atmosphere, as mentioned above. The flight of other rockets was beyond control, plagued by gyroscope problems. These disturbances appeared before the cutting off of the fuel supply. When the fuel supply ceased, the trajectory of the falling rocket could not be affected anymore, although the rudders provided some stabilization. The Czech researcher Jirzy estimates that 17% of the V2-rockets fired at Antwerp failed on launching due to technical failures. Another 18% experienced problems during the flight26 .Therefore merely 65% of the launched rockets landed onto the target dispersed over a large area.”

  • sippin_bourbon

    I do not think the Astra program had any relation to the mass production goals of the V1/V2 programs.
    Mass production of weapons is an entirely different goal that mass production of a commercial launch vehicle. Namely, the goal of placing a product in orbit, not a warhead on a target.

    Astra was hoping to cash in a large constellations of small sats, similar to what Planet launched using Indian rockets.
    What they did not count on was a single rocket carrying many at once, as opposed to one of their rockets carrying 1 or 2, launching “daily”.

  • Questioner

    sippin_bourbon:

    If you cannot easily make the link to the V2 yourself with a view to mass production of a complex liquid rocket, I recommend that you study the relevant section (page 70) of the book “LEO on the Cheap” (by USAF Lieutenant Colonel John R. London).

    I have linked a PDF version of the book, which is actually known to all rocket enthusiasts, below.

    http://foyle.quarkweb.com/lc93/leocheap_book.pdf

  • sippin_bourbon

    It is a nice research paper.
    The relationship you give is a stretch at best.
    Based on that paper , you can link any liquid rocket to the V-2. That is the limit of the comparison.

    My point is that I do not believe Kemp was inspired by the V2. He was inspired by his friends in CA.

  • sippin_bourbon

    As expected, the stock price dropped today.
    Opened at 0.78 and closed at 0.73.

    They seem confident, but there has been no announcement of a new investor.
    Either that or their sat engine business is really taking off.
    We will find out on the 13th.

  • Questioner

    sippin_bourbon:

    By the way, in the 1994 book, on page 80, you will find a very short section about Tom Mueller’s activities (first employee of SpaceX). So the man with the shortest mention (in this book) later had the greatest success, which of course would not have been possible without Elon Musk.

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