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Both SpaceX and Boeing say that they are on schedule to make their first test flights of their manned capsules before 2016.

The competition heats up: Both SpaceX and Boeing say that they are on schedule to make their first test flights of their manned capsules before 2016.

Boeing claims they will be able to make their first manned flight in 2016. SpaceX says it will fly manned by 2015.

Boeing, with its CST-100, still aims to demonstrate the seven-person capsule on a three-day manned orbital test flight in 2016, says John Mulholland, vice president and program manager for Commercial Programs. At the recent Space Tech Expo in Long Beach, Calif., he said CST-100 “can be operational as soon as 2016. It is really important for NASA to maintain the ‘no-later than 2017’ launch date. That’s the No. 1 priority and I think NASA, with good reason, wants to maintain competition through the next round. That would be healthy as long as you have the budget to allow that competition in the next round and still fly in 2017.” …

SpaceX Commercial Crew project manager Garrett Reisman says his company’s plan to conduct a pad abort test in December remains on track, paving the way for a test flight to the space station with a non-NASA crew in a version of the Dragon spacecraft in 2015. “What we think we need to complete launch assurance is just over two years, so we could do a test with people on board around mid-2015. That is what we proposed under CCiCAP and it is the trajectory we are on today but,” depending on funding, that may not hold,” he warns.

No one should be surprised if both schedules are not met. For one thing, new rocket engineering takes time and is routinely delayed. For another, the funding from Congress is problematic. The politicians haven’t eliminated the program, but they keep trying to trim it in order to dump more money into the NASA-designed Space Launch System (SLS), which costs ten times as much and doesn’t expect to make its first manned mission until 2021 and will then have a heart-stopping launch rate of one flight every four years.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 
The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

One comment

  • Tim

    This is getting exciting! Rocket business is known for NOT making the due date.
    But I believe this RACE will be pushed hard by both Co’s and will be surprisingly close to the dates they say.
    Esp w/ NASA extending their contracts w Soyuz till 2016-17.
    R&D at its BEST!

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