Scroll down to read this post.

 

Please consider supporting my work here at Behind the Black. I keep the website clean from pop-ups and annoying demands. Instead, I depend entirely on my readers to support me. Though this means I am sacrificing some income, it also means that I remain entirely independent from outside pressure. By depending solely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, no one can threaten me with censorship. You don't like what I write, you can simply go elsewhere.

 

You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
 

3. A Paypal Donation:

4. A Paypal subscription:


5. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
 
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652

 

You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above. And if you buy the books through the ebookit links, I get a larger cut and I get it sooner.


In the final draft of its new report the IPCC has significantly slashed its predictions for how much the climate will warm in the coming decades.

From the second to the final draft of its newest report the IPCC significantly slashed its predictions for how much the climate will warm in the coming decades.

In the second draft of the Fifth Assessment Report it had broadly agreed with the models that the world will warm by 0.4 to 1.0 Cº from 2016-2035 against 1986-2005. But in the final draft it quietly cut the 30-year projection to 0.3-0.7 Cº, saying the warming is more likely to be at the lower end of the range [equivalent to about 0.4 Cº over 30 years]. If that rate continued till 2100, global warming this century could be as little as 1.3 Cº.

This will bring the IPCC’s predictions more in line with the reality of the past two decades, which has seen a complete pause in any warming.

This is actually very good news, as it suggests that the good scientists in the climate community are beginning to regain control of the science. Rather than bend to the political winds, the IPCC is being forced to bend to the data itself. Nonetheless, no one should be sanguine about the situation. As noted by Christopher Monckton at the link,

Multiple lines of evidence now confirm that the models and consequently the IPCC have overestimated global warming. Yet neither that misconceived organization nor any of its host of unthinking devotees has displayed any remorse. Instead, they persist in maintaining that the warming is temporarily paused, though they cannot really explain why; or they blame particulate aerosols, their get-out-of-jail-free fudge-factor; or they pretend warming is really continuing unabated, saying it has gone into hiding deep in the oceans where, conveniently, we cannot measure it, or that the Earth-atmosphere system has a fever driven by four atom-bombs’-worth of heat content increase every second.

What they are not prepared to countenance, notwithstanding the real-world, measured evidence, is the growing probability that they and their precious models have so badly misunderstood the climate, or so well understood it and so badly misrepresented it, that global warming is simply not going to occur at anything like any of the exaggerated rates that they had until now so confidently over-predicted.

Read the whole thing. Look especially at Figure 9, the last figure, as it shows the data in comparison with the predictions in all the IPCC reports.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 
The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

7 comments

  • Pzatchok

    Well if the main stream media never questions them then they can say anything and never be wrong.

    Just wait, as soon as AGW can’t be proven they will claim that their great environmental laws and forced changes to industry were what saved us all.

  • mpthompson

    Didn’t some AGW yahoos just come out two days ago claiming that we’ll see a 4C to 7C increase by the end of this century? Something about the clouds thinning or some such nonsense. I guess they didn’t get the memo.

  • M D Mill

    Bob:

    in a similar line…
    The available satelite observations (RSS and UAH) of average global warming of the lower atmosphere from 1979 to 2013 is about .3 C, and is by far the most reliable…especially given the “adjustments” recently by GISS and HADCRUT.
    The co2 concentration during that time changed from 336 to 395 ppm. Even if we assume all that temperature increase was due to co2; and if we assume a nearly logarithmic relation of temperature change to co2 (which is well known); then a little algebra yields a sensitivity of 1.28 C per doubling of co2! At the current rate of co2 increase it would require about 200 years to double co2 from the current level. [And the atmosphere washes out half of the co2 emmitted by man every year (ie, the co2 level does not “like” to be moved from its “natural” level), so i don’t forsee a great increase in the rate, even as more countries burn more hydro-carbon.] When I start to see reliable observable evidence that the rate of global temperature increase is much greater than this I will reasonably begin to take the alarmism seriously. Does even a wild enviro-zealot see a flaw in this reasoning?…especially given the IMMEASURABLE advantages of using this energy source. It boggles the mind of the sane.

    [P.S….even using the 1950 to 2013 HAdcrut data(questionable?) from figure 9 (delta T=.68 C); and 310 ppm co2 in 1950; yields a sensitiviy of 1.95 C per doubling co2…over 200 years at current rates.]

    regards…M D Mill

  • Edward

    Excellent video. I have sent it on to my friends and family who deny that anthropogenic CO2 is a minor influence on global climate change.

  • Lois Johnson

    Yes it is a good video. CERN is going to test the model of the effect of supernova explosions on cloud formation (which affects global warming/cooling).

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=eFImb5gy7SE

  • Cotour

    Both good, substantive videos, thank you.

Readers: the rules for commenting!

 

No registration is required. I welcome all opinions, even those that strongly criticize my commentary.

 

However, name-calling and obscenities will not be tolerated. First time offenders who are new to the site will be warned. Second time offenders or first time offenders who have been here awhile will be suspended for a week. After that, I will ban you. Period.

 

Note also that first time commenters as well as any comment with more than one link will be placed in moderation for my approval. Be patient, I will get to it.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *