NOAA once again over-predicts the hurricane count
As it has done repeatedly in recent years, NOAA in 2022 once again over-predicted the hurricane count for this past hurricane season, predicting an above-normal season when it actually ended up to be well below-normal.
In late May and again in early August 2022 NOAA predicted that the year 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season (between June to end November calendar period) would be an “above normal” season with 14-21 named storms, between 6-10 hurricanes including 3-6 major hurricanes (Category 3,4 and 5) as shown in NOAA’s diagram below.
Colorado State University’s Department of Atmospheric Science/Tropical Meteorology Project has compiled the year 2022 tropical storm data, establishing that, compared to its 30 year North Atlantic data records covering the Climatological period 1991-2020, the year 2022 hurricane season was below average in Named Storms, Named Storm Days, Hurricane Days, Major Hurricanes, Major Hurricane Days and Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE).
The many graphs at the link also demonstrate that the predictions that there will be an increase in extreme weather events due to increased use of fossil fuels is also proving false.
On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.
The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.
The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News
As it has done repeatedly in recent years, NOAA in 2022 once again over-predicted the hurricane count for this past hurricane season, predicting an above-normal season when it actually ended up to be well below-normal.
In late May and again in early August 2022 NOAA predicted that the year 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season (between June to end November calendar period) would be an “above normal” season with 14-21 named storms, between 6-10 hurricanes including 3-6 major hurricanes (Category 3,4 and 5) as shown in NOAA’s diagram below.
Colorado State University’s Department of Atmospheric Science/Tropical Meteorology Project has compiled the year 2022 tropical storm data, establishing that, compared to its 30 year North Atlantic data records covering the Climatological period 1991-2020, the year 2022 hurricane season was below average in Named Storms, Named Storm Days, Hurricane Days, Major Hurricanes, Major Hurricane Days and Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE).
The many graphs at the link also demonstrate that the predictions that there will be an increase in extreme weather events due to increased use of fossil fuels is also proving false.
On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.
The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.
The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News
Trivia question: Which planet in the solar system regularly experiences the highest winds?
Its not global warming, its climate change.
We all know that climates change all the time. So it makes a great excuse for anything, everything weather related. The unwashed masses will buy anything from someone with a collage degree, any degree.
If the models do not match the predicted outcome it was climate change.
Yeah, they over predict and flat out exaggerate the intensity of storms now. Shameful because the public deserves accurate information for its tax dollar.
I grew up near the ocean and used to anxiously await the Atlantic hurricane season for good waves. I still routinely read the forecaster’s discussion on storms. The tone has changed over the years they take liberties with the data they have, and lean on less reliable aircraft microwave data. In my opinion, most storms are at least 10-15 knots weaker than they report depending on specific situation.
Here’s a surprising noaa publication on the 2020 season where a key take away is “Doubling in the number of named storms over a century is very likely due to technology change, not natural or man-made climate change”.
https://noaanhc.wordpress.com/2021/06/30/was-2020-a-record-breaking-hurricane-season-yes-but/
So shameful and pathetic that even the weather has been politicized. Their alarmism knows no bounds.
Its like the allarmist chemists.
They used to detect chemicals in the human body by the thousandth, then as technology changed it was by the millionth, then billionth and now they can detect chemicals by the trillionth or better.
But every article just states ‘we detected such and such in the human body, we think it might contribute to such and such.’
A totally empty statement that the plebes just lap up. A few days later you start hearing about it on every morning show and late night conspiracy show.
Statements like “there are twice as many named hurcanes this year as last, do you think this could be conected to climate change?”
“Well Chad it could be, it could be.”
Quietly in the back of the scientists head he is thinking it could also have everything to do with the fact that we changed the standards and just named twice as many this year in order to get more funding.