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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription, which takes about a 15% cut:

 

4. Donate by check. I get whatever you donate. Make the check payable to Robert Zimmerman and mail it to
 
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
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You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


SpaceX successfully launches 52 Starlink satellites

Capitalism in space: Using its Falcon 9 rocket SpaceX today successfully put another 52 Starlink satellites into orbit.

The first stage successfully landed on a drone ship in the Atlantic, completing its fourth flight. The two fairing halves each completed their fourth and fifth flights, respectively.

Note: The Biden administration yesterday gave SpaceX the okay to activate Starlink in Iran, in order to provide that country’s citizens an option for obtaining information blocked by its government.

The leaders in the 2022 launch race:

43 SpaceX
38 China
12 Russia
7 Rocket Lab
6 ULA

American private enterprise now leads China 60 to 38 in the national rankings, and the entire world combined 60 to 58.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

7 comments

  • Ray Van Dune

    I wonder, could SpaceX retire the Falcon 9 in favor of Starship before anyone else even puts a reusable orbital booster into service?

    If somebody forced me to bet, I’d have to bet “yes”. The only reason I would hedge is because the F9 may well continue in use long after Starship is in production, since it is comparatively cheap and easy to use, perhaps especially in a quick-reaction role.

  • mpthompson

    Ray Van Dune, if Starship works as planned, the Falcon 9 will be retired because it simply won’t be able to compete in cost with a fully reusable rocket. Consumables for a Starship launch are probably in the low-millions at most while consumables for every Falcon launch are still somewhere north of $10 million mainly because the second stage is not reusable. That is indeed cheap compared to other systems, but I’m pretty sure SpaceX doesn’t want themselves or their customers to spend this money if they don’t have to.

    NASA and DOD will likely want Falcon launches longer than SpaceX would prefer, but virtually everything else will switch to Starship as soon as practical. You can be sure that SpaceX will be lobbying customers very hard once Starship is a proven entity.

  • Ray Van Dune

    mpthompson, your points are completely valid, but my real issue is that the rest of the industry seems to be so woefully behind, that it seems they will be putting SpaceX is the position of having to invest in maintaining legacy versions of its own products.

  • sippin_bourbon

    Predictions on the cost of Starship launch are just that, predictions. But F9 could continue to be useful for missions that do not go to the same orbit Starship is servicing. It may not be cost effective to send the entire starship to polar orbit for a hypothetical 15 ton payload. I mean they could wait until there are 10 or 15 customer payloads, but that means waiting until they are all flight ready, and can be aggregated.

  • Dick Eagleson

    This most recent Starlink launch also set a record which I have seen remarked upon nowhere – the first 6-day pad turnaround in SpaceX history. Slightly less than 6 days, in fact. And SpaceX is getting ready to do a second 6-day turnaround of SLC-40 back-to-back. The next launch there is now scheduled for Sept. 30.

    SpaceX seems well on the way to meeting or exceeding its announced 60-launch goal for all of 2022. There is even a decent probability that SpaceX, by itself, will meet or exceed the all-U.S. “silver medal” record for annual launches of 64 set in 1964.

    SpaceX has already announced that its 2023 goal is 100 launches – 30 more than the 70 the entire U.S. managed to do during its previous busiest year in space, 1966. If SpaceX manages to keep putting together 6-day turnarounds for SLC-40, that pad, alone, could account for nearly as many launches in 2023 as SpaceX is looking to accomplish from all of its pads this year. With a rising launch cadence at its Vandy pad, a robust slate of Dragon and FH launches from LC-39A next year and the potential for multiple orbital Starship launches from Starbase, that 100-launch goal may actually prove conservative.

  • Edward

    Ray Van Dune asked: “I wonder, could SpaceX retire the Falcon 9 in favor of Starship before anyone else even puts a reusable orbital booster into service?

    Probably not. Dragon needs Falcon 9, and SpaceX is contracted to use Dragon to go to ISS into 2030. Meanwhile, New Glenn and Neutron are likely to become operational long before then.

    I am disappointed at the low number of reusable rockets currently in development. The reusable ones are likely to be lower price and certainly will be able to have much higher launch cadences than the expendable rockets. The companies that reuse their rockets will be the market leaders. The others will have to catch up or leave the launch market.

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