Scroll down to read this post.

 

Readers!

 

My annual Thanksgiving/Christmas fund drive for Behind the Black is now over. Though it sagged in the middle, the final week was an amazing barn-burner. My readers responded in an astonishing manner, so that 2024 now looks like it will turn out to be the best year for me financially since I started this webpage in 2010.

 

Thank you to all! I am always at a loss to express my gratitude for this support. No one is required to pay anything to read my work. And yet so many of you are still willing to do so. Thank you again!

 

If you didn't donate or subscribe but like my work, please consider doing so. This support by my readers allows me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Only now does it appear that Washington might finally recognize this reality.

 

In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.

 

Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.

 

You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are four ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription:

 

4. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
 
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652

 

You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


SpaceX to build test prototype of BFS, test on Falcon 9

Capitalism in space: SpaceX announced today that it is building a test prototype of its Big Falcon Spaceship, the upper stage of its Big Falcon Rocket, and it will use the Falcon 9 to do orbital flight tests.

Musk in a tweet said that they hope to to do the first flight by June 2019. Musk also said that they will not be testing vertical landing with this prototype, focusing instead on atmospheric re-entry. From this I can only assume it will not be recovered after its return to Earth.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon. from any other book seller, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

4 comments

  • I think it may be recovered, if practical, so they can do a materials examination. If reentry works, it’ll go subsonic as it falls through the troposphere. It would be smashed to bits hitting the ocean in free fall, but with a ringsail parachute, it’d be intact enough to be to be fished out. Or with a steerable chute, maybe caught by Mr. Steven. It’d be too banged up for reuse, but intact enough to make study worthwhile.

    In the realm of high fantasy, Falcon 9 has enough margin you could imagine this test vehicle evolving into a small spaceplane with a crew compartment. In the past, that would’ve been worth doing. Now it’s too late. BFR and New Armstrong are coming and by 2030 it’ll be a different aerospace world. Hope I get to see it!

  • geoffc

    Reading the article it means they will do exactly what they did all along.

    Use paid for flights, to test new technologies, after the core mission is done.

    So on most of the initial Falcon 9 flights after stage 1 was finished its paid for job, they tested reentry and landing ideas until they got it working right.

    And then once they got landing working and had stages that were not going to land (sea conditions, or payload size issues) they tried super aggressive reentry options to nail down the edges of the envelope that they could handle.

    This just means they are going to test BFR reentry ideas on a Stage 2. So instead of just destructively reentering they will try to see how different attitudes affect reentry. And sounds like they will test out the heat sheild they were considering as well.

    Very very smart. NASA would spend a billion dollars on a one off special test vehicle that takes 6 years. SpaceX is just going to start using their second stages, which they fly 20 times a year and experiment till they get it right.

  • Edward

    geoffc wrote: “SpaceX is just going to start using their second stages, which they fly 20 times a year and experiment till they get it right.

    This makes much sense. Testing could include assuring that the “hatch” part of the nosecone works as expected, a new form of adapter and release mechanism performs properly, and that the reentry systems (heat shield, fins, “wings,” etc.) are adequate.

    Because half the nosecone does not open like the current fairings, they cannot release payloads straight ahead as they do now. This will complicate the mechanisms that they use to hold the payload and release it in a way that does not collide with the ship.

    There may be no need to recover the test article(s), especially if they do not want to examine the materials. This may be mostly a proof of concept test, using instrumentation to validate that nothing was overstressed. The early Falcon 9 reentry tests were not recovered but were “soft landed” into the ocean, yet important lessons were learned during those experiments; verifying the reusability of the engines had to wait until a first stage was successfully recovered.

    I see the main risk as being in scaling up, which can be tricky.

    On the other hand, although SpaceX did not mention it, wouldn’t it be nice if, based upon these tests, they chose to make reusable Falcon 9 upper stages?

  • wodun

    This is interesting because SpaceX took a lot of heat for their constant iterations and they were forced by the media to say their Block V would be a set thing and wouldn’t be constantly changed. I am assuming that their new 2nd stage wont be used on crewed flights and possibly not on any NASA flight.

Readers: the rules for commenting!

 

No registration is required. I welcome all opinions, even those that strongly criticize my commentary.

 

However, name-calling and obscenities will not be tolerated. First time offenders who are new to the site will be warned. Second time offenders or first time offenders who have been here awhile will be suspended for a week. After that, I will ban you. Period.

 

Note also that first time commenters as well as any comment with more than one link will be placed in moderation for my approval. Be patient, I will get to it.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *