To read this post please scroll down.

 

Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription, which takes about a 15% cut:

 

4. Donate by check. I get whatever you donate. Make the check payable to Robert Zimmerman and mail it to
 
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652

 

You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


ArianeGroup to cut 2300 jobs

Capitalism in space: Faced with a significant loss of market share, taken by SpaceX, the European rocket manufacturer ArianeGroup has announced it will reduce its staffing by 2,300 jobs by 2022.

A joint venture by European aerospace company Airbus and the French group Safran, it currently employs 9,000 people in France and Germany. Constructor of the Ariane rockets, the European Space Agency workhorse, ArianeGroup also produces ballistic missiles.

Ariane 5 rockets are soon to be replaced by the Ariane 6 which will be an estimated 40 percent cheaper to make, under pressure in particular from Elon Musk’s SpaceX.

But European buyers have so far ordered only three Ariane 6 rockets ahead of the first scheduled launch in 2020.

The article at the link, produced by a French news service, is somewhat amusing. It repeatedly blames the lack of demand for the Ariane 6 on the U.S. government, which provides business to SpaceX. It doesn’t mention that ArianeGroup’s Ariane 6 rocket meanwhile is being built with government funds from the European Space Agency, and once completed in the 2020s will have a launch price that exceeds that of the Falcon 9 today. No wonder it hasn’t garnered many customers.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

3 comments

  • fred k

    It’s very much a canard for Ariane to complain about the US gov’t. I’m not aware of any *paid* US gov’t missions flying on Ariane rockets.

    Seems silly to complain about business that Ariane never had, nor were they ever going to get.

  • wodun

    We can cut Ariane some slack. What SpaceX has done isn’t just a simple innovation in chemical rockets but a paradigm shift. These types of shifts are not things that can always be anticipated.

    Now that Ariane is aware of the shift, they can choose to change. But change to what? What is the purpose of ArianeGroup?

    Everything depends on how they define their purpose. Since they are not entirely a business, their purpose wont be to act like one. Their purpose could be to serve their government’s interests, in which case the cost of launch and attracting commercial customers might not matter.

  • Dick Eagleson

    The Ariane “case” against SpaceX is pretty much as follows:

    1) It costs SpaceX about the same to launch a GEO comsat as it costs us.

    2) We barely make any money at current prices.

    3) Therefore, SpaceX barely makes any money launching comsats.

    4) SpaceX charges more for U.S. government launches than for commercial comsat launches.

    5) Therefore, that price difference is government subsidy and the only thing that keeps SpaceX going.

    Problem for Ariane? Of these five propositions, only 4) is actually true. U.S. government launches come with a lot of hoop-jumping and paperwork. SpaceX charges about 50% above the standard commercial rate to cover all this. CRS missions to ISS cost about double the standard commercial rate as SpaceX is also providing the payload (Dragon) as well as the launcher. The same will be at least as true of Dragon2.

    Other aspects of Ariane’s ludicrous “case” are also self-negating. SpaceX’s increase in launch cadence has been driven mostly by doing more commercial launches – not the pattern one would expect to see if government launches were really the firm’s sole source of real sustenance.

    I think, at some level, the worthies at ArianeGroup must understand that this “case” they put out for public consumption is simply garbage. But they’ve been seriously rocked back on their heels even if, unlike the luckless Russians, they haven’t yet been put entirely out of the game. They need to say something for the European general public and the Euro-politicos. This is what they’ve decided to say.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *