Florida’s successful response to COVID-19, based on the DATA
This review of the success of Florida’s government, led by Republican Governor Ron DeSantis, in containing the Wuhan flu epidemic while not shutting down his state unnecessarily, can be summed up with this one quote from the article:
So how did DeSantis go about responding to the epidemic? It began with the data.
At the outset, DeSantis looked at South Korea’s experience,
Then there was Italy: “I think the median age of fatality was something like 82 in some of those areas in Northern Italy … That really helped inform the strategy to focus most of our efforts on the at-risk groups.”
The DeSantis team also didn’t put much stock in dire projections. Instead, “we started really focusing on just what we saw.” [emphasis mine]
What the DeSantis team did was focus on protecting the elderly population, as shown by the data, while allowing the rest of the younger population to pretty much go about their business.
At the same time, Florida was giving its counties latitude in how they reacted to the crisis. “I said from the beginning,” DeSantis explains, “we’re a big, diverse state. Even at this point, 60 percent of our cases have come from just three counties.”
DeSantis issued his own statewide order, but he argues that it was more flexible and less prescriptive than those of other states. “We basically had businesses operating. We had the day cares open, we had recreation open, and my order never actually closed any businesses. We allowed them to operate within the context of just limiting contact between people outside the household.” [emphasis mine]
If only more governors had taken this common sense, rational approach, based on the available data, not on models that were nothing more than panicked opinions of doom. Had more done this, there would have been less panic, fewer businesses nationwide destroyed, fewer old people in nursing homes dead in New York, Michigan, and other Democratically-controlled states (where their idiotic governors forced infected patients into nursing homes), and millions still employed in viable prosperous businesses.
Instead we are now faced with a possible depression, imposed on us by incompetent governors nationwide.
Readers!
Please consider supporting my work here at Behind the Black. Your support allows me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Only now does it appear that Washington might finally recognize this reality.
In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
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This review of the success of Florida’s government, led by Republican Governor Ron DeSantis, in containing the Wuhan flu epidemic while not shutting down his state unnecessarily, can be summed up with this one quote from the article:
So how did DeSantis go about responding to the epidemic? It began with the data.
At the outset, DeSantis looked at South Korea’s experience, Then there was Italy: “I think the median age of fatality was something like 82 in some of those areas in Northern Italy … That really helped inform the strategy to focus most of our efforts on the at-risk groups.”
The DeSantis team also didn’t put much stock in dire projections. Instead, “we started really focusing on just what we saw.” [emphasis mine]
What the DeSantis team did was focus on protecting the elderly population, as shown by the data, while allowing the rest of the younger population to pretty much go about their business.
At the same time, Florida was giving its counties latitude in how they reacted to the crisis. “I said from the beginning,” DeSantis explains, “we’re a big, diverse state. Even at this point, 60 percent of our cases have come from just three counties.”
DeSantis issued his own statewide order, but he argues that it was more flexible and less prescriptive than those of other states. “We basically had businesses operating. We had the day cares open, we had recreation open, and my order never actually closed any businesses. We allowed them to operate within the context of just limiting contact between people outside the household.” [emphasis mine]
If only more governors had taken this common sense, rational approach, based on the available data, not on models that were nothing more than panicked opinions of doom. Had more done this, there would have been less panic, fewer businesses nationwide destroyed, fewer old people in nursing homes dead in New York, Michigan, and other Democratically-controlled states (where their idiotic governors forced infected patients into nursing homes), and millions still employed in viable prosperous businesses.
Instead we are now faced with a possible depression, imposed on us by incompetent governors nationwide.
Readers!
Please consider supporting my work here at Behind the Black. Your support allows me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Only now does it appear that Washington might finally recognize this reality.
In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are four ways of doing so:
1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.
2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
3. A Paypal Donation or subscription:
4. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652
You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.
Conservatism (NOT republican, they aren’t even kissing cousins) dictates limited actions based on data.
Liberalism relies on emotional reactions outside the realm of logic. If it FEELS good, it must be right. Once sheep are scared (thank you MSM) they stay that way.
There is no way most governors are going to rely on logic, they got to their positions by pandering to the lowest common denominator.
How government has as usual failed in communicating.
This morning in NYC after it rained the other day, it is chilly, overcast and there is a good breeze blowing. And I am witness to people both riding bicycles and people just walking by themselves and well away from others wearing all configuration of masks, eye protection, head coverings etc.
Ridiculous IMO at this point in this contagion event.
The first thing a rational and competent government must do is clearly communicate what it knows about any subject in focus at the particular moment in time that concerns the public and inform them as to the best measures to be taken. And if we were to grade the governments, national, state and local they have failed miserably.
There is IMO no reason for people if they are not too closely associated with others on the street and / or in an enclosed area to be “Protecting” themselves in such a manner specifically in the out of doors at this point in the evolution of this virus event. NONE.
People default choose the fear of ignorance because they are not being informed by their news media about what is true and reasonable and that information should be communicated by those who supposedly know something about this situation, their governments who supposedly have access to the best science on the subject.
And why is that?
Because no cookie cutter politician is willing to risk being even a tiny bit wrong on any subject at hand that concerns them and their being reelected. One model driven by the political consultants among us might indicate that they all must assume that the public is dumb and play to that lowest common denominator. But I would rather be properly informed to make my own determinations.
And which politician (who really is not a politician) has been the most transparent and has risked the most? Trump to be honest.
And because Trump is transparent and risks in these political arenas he has the most to lose, and the most to gain.
In the end you must educate yourself, and anyone who looks to government to “save” them or provide the information that they need to live their every day lives is truly an ignorant drone. I reject in the strongest terms that model and that condition of existence. But fear is a powerful tool and it is used to its best advantages by those in the political realm who for the most part want and need their constituents to be only partially informed and by definition ignorant.
The data show that Florida is at about 27/50 in terms of deaths per million. Not bad but not overwhelming success either. Their daily cases and deaths graphs show that they are not bringing down their cases / deaths at all unlike many other states.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/florida/
Clarification: Florida’s new cases have come down somewhat from their peak but in both daily cases and deaths it seems to be in a steady state. This is a recurring pattern for those places that took / take a softer approach to restrictions.
DougSpace: You seem to be completely ignoring the vast benefits that Florida gained by not destroying their economy. All that seems to matter is Wuhan flu cases.
When taken as a whole, Florida has come out well ahead of many other states with better coronavirus statistics that also shut down their economy.
Florida seems to be on a similar course to Sweden, but:
Google records suggest trips to shops and cafes by residents of the Stockholm area are down 20%-40%, while passenger numbers on public transport have fallen by 30%-40%.
. . .
The European commission has said it expects Sweden’s gross domestic product to contract by more than 6% this year, on a par with much of the continent, while the country’s central bank has estimated an even sharper fall of 7%-10%, with unemployment forecast to rise to as much as 10.4%.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/21/just-7-per-cent-of-stockholm-had-covid-19-antibodies-by-end-of-april-study-sweden-coronavirus
Quite possibly in 6 months economies that were successful in getting infection rates down to very low levels through lock-downs could be back to near normal, while those that have not gotten infection rates down will still have their hospitality and tourism industries suffering through people voluntarily avoiding those businesses.
What I dislike is the lack of information given to the public. In Washington, it took forever for the state to post how many people were tested and only in the last week or so, post how many people are hospitalized. The state doesn’t provide any information about where people are getting sick, like specific work sites or nursing homes. Combining the lack of information from the state with the seesaw reporting from the scientific community, it is incredibly hard for the public to make good decisions.
DougSpace wrote: “The data show that Florida is at about 27/50 in terms of deaths per million. Not bad but not overwhelming success either.”
Considering that Florida is where many retired people go, it seems to me that 27th is pretty good. The large population of elderly is why there were wide predictions of disaster for Florida as opposed for South Dakota, which also didn’t participate in the Great Oppression.
In related news, the prolonged Great Oppression turned out to be a “mass casualty incident” with “exponentially growing health consequences.”
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/doctors-raise-alarm-about-health-effects-of-continued-coronavirus-shutdown
The prolonged Great Oppression was unnecessary.
Who are the selfish ones, those who want to save a single life or those who want to save everyone else?
Florida seems to have used its resources wisely, putting them into protecting the elderly, especially those in nursing homes.
So what should we do about the nursing homes?
Let’s reward them for all their fine work and throw money at them…
https://www.fox10tv.com/news/coronavirus/trump-administration-to-give-nursing-homes-4-9-billion/article_6670457e-9c4b-11ea-8203-275f22338bf1.html
After all with the 6% drop in people not trusting nursing homes, they desperately need the money for all the facemasks they are not wearing.
It’s gotten so bad that the nursing homes have felt it necessary to steal the stimulus checks from their clientele.
I wonder if the nursing home lobby will suddenly be awash with cash for all the congressman in the upcoming election…
First they abort the babies, then euthanize the elderly and are well compensated. What is next, who is next?
@Andrew_W
Sweden’s economy is completely dependent on the world around us! We have similar population and GDP as the state of Georgia. Imagine the state of Georgia going it alone while all the rest of the US locked down.
At least some small entrepreneurs running a café or something have crash landed a bit more smoothly here now. But the Swedish export industry is already dead. All the high paying jobs are gone. No students will ever get any jobs. Such things are not up to Swedes to decide.
The US is the only country in the world that could retain a civilization on its own. All other countries would go North Korea Juche without trade.
But the Swedish export industry is already dead.
Maybe everyone’s worried your exports will give them covid?
https://www.stats.govt.nz/news/new-zealand-trade-after-the-covid-19-outbreak-6-may-update
Daily goods trade data between 1 February and 29 April gives an updated glance at New Zealand’s trade with the world since the COVID-19 outbreak, Stats NZ said today.
For the week ended 29 April 2020 compared with the equivalent week in 2019:
total exports to all countries were up 3.3 percent ($38 million), from $1.14 billion to $1.18 billion
total imports from all countries were down 28 percent ($331 million), from $1.17 billion to $834 million
exports to China were up 20 percent ($56 million), from $277 million to $333 million
imports from China were up 4.5 percent ($10 million), from $222 million to $232 million.
We are probably in a depression already, but I suspect that it will be much more like the depression of 1920, which was over in 2 years and gave us the roaring 20s, as opposed to the Great Depression which dragged on due to stupid policies like price controls and gold confiscation.
@Andrew_W
“Maybe everyone’s worried your exports will give them covid?”
Perhaps. They are madmen, who can imagine what they imagine themselves? Sweden has the highest recorded rate of population immunity (that I know of) and thus are the safest travelers to invite (for all hypochondriacs who are irrationally afraid of getting a cold).