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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

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You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


SpaceX launches two Galileo satellites, part of Europe’s GPS-type satellite constellation

SpaceX today successfully launched two satellites of Europe’s Galileo GPS-type satellite constellation, the first of a two-launch contract awarded to SpaceX when the Soyuz rocket was no longer available because of Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine and Arianespace’s Ariane-6 rocket was not yet operational.

The first stage completed its 20th flight, tying the record set by another booster only a few weeks ago. Because of the high orbit required by both satellites, that stage was not recovered, the first time SpaceX has expended a first stage since November 2022. SpaceX however also announced that the company is now working to upgrade its Falcon 9 first stages and fairings to fly as many as 40 missions. The two fairings also completed their fourth flight, which brought the total of fairings SpaceX has recovered to 200.

The leaders in the 2024 launch race:

43 SpaceX
17 China
6 Russia
5 Rocket Lab

American private enterprise now leads the rest of the world combined in successful launches 50 to 29, while SpaceX by itself still leads the rest of the world, including other American companies, 43 to 36.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

16 comments

  • Richard M

    Eric Berger on X: “Really hard to overstate the fact that not only are some of Europe’s most valuable satellites (Galileo navigation) launching on a Falcon 9 rocket today, but they’re doing so on the 20th mission. Unimaginable even two or three years ago.”
    https://twitter.com/SciGuySpace/status/1784316700604670282

    Indeed. This really is a remarkable development.

  • Jeff

    SpaceX launch history in one minute.

    https://youtu.be/vXrloxt4DaM

  • Ray Van Dune

    What was the thinking behind SpaceX expending an F9 on its 20th mission? I can understand that this might make financial sense, compared to using an F9 with the potential to fly many more times, but the “fleet leaders” also have a unique value in gaining an understanding of the ultimate lifespan of the system. Thoughts?

  • Ray Van Dune: SpaceX made it clear, and I note it in the post, that the requirements of the satellites in orbit, inclination, etc required the Falcon 9 to expend all its fuel. No landing was possible.

  • I should add that expending this booster makes engineering and financial sense. They have gotten full value from it, and also have another 20-flight booster to test their engineering.

  • Ray Van Dune

    Perhaps I did not make it sufficiently clear that I did not question the need to expend a booster, only that I sought constructive discussion about the selection of a 20-flight booster.

  • Ray Van Dune: I think the decision to use of this 20-flight booster is because they have amortized its cost completely at this point. Though they could fly it more times as they work to upgrade the boosters for that new 40 flight goal, they probably don’t think it worthwhile to have more than one. As they fly that other 20-flight booster additional times, they can then apply what they learn to all their other boosters.

  • Ray Van Dune

    “Though they could fly it more times as they work to upgrade the boosters for that new 40 flight goal, they probably don’t think it worthwhile to have more than one.”

    I wonder what company will be the next to have that “problem”?! My guess… nobody in this decade!

    And by the time they do, SpaceX will have AI-based self-refurbishing rockets that schedule themselves, and walk on their legs from the landing pad to the launch pad! Only half kidding here.

  • Peter Monta

    The other option might have been Falcon Heavy, but I imagine SpaceX did their sums and figured that even with all the first-stage cores reused, it would still have been more expensive. Also there’s only LC-39A available for Heavy at present, complicating the scheduling.

    It will be amusing to see these 1000kg-class payloads as “rideshares” on future Starship missions. While MEO is not a hugely popular orbit, it’s the legacy orbit for GNSS. Presently the GPS constellation is 32 satellites (ish). That could use another zero.

  • pzatchok

    Those who pay more than likely choose.

    Anything from a brand new one for X amount to this fine 20 times used one for just 1 tenth the price. Twice the cost to not recover it. Fuel, second stages and launch costs are all the same.

    They come in white but you can order it in any other color you like. your logo of choice.
    Pick your orbit.
    We have many open dates and a few open launch areas. Please choose.

    We hope you are happy with our service and will think of us in the future for all your orbital needs.

  • Call Me Ishmael

    “Anything from a brand new one for X amount to this fine 20 times used one for just 1 tenth the price. ”

    Eventually it may be the other way around. “You can use this proven, reliable stage for X, or you can try one fresh off the assembly line for a 20% discount.”

  • Mike Borgelt

    “Presently the GPS constellation is 32 satellites (ish). That could use another zero.”

    Ten times as many is overkill. There is also the possibility that future Starlinks and other low altitude comsats can be used for navigation. This has in fact been done even without SpaceX help.
    For civilian uses, providing we avoid World War 3 (there seem to be an alarming number of enthusiasts for having WW3) you can easily use a 4 constellation receiver. Right now in eastern Australia I have 59 navsats visible. In Los Angeles I have 43 navsats visible. Both cases with 5 degree mask angle on the horizon. We have more sats at the longitudes around China as they have a number of Beidou sats in figure 8 orbits and we also see the Japanese QZSS sats.

  • GeorgeC

    Insurance cost for what must be a very expensive payload must figure in the customer decision. That would rule out F9 Heavy which has 3x the booster risk. There must also be an optimum for number of previous flights a F9 booster has had.

  • Peter Monta

    > Ten times as many is overkill.

    Yes, for the baseline PNT service. GPS is vulnerable, though, and more satellites would make it more robust; lower launch costs could help with this.

    > There is also the possibility that future Starlinks and other low altitude comsats can be used for navigation. This has in fact been done even without SpaceX help.

    Certainly, as we see with Iridium/Satelles or the work on opportunistic signals from Starlink and OneWeb. Not yet widely deployed, but encouraging. I’m not sure why we don’t see DoD proposals for dedicated LEO constellations to augment GPS.

  • Edward

    Robert wrote: “The first stage completed its 20th flight … The two fairings also completed their fourth flight, which brought the total of fairings SpaceX has recovered to 200.

    200 fairings at $3 million per fairing (or is it per pair, I keep forgetting), saves the company or the customers $600 million (or $300 million, depending), over the years.

    If the engines are able to perform for 20 missions, then the hope for 148 Falcon launches suggests that about 8 new Falcon boosters need to be made, thus 72 new Merlin engines, and 148 upper stages have to be built, thus an additional 148 Merlin vacuum engines. That is quite a production rate for any rocket and for any engine type.

    SpaceX however also announced that the company is now working to upgrade its Falcon 9 first stages and fairings to fly as many as 40 missions.

    This is quite a learning experience (one that comes not from disaster or disappointment, as with most learning experiences). Blue Origin hopes that its New Glenn can fly 100 times, each, similar to SpaceX’s hopes for Starship and Super Heavy. Whether 20 is the maximum these rockets can launch, 40 is, or 100, it suggests that the launch companies are expecting a large number of customers.

    This does not surprise me, because back in the 1990s the launch customers were trying to convince the launch companies that there would be a great demand for launch services if the price of a launch came down to only $2,000 per pound (from the general price of $10,000 per pound) in 1990s dollars. Falcon 9 has reached that point, explaining why it is wildly popular for customers other than Starlink. New Glenn is another attempt to reach that low cost range. Perhaps Vulcan can do the same, if it can reuse its engine compartment. The Ariane 6 did not reach that point, and it is not so popular with low preorders.

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