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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

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Congress and NASA administrator Charles Bolden battled over ISS, Russia, crew transport, and commercial space yesterday in a hearing before Congress.

Congress and NASA administrator Charles Bolden battled over ISS, Russia, crew transport, and commercial space yesterday in a hearing before Congress.

Not surprising. Congress wants to know what NASA will do if Russia pulls out of ISS and Bolden really has few options if they do. He in turn was trying to get Congress to focus on funding commercial space so that we can launch our own astronauts to ISS and not depend on the Russians. A true confederacy of dunces. More here.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

3 comments

  • Kelly Starks

    >…get Congress to focus on funding commercial space so that we can launch our own astronauts to ISS and
    > not depend on the Russians..

    A important point that seems to be getting missed here is that we really have no way to shorten the gap so to speak. It seems obvious, but I hear in various blogs, and last time I heard you on the John Bachelor show, the idea that we should throw more money into commercial crew now and speed up their availability. That’s just not a option. I mean the commercial crew companies aren’t the Lockheed Skunk works or McDac/Boeing Phantom works, and they are already trying to meet a very aggressive schedule for first flight in late 2016. That’s really pushing it for small inexperienced companies like this, even with them (in Dream Chaser and Boeings case) piggybacking on Orion work, systems designs, and teams. Its really to late to get anything operational before 2017-2018. Even those dates kinda assume no significant surprises. I mean the technical specs I wrote a week or two ago for dream chaser systems now need to be extensively rewritten due to fairly significant redesigns…and they are still not considered frozen, nor do I think the infrastructure to develop and test them is ready.

  • Dick Eagleson

    I mean the commercial crew companies aren’t the Lockheed Skunk works or McDac/Boeing Phantom works

    In the sense that they aren’t able to operate on multi-billion dollar black budgets with little oversight and high project failure rates, then, yes, you’re right. But I see nothing very “Phantom-worksy” about CST-100 or anything at all “Skunk-Worksy” about Orion. The former seems a cynical effort to extract some bucks from the CCDev buckstream, to be instantly dropped if said buckstream ever dries up. All it demonstrates is that aerospace legacy “majors” will find ways to acquire all or part of just about any buckstream that materializes within reach. As for Orion, it’s years late, metric tonnes overweight, has an antique, labor-intensive heat shield technology that can’t safely return from anywhere further away than the Moon – an odd limitation for an alleged “deep space” craft – and the test article cracked during pressure tests and had to be gusseted to fly at all on its equally bullshit upcoming “test” launch on a Delta IV.

    As to putative “inexperience”, most of the people who had experience in manned spaceflight at Boeing and LockMart have long since died or retired. The work of their, yes, “inexperienced” replacements has been unimpressive at best – as noted. SpaceX has three launches of a freight vehicle upon which it’s crewed version is based already under its belt, two abort tests of said crewed vehicle coming up before year’s end and publicly announced intentions of ability to fly crew on a technically finished crewed version of Dragon before 12/31/2015. If Russia did something that made it necessary for an American crew to fly to ISS on a Dragon before that, I’ve no doubt it could be done, and quite safely, mere weeks from the get-go. What would have to be jettisoned is most of the planned NASA paper-pushing that seems to be the actual cause of the slippage from 2015 to 2017. As an apparent career paper-pusher himself, I can readily understand how this must horrify Mr. Starks,who – rightly, I believe – has expressed a long-standing concern that, even wrapped in the arms of a legacy aerospace “major”, he must still fear for the future of his phoney-baloney job.

  • Kelly Starks

    That hasn’t been why I’ve seen working on Orion and Dream chaser.

    To clarify. These new space companies simply don’t have teams with the depth of experience and supporting processes, personnel, etc. that could allow them to ramp up to a crash program. Frankly meeting their current schedules is iffy, so speculating about accelerating things to close the gap where were dependent on the Russians is just not realistic.

    Boeing might be a exception. They reached their milestones and went pretty much hold for several month (at least around here), so presumably they could restart earlier.

    >.. But I see nothing very “Phantom-worksy” about CST-100 or anything at all “Skunk-Worksy” about Orion. ..

    True, both companies have learned that NASA doesn’t want new or innovative. They want retro. They also learned NASA ability to even do enough systesm engineering to know what to ask for has taken a real hit.

    Your point that perhaps there are no organizations still in the US that are capable of doing what the ones I listed used to be able to do is possible, but given results from military programs, I think they just don’t bother brining out the “A: team for projects like this.

    >..The former seems a cynical effort to extract some bucks from the CCDev buckstream, to be instantly
    > dropped if said buckstream ever dries up.

    Nothing cynical about it. NASA interest and funding stream is iffy at best. Given no other market seems likely to cut checks soon, there’s no reason to build it is NASA pulls out, If NASA stays in, Boeing basicly built another Apollo like capsule. Cheaper and likely better, with likely most of the capabilities of Orion. All developed to the best standards. Every T crossed, every I dotted. None of the shortcuts the others are doing to cut costs. A very strong bid proposal for the NASA customer.

    >.. As for Orion, it’s years late, metric tonnes overweight, has an antique, labor-intensive heat shield technology
    > that can’t safely return from anywhere further away than the Moon – an odd limitation for an alleged “deep space”
    > craft – and the test article cracked during pressure tests and had to be gusseted to fly at all on its equally bullshit
    > upcoming “test” launch on a Delta IV…

    Yup, and even to get it that good involved some serious fights with NASA who kept pushing to cut safty margines and redundancy, avoid newer design tech, etc. In one case I was at a major sub who just called a stop work and refused to continue until NASA agree to allow high safty standards (just a guess but if/when the shortcuts killed a crew, NASA wasn’t going to take the blame.)

    > As to putative “inexperience”, most of the people who had experience in manned spaceflight
    > at Boeing and LockMart have long since died or retired. ..

    And the retired ones get hired back as consultants.

    >…SpaceX has three launches of a freight vehicle upon which it’s crewed version is based already
    > under its belt, two abort tests of said crewed vehicle coming up before year’s end and publicly
    > announced intentions of ability to fly crew on a technically finished crewed version of Dragon before 12/31/2015…

    SpaceX also has a high failure rate, and says a lot of things that they don’t deliver on, and have suspicious cost numbers. They are the face of commercial crew NASA uses to damn it to congress.

    >… As an apparent career paper-pusher himself, I can readily understand how this must horrify Mr. Starks,who – rightly,
    > I believe – has expressed a long-standing concern that, even wrapped in the arms of a legacy aerospace “major”,
    > must still fear for the future of his phoney-baloney job.

    Well that’s about as unfounded, uninformed, biased, and uninsightful as the rest of your assumptions.

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