Falcon Heavy update
Link here. The article provides a very good overview of the testing plans that will lead up to launch, hopefully sometime before the end of January.
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Link here. The article provides a very good overview of the testing plans that will lead up to launch, hopefully sometime before the end of January.
Readers!
Please consider supporting my work here at Behind the Black. Your support allows me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Only now does it appear that Washington might finally recognize this reality.
In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are four ways of doing so:
1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.
2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
3. A Paypal Donation or subscription:
4. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652
You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.
FH will be the riskiest vehicle to date (and hopefully, SpaceX will make it look easy.) Even more than the BFR will be. Already it’s obsolete (F9 will probably continue for longer.)
Even landing the BFR will have less risk than the current cores as the greater mass will make it more stable (although perhaps less tolerable of landing in high winds?).
So SpaceX can focus on making money until the next hurdle; Landing a BFS. Licensing the FH may be a logical step to increase market size? In part because SpaceX technology will already have moved on but it will still be a better rocket than its competitors are producing so why not collect the licensing fees? It could be a strategic move to keep Bezos from catching up? Although Bezos would likely build BE-4s for others?
Perhaps I’m overly biased toward keeping SpaceX from owning the entire market which I think is unhealthy and possible. I continue to wish them greater success. They vitalized the entire industry.
Monopoly is the best! When it is freely established, it’s like with Gilette. Their razor blades are the best, and keep getting better. When you’re so good that no one wants to even try to compete, but do something they are good at instead, that’s the pinnacle of a market economy. No need for, and no good idea to, compete with solving problems that are already very well solved.
Localfluff wrote: “Monopoly is the best! When it is freely established, it’s like with Gilette.”
Actually, Gillette has competition with various brands of the electric razor. One reason for Gillette to continually improve is that there are small companies constantly trying to get into the safety razor market. Barbers still tend to use straight blade razors — the old technology.
We tried the monopoly route in space access, where the governments of the world ruled the monopoly for half a century. All we got was what they wanted, not what we wanted. This is why in the 1990s there was a new effort to create a commercial space industry. It has taken a lot of effort to beat the governmental monopoly, but after two decades the new competition is finally making strides in doing things better, faster, and cheaper than the governments did.
And why not? When the governments were competing during the Space Race (the race to the Moon), they were motivated to do things better and faster, but then they lost that motivation and made space access political, not economical. Our new commercial space industry is motivated to improve quality and reliability, but also to improve service and reduce costs.
In both examples, razors and space, we see that competition is the best.