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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

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1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

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Dragon successfully docks with ISS

Capitalism in space: SpaceX’s Dragon capsule, designed to carry humans to space, has successfully docked for the first time at ISS.

The flight really has only one major task left, which it to return safely to Earth, which presently is scheduled for 8:45 am (eastern) on March 7. I expect that to go smoothly as well.

NASA and SpaceX will of course need to review all the test data from this unmanned test flight before okaying a manned flight. SpaceX also needs to first do a launch abort test, using this capsule. However, I do not expect either to result in any issues that should prevent a manned launch in July, as SpaceX presently plans.

NASA however might think differently. There have been strong factions within its management and bureaucracy that are hostile to this effort, and have been working to stall or stop it.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

9 comments

  • pzatchok

    They always have two other options if the autonomous docking does not work.

    They can use the arm or manually fly/dock it, either by remote or by trained passenger.

    Considering the Russians are allowed to auto dock, NASA better get with the game quick start letting private companies.

    The same with landing on land.

  • Kyle

    Just to clarify, all these test just to certify NASA’s astronauts on the Dragon or any humans on Dragon? Like if I had $58 million laying around, could I privately finance a launch into space with Dragon tomorrow? And if that is the case could I opt to land Dragon on land with its boosters instead of a water landing, to salvage another flight with it like originally planned.

  • geoffc

    @Kyle: I THINK That you could not land a Dragon V2 on land using super Draco’s, since they deleted the landing legs, since NASA thought it was too complex to punch holes through the heat shield. (After all the Shuttle had three such holes on every flight, and anything the Shuttle did was compleetly unsafe).

  • Richard M

    Kyle,

    Musk said at the press conference that SpaceX would start to market the Dragon to non-government customers once it was in operation for NASA.

    The trick is, though, that NASA has been consistently against tourists at the ISS. So unless Bob Bigelow or someone else puts up a LEO station, you’d be limited to a free flight in low earth orbit for no more than 7 days (the limit of Dragon 2 life support).

  • Michael

    geoffc: four. You forgot the external tank disconnect.

    In general one can debate the safety of shuttle.

  • mpthompson

    I would think 4 seats at $50M each for a 3 to 5 day trip into orbit without a visit to ISS would find a good number of well-healed buyers. Especially if SpaceX could somehow fit larger windows on the capsule.

    BTW, I was under the impression, Jim Bridenstine, NASA’s current administrator was more open to possibly allowing space tourists to the ISS. It was mentioned at the post-launch press conference on Sunday morning.

  • Richard M

    One day, a worthwhile book is going to be written on the Commercial Cargo and Crew programs of the 2010’s, and it is going to make a revealing look at why the final phase of Commercial Crew, CCtCap, has dragged on for so long and driven up costs so much, in contrast to both the earlier phases of the program (CCDev, CCiCap, and CPC) as well as Commercial Cargo.

    Those programs were remarkable successes. CCtCAP, not so much.

  • pzatchok

    The legs could be attached above the heat shield and extend out and over during landing.

    Going through the shield is easier and lighter but …….

    Even if the shield gets damaged when it hits the ground so what, it can get changed anyways.

  • Edward

    geoffc wrote: “I THINK That you could not land a Dragon V2 on land using super Draco’s, since they deleted the landing legs, since NASA thought it was too complex to punch holes through the heat shield.

    and pzatchok wrote: “The legs could be attached above the heat shield and extend out and over during landing.

    I suspect that the fundamental problem is that NASA has become shy, where innovative design is concerned, which is a terrible shame, because we think of NASA as being technologically on the cutting edge. They tried innovation with the Space Shuttle, and that got them a system that did not perform as expected. Their solution, when it came time to replace the Shuttle, was to go back to the Apollo-like capsule concept rather than improve on the reusabilty concept. Since they have a lot of control over the Commercial Crew program, they have flexed their muscles many times, over these past few years, and prevented some innovations that showed great promise.

    Fortunately, for the next segment of Commercial Resupply Services (unmanned supply delivery to ISS), Sierra Nevada is working on a much more reusable lifting body design, Dream Chaser, that is far more like the reusable Shuttle concept than Boeing (Starliner), Lockheed (Orion), or SpaceX (Dragon 2). When Dream Chaser works out well, perhaps NASA will be a little more willing to be innovative.

    It is also fortunate that SpaceX is keeping government away from their Starship and Super Heavy designs, which allows the company to be as innovative as it wants to be.

    I think that our main lesson learned from NASA and government control over space launches and operations is that when government runs things, all we get is what the government wants, but SpaceX showed that when We the People do things, we get what we want.

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