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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

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Air Force to still limit launch contractors to two

The bureaucracy wins again! Though Blue Origin’s protest of the Air Force’s planned launch contract rules was sustained, and the Air Force plans to revise its contracting rules accordingly, the Air Force today announced that because the ruling itself was somewhat limited, it will still be able to limit future bidding for launches to only two contractors, through 2026.

[T]he Air Force intends to award in mid-2020 five-year contracts to two providers. Four companies submitted proposals: Blue Origin, Northrop Grumman, SpaceX and United Launch Alliance.

Although Blue Origin challenged the Air Force’s decision to pick two providers as harmful to the industrial base, GAO had no objections to that approach. “On the whole, we are pleased that the GAO upheld the major components of the National Security Space Launch competition, especially award timelines, quantities, and period of performance,” said [Air Force acquisition executive Will] Roper.

If you read the article, you will discover why the Air Force still wants to limit to two the number of contractors who can bid on launches. Its rules and methods, as described, are so tortuousness and complex that I suspect even the Air Force doesn’t completely understand them. Thus, to deal with more than two bids individually for each launch is beyond the comprehension or ability of these military bureaucrats. Rather streamline their bidding rules, they have decided it is better to put limits on American private enterprise, raise costs for the taxpayer, and squelch innovation and fast development within the military space effort.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

4 comments

  • Richard M

    Limiting the awards to two *could* be bearable if a) the process was really transparent and not loaded in favor of a certain contractor, and b) the Phase II NSSL program consisted of fewer payloads, allowing the losing contractors to get another crack at the pie considerably sooner.

    Blue Origin seemed willing to settle even for just the latter.

  • Dick Eagleson

    Richard M,

    Yes. Blue had three issues at litigation and won on only the least important of the trio. The GAO ruled, not that Blue was wrong on the other two – the limitation of awards to only two and the 5-year term of the contracts – but that these were matters of USAF policy rather than compliance with federal contracting regulations. The GAO ruled, in effect, that it lacked authority to rule in matters of policy.

    As one who has seen far too much overreaching by government agencies in recent years, I view it as a unalloyed good thing the GAO declined to indulge in any attempted institutional mission creep with this ruling.

    I favor Blue’s viewpoint on both policy matters but, that said, do not see Blue as a particularly sympathetic or effective plaintiff anent pushing the case for the desirable policy changes.

    Blue’s prior history as an almost comically narrow-focused litigant when pursuing what it sees as its own interests can certainly be no help here. Amazon has been an aggressive patent troll for a long time. Blue, for its part, filed nuisance litigation – unsuccessfully – against SpaceX’s lease of LC-39A several years ago – prompting Elon’s now-famous dancing unicorns quip. Blue also attempted to patent the general idea of booster landings on sea-going vessels – in which attempt it was also handed its own arse by SpaceX in court.

    The fact of the matter is that Blue has been neither smart nor successful in deploying legal challenges aimed at benefiting itself. This latest GAO ruling is just the most recent example of this general truism. SpaceX has not only proven to be a much better space launch company, to this point, than has Blue, but it also has notably better judgement anent the use of litigation to advance its purposes. Elon and Gwynne do not seem to have lawyers on their speed-dials. Bezos does seem to.

    Blue needs, in sum, to quit diddling around with pointless litigation and get busier making an actual rocket. Failing at that will render all its attempted legal hugger-mugger moot.

  • Scott M.

    Dick Eagleson, you hit it on the head. BO needs to start doing more of the Ferociter and less of the Gradatim if they want to be taken seriously as a launch provider. I wonder how restless ULA is getting, since their next-gen rocket will use BE-4 engines.

  • Edward

    Dick Eagleson recommended: “Elon and Gwynne do not seem to have lawyers on their speed-dials. Bezos does seem to.
    Blue needs, in sum, to quit diddling around with pointless litigation and get busier making an actual rocket.

    Essentially, this is what happened to the Wright brothers. They spent their time in litigation trying to defend their wing warping patent as the concept of using roll as a means to enhance the turning ability of an airplane. This left them with little time to actually improve on their basic flying machine design. Others did almost all the improvements, including the aileron.

    This is the importance of choosing one’s battles.

    If Bezos is choosing battles just to cause a nuisance then he is not the pro-space entrepreneur that I thought that he was.

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