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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

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Europe settles on Ariane 6 design

The competition heats up? Airbus Safran and the European Space Agency have settled on the design of their next generation rocket, Ariane 6.

It will not be re-usable, and though they say it will be 40-50% cheaper to produce than Ariane 5, it is very clear from the quotes in the article that they are instead depending on trade restrictions to maintain their European customers, even if it costs them a lot more to put satellites in orbit.

For its part, Airbus Safran does not envisage making Ariane 6 recoverable, not in the short term. Mr Charmeau [the company’s CEO] believes that different market conditions apply in Europe and the US, which means there will not be a single, winner-takes-all approach. He cites, for example, the restricted procurement that exists in all major political blocs, which essentially bars foreign rockets from launching home institutional and government satellites. Nowhere is this more true than in the US, but in Europe too there is an “unwritten rule” that European states should use European rockets.

From an American perspective this lazy attitude is fine with me. Let American companies compete aggressively. They will then leave the Europeans and everyone else in the dust.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

3 comments

  • Calvin Dodge

    So instead of ESA being penalized, its customers will be? I wonder what they think of that?

  • pzatchok

    I have a simple question.

    If the new rocket is being designed and built 40 to 50% cheaper why didn’t they do this years ago and pass the savings onto the customer?

    The technology has not changed that much in the last 20 years.

    I bet if they left out all the bribes and kick backs the cost would be even lower.

  • Edward

    pzatchok,

    It isn’t so much “kickbacks” and “bribes” as it is politics. A variety of nations contribute money to the project, and each one expects to get jobs in return. Thus, rather than making sure that the most efficient or most effective companies get the contracts, contracts are distributed throughout Europe in a manner that makes the countries the least angry about how it is distributed.

    An advantage of a private company (as opposed to a government overregulated one, such as Arianespace) is that *it* chooses its vendors, usually based more upon cost and performance expectations, not quite so much on political issues.

    This was one of the main points that Arianespace was fighting when working out the details for the Ariane 6 rocket. Applying some reusability technology was another point.
    http://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/airbus-unveils-its-first-stage-re-useability-concept/

    The article seems to suggest that they won the first point.
    “We have chosen an optimised industrial organisation”

    Yes, I suspect that the cost could be even lower, and I suspect that SpaceX — and perhaps other companies, too — will take the lead away from Arianespace, in the launch business, just as Arianespace took it from American companies a couple of decades ago.

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