To read this post please scroll down.

 

Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription, which takes about a 15% cut:

 

4. Donate by check. I get whatever you donate. Make the check payable to Robert Zimmerman and mail it to
 
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652

 

You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


Falcon 9 launch rescheduled for Saturday

SpaceX and NASA have now rescheduled the Falcon 9/Dragon launch to ISS for Saturday morning at 4:47 am Eastern.

I am wondering if lack of light is going to effect the effort to vertically land the first stage.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

6 comments

  • Blair Ivey

    “I  am wondering if lack of light is going to effect the effort to vertically land the first stage”

    ‘We choose to do these things; not because they are easy, but because they are hard.’

  • Matt in AZ

    If the landing barge to the east is a few time zones away, there should be plenty of light. How far downrange is the recovery?

  • mpthompson

    I saw a graphic earlier this week that placed the barge about 200 to 300 miles north-east of the launch site. Probably not enough to make much difference regarding daylight. However, I suspect the rocket doesn’t rely on visual localization to determine it’s position with respect to the barge. Or, if it does, the barge should have its own floodlights to light up the landing area.

  • D K Rögnvald Williams

    I wasn’t aware that the rocket has eyes.

  • Tom Billings

    One thing that *will* be made more difficult is aircraft making visual records of the first stage descent. Even though this descent has been done several times, this is the first time with those hypersonic “paddles”. If there is an at altitude “anomaly” that destroys the vehicle after those paddles deploy, then having visual records would be highly desirable.

    Perhaps those portions of the flight will be high enough that light will be available. At 30 kilometers you can see a *long* way to the horizon. Can that be calculated by anyone here? I would be surprised if no one at SpaceX had done that calculation.

  • mpthompson

    Having done motion control algorithms (nothing like this though), telemetry data from the gyroscopes, accelerometers and GPS receivers would very likely be far more useful to the engineers than any visual data from cameras. Cameras are most useful for PR and from an engineering standpoint to confirm that items such as the fins deployed as expected, but provide very limited data useful for guiding the rocket to a small patch on the surface of the ocean. High quality telemetry data will confirm and refine the physicals models used to design the control algorithms. The data can also be used to dissect the flight in great detail and understand what happened should something go wrong.

    Given this is the first attempt to use the fins in this fashion, I would be pleasantly surprised if the SpaceX engineers have good enough models and other information to successfully guide the stage down to a 10 meter patch of sea. Instead, I see them getting within a few kilometers on the first attempt, 100’s of meters on the next few attempts and then finally sticking it. That’s typically how the engineering process works. The first few flights of the Falcon 1 are a perfect example of this.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *