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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

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SpaceX launches another 22 Starlink satellites

SpaceX today successfully launched another 22 second generation Starlink satellites, using its Falcon 9 rocket lifting off from Cape Canaveral.

The first stage completed its sixth flight, landing on a drone ship in the Atlantic. The two fairings completed their seventh and eighth flights respectively.

The leaders in the 2023 launch race:

49 SpaceX
29 China
9 Russia
6 Rocket Lab
5 India

American private enterprise now leads China in successful launches 56 to 29, and the entire world combined 56 to 48, with SpaceX by itself leading with the entire world combined (excluding other American companies) 49 to 48.

SpaceX’s 49 successful launches so far this year carries some additional historical significance. This number exceeds the launch count of the entire United States per year from 1968 to 2021, and SpaceX has done it in only a little more than half the year. Its reported goal of completing 100 launches this year remains very much within reach.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

7 comments

  • Diane Wilson

    I think “100 launches” was another off-the-cuff Elon remark. Realistically, 90 is probably aspirational, and the limits are logistical. They can turn around SLC-40 in 5 days. 39A gets the Falcon Heavy and crew launches, and those take more time. The two drone ships stay busy with the current launch cadence, so there’s not much slack there. Vandenberg only has one pad and one drone ship, and their best pad turnaround has been about 10 days or so. Even then, maximum number of launches is always subject to weather conditions and aborts.

    I suspect that what we’ve seen this year, probably 51 or maybe 52 through July, is about as fast as SpaceX can go, without another pad and another drone ship, and there are no such projects ongoing. They might get close to 100 if Vandenberg can get to 5 day turnaround, but that won’t happen this year. Starship probably won’t get a significant launch cadence for a couple of years yet.

  • Jeff Wright

    I’d like to see a whole slew of Falcon pads and more cores at the ready.

  • Jay

    Diane,
    SpaceX is quickly fixing/converting SLC-6 down in Vandenberg. At the pace my friend told me SpaceX is working, I would not be surprised to see a launch this year from that pad.

  • Diane Wilson

    Jay, thanks for the info about SLC-6 at Vandenberg. That will help improve turnaround time on the west coast. That leaves open the other logistical questions for Vandenberg, though, as in how quickly then can refurbish a Falcon 9, and how many they have in inventory. They can do quick turnaround in Florida partly because they have rockets waiting for launch scheduling. I have no idea how many rockets they have at Vandenberg, or how long it takes to prep them for reflight.

  • Richard M

    I think “100 launches” was another off-the-cuff Elon remark. Realistically, 90 is probably aspirational, and the limits are logistical.

    As of today, they’re on pace for 87 launches for 2023.

    At times this year, the cadence has projected out into the low 90’s. Not impossible they could do that, but it does depend on a number of factors, not all of which are under the control of SpaceX.

  • Jay

    Diane,
    I do not know which rockets are where or how many. I know there are guys on the NASA Space Flight Forum who follow the rocket’s serial numbers and how many flights flown statistics. I am surprised they have not made “baseball cards” of the boosters with stats!

    At first I always thought the Falcon-9 first stages were barged down to SpaceX’s Hawthorn HQ for refurbishment and trucked back up to Vandy. My friend corrected me that there is a dock at the base and the rockets are brought back through there back up to SpaceX’s hanger at SLC-4. SLC-4 is north about 5km of SLC-6.

    Seeing the SpaceX hangers at KSC, this is a building that can be thrown up at SLC-6 very quickly. They can definitely launch a Falcon-9 Heavy from SLC-6.

  • Ray Van Dune

    Given the geography of Vandenberg, it may be that there is not a great deal extra demand for launches from there.

    The only trajectories available from there are westerly, which are retrograde and seldom used, polar, or slightly east of south. The latter requires a “dogleg” around Baja California and thus involves a performance hit.

    Not saying there isn’t any more demand, but I don’t see how there could be a ton more, justifying major new pad development.

    Landing from orbit is another matter. OTVs use Vandy’s runway and shuttles used the Cape’s. Whether Starship will use either is unknown, as this is a belly-flop landing, not a glide requiring a runway.

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