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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

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XCOR layoffs due to loss of ULA contract

Capitalism in space: The layoffs at XCOR this week that essentially shut the company down were the due to ULA cancelling its upper stage engine contract with the company.

The primary impetus for the layoffs, Acting CEO and XCOR Board member Michael Blum told me, is the loss of a contract for engine development that the company had with United Launch Alliance. “The proceeds should have been enough to fund the prototype of Lynx [the company’s planned spacecraft], but ULA decided they’re not going to continue funding the contract. So we find ourselves in a difficult financial situation where we need to raise money or find joint developments to continue.” ULA declined to comment.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

9 comments

  • Dick Eagleson

    I was a long-time fan of XCOR so its all-but-certain demise saddens me. But the Greason & founders departure followed by the Lynx mothballing and layoffs have certainly proven to be harbingers. I’ve been waiting for the other shoe to drop – while hoping it wouldn’t – since I commented on the Lynx’s trip into limbo 14 months ago over at Parabolic Arc. I still hope the XCOR technology winds up in the hands of people capable of moving it forward.

  • ken anthony

    Loss of a contract is a symptom, not the reason.

    Before going after a dream you must first build a business that can support it. That means you start the business in a known market. You don’t need a better mousetrap, just a viable one.

    What XCOR tried to do was shoot a hole in one. It can be done, but with a very low probability of success. The moral of the story is build a boring business first, then pursue your dreams.

    The sad thing is, they were building technologies that could be the basis of a boring, positive cash flow business that wasn’t dependent on any single contract… but they didn’t focus on those first.

    It’s easy to be distracted from making money when following a dream. They were not the first or last.

  • Alex

    @Ken Anthony:

    You are right. XCOR should had concentrate alone on its initial business, the design of small liquid rocket engines driven by alternative pump systems and supply what market needs. Also in this respect, they tried even to sell a special pump design (piston pump). Even if SpaceX was initially quite conservative in respect to selecting its only proven technologies for its launcher subsystems. Design and construction of a manned space plane was 1-2 order of magnitude too large for XCOR as a project.

  • Edward

    Before going after a dream you must first build a business that can support it.

    XCOR should had concentrate alone on its initial business, the design of small liquid rocket engines driven by alternative pump systems and supply what market needs.

    Except that is what they did. Last year, XCOR stopped work on Lynx in order to focus on its initial business. It was this main business that was supplying much of the money for Lynx.

    XCOR’s problem seems to be that they were dependent upon a single customer, one that chose to stop buying from them.

  • pzatchok

    They might have had a better opportunity if they moved the lynx operation to some place in the middle east. Someplace they would be sure to get better funding.

    The Lynx fits inside most launch fairings so pretty much anyone could have lifted it.
    And maybe Russia or China have small enough liquid fueled rocket engines to fit their needs.

    But this is a last ditch idea. They might not even be able to get permission to take everything outside of the USA.

  • Alex

    @pzatchok:

    Spaceplan “Lynx” (which is not completed and dead now) could be used only for suborbital flights, its maximum velocity was around Mach 3. No way to go to orbit, even as another’s launchers payload.

  • pzatchok

    It might not make orbit but it would definitely make it into space.
    Just like Blue Origin pogo flights make space.

    Any rocket that can reach leo can instead be shot straight up. It is orbital speed that burns up things on re-entry not just height.
    How high would something have to be to gain enough entry speed to burn up using just gravity’s pull?

  • Alex

    @pzatchok:

    Lynx has no thermal protection system, which is capable for a reentry from orbit. And also life support system for a longer mission is missed. To your question: It is not only velocity but also angle of reentry trajectory which determines the thermal loads. I would assume a nearly vertical return from 1000 km altitude at 3-4 km/s equals loads from a normal orbit at 8 km/s.

  • Edward

    pzatchok asked: “How high would something have to be to gain enough entry speed to burn up using just gravity’s pull?

    Tricky question.

    Sometimes fuel tanks and pieces of thermal blanket have survived reentry from orbital speed, although not in good shape. They tend to be large in size and light in weight, so they generally slow down high enough in the atmosphere to avoid the high temperatures that reentering spacecraft see.

    Although I have never done any calculations or research to determine what speed a body would start to need heat shielding, I am willing to use the previously accepted assumption that a first stage could not survive reentry. If we assume that a first stage is travelling around 1/5th of orbital speed at main engine cut off, then that speed would be around 1 mile per second, or about 1,500 km per second, or so. An object falling from space would have to start, with no speed, somewhat above 1,000 km in order to reach this speed, but that may only cause damage, not disintegration and vaporization.

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