XCOR layoffs due to loss of ULA contract
Capitalism in space: The layoffs at XCOR this week that essentially shut the company down were the due to ULA cancelling its upper stage engine contract with the company.
The primary impetus for the layoffs, Acting CEO and XCOR Board member Michael Blum told me, is the loss of a contract for engine development that the company had with United Launch Alliance. “The proceeds should have been enough to fund the prototype of Lynx [the company’s planned spacecraft], but ULA decided they’re not going to continue funding the contract. So we find ourselves in a difficult financial situation where we need to raise money or find joint developments to continue.” ULA declined to comment.
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Capitalism in space: The layoffs at XCOR this week that essentially shut the company down were the due to ULA cancelling its upper stage engine contract with the company.
The primary impetus for the layoffs, Acting CEO and XCOR Board member Michael Blum told me, is the loss of a contract for engine development that the company had with United Launch Alliance. “The proceeds should have been enough to fund the prototype of Lynx [the company’s planned spacecraft], but ULA decided they’re not going to continue funding the contract. So we find ourselves in a difficult financial situation where we need to raise money or find joint developments to continue.” ULA declined to comment.
Readers!
Please consider supporting my work here at Behind the Black. Your support allows me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Only now does it appear that Washington might finally recognize this reality.
In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are four ways of doing so:
1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.
2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
3. A Paypal Donation or subscription:
4. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652
You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.
I was a long-time fan of XCOR so its all-but-certain demise saddens me. But the Greason & founders departure followed by the Lynx mothballing and layoffs have certainly proven to be harbingers. I’ve been waiting for the other shoe to drop – while hoping it wouldn’t – since I commented on the Lynx’s trip into limbo 14 months ago over at Parabolic Arc. I still hope the XCOR technology winds up in the hands of people capable of moving it forward.
Loss of a contract is a symptom, not the reason.
Before going after a dream you must first build a business that can support it. That means you start the business in a known market. You don’t need a better mousetrap, just a viable one.
What XCOR tried to do was shoot a hole in one. It can be done, but with a very low probability of success. The moral of the story is build a boring business first, then pursue your dreams.
The sad thing is, they were building technologies that could be the basis of a boring, positive cash flow business that wasn’t dependent on any single contract… but they didn’t focus on those first.
It’s easy to be distracted from making money when following a dream. They were not the first or last.
@Ken Anthony:
You are right. XCOR should had concentrate alone on its initial business, the design of small liquid rocket engines driven by alternative pump systems and supply what market needs. Also in this respect, they tried even to sell a special pump design (piston pump). Even if SpaceX was initially quite conservative in respect to selecting its only proven technologies for its launcher subsystems. Design and construction of a manned space plane was 1-2 order of magnitude too large for XCOR as a project.
“Before going after a dream you must first build a business that can support it.”
“XCOR should had concentrate alone on its initial business, the design of small liquid rocket engines driven by alternative pump systems and supply what market needs.”
Except that is what they did. Last year, XCOR stopped work on Lynx in order to focus on its initial business. It was this main business that was supplying much of the money for Lynx.
XCOR’s problem seems to be that they were dependent upon a single customer, one that chose to stop buying from them.
They might have had a better opportunity if they moved the lynx operation to some place in the middle east. Someplace they would be sure to get better funding.
The Lynx fits inside most launch fairings so pretty much anyone could have lifted it.
And maybe Russia or China have small enough liquid fueled rocket engines to fit their needs.
But this is a last ditch idea. They might not even be able to get permission to take everything outside of the USA.
@pzatchok:
Spaceplan “Lynx” (which is not completed and dead now) could be used only for suborbital flights, its maximum velocity was around Mach 3. No way to go to orbit, even as another’s launchers payload.
It might not make orbit but it would definitely make it into space.
Just like Blue Origin pogo flights make space.
Any rocket that can reach leo can instead be shot straight up. It is orbital speed that burns up things on re-entry not just height.
How high would something have to be to gain enough entry speed to burn up using just gravity’s pull?
@pzatchok:
Lynx has no thermal protection system, which is capable for a reentry from orbit. And also life support system for a longer mission is missed. To your question: It is not only velocity but also angle of reentry trajectory which determines the thermal loads. I would assume a nearly vertical return from 1000 km altitude at 3-4 km/s equals loads from a normal orbit at 8 km/s.
pzatchok asked: “How high would something have to be to gain enough entry speed to burn up using just gravity’s pull?”
Tricky question.
Sometimes fuel tanks and pieces of thermal blanket have survived reentry from orbital speed, although not in good shape. They tend to be large in size and light in weight, so they generally slow down high enough in the atmosphere to avoid the high temperatures that reentering spacecraft see.
Although I have never done any calculations or research to determine what speed a body would start to need heat shielding, I am willing to use the previously accepted assumption that a first stage could not survive reentry. If we assume that a first stage is travelling around 1/5th of orbital speed at main engine cut off, then that speed would be around 1 mile per second, or about 1,500 km per second, or so. An object falling from space would have to start, with no speed, somewhat above 1,000 km in order to reach this speed, but that may only cause damage, not disintegration and vaporization.