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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription, which takes about a 15% cut:

 

4. Donate by check. I get whatever you donate. Make the check payable to Robert Zimmerman and mail it to
 
Behind The Black
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You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


Trump proposes an increase in science spending in 2021

Read any analysis by any mainstream news or science publication of Trump’s 2021 proposed science budget, released this week, and you will come away thinking that the future of science research in the U.S. is doomed and that Donald Trump is a neanderthal who wishes to send us back to the dark ages.

Consider for example this article from the journal Science, Trump’s new budget cuts all but a favored few science programs, which begins like so:

For the fourth straight year, President Donald Trump has proposed sizable reductions in federal research spending. To be sure, it’s no longer news that the president wants deep cuts to the budgets of the National Institutes of Health (NIH), the National Science Foundation (NSF), and science programs at the Department of Energy (DOE) and NASA. And in past years, Congress has rejected similar proposals and provided increases. But Trump’s 2021 request brings into sharper focus what his administration values across the research landscape—and what it views as unimportant.

The article then outlines how Trump is slashing spending on science research across the board, even to the point of spinning the NASA budget to make a significant budget increase appear as a cut, by cherry-picking only some of that budget’s science programs.

This article is typical of the mainstream press. These articles never provide any context for the proposed budget numbers. They look at what was spent the year before, see what is being proposed for the next year, and if they see any reduction they scream. And if it is an evil Republican president proposing the cuts they scream far harder, implying that those cuts will guarantee the coming of a new dark age.

Trump's proposed science budget compared to Obama's last science budget

To the right however are the budget numbers (shown in thousands) for five of the biggest science agencies in the federal government, comparing Trump’s 2021 proposed budget numbers with the last science budget approved at the end of the Obama administration in 2016.

Notice anything? Yes, that’s right, the total spending proposed by Trump is higher. Even if you remove the $6 billion extra for NASA, most of which is aimed at Trump’s Artemis Moon project, the overall total is still $3 billion more.

In other words, Trump is not slashing science spending. If anything, he is continuing the federal government’s out-of-control growth. For example, the budget for NOAA for years was somewhere around $4 billion. Beginning in 2013 Obama gave NOAA an annual billion dollar boost, bringing it above $5 billion, even though that agency has been building very few new weather satellites. Trump is merely trying to bring NOAA’s budget back down to those earlier more reasonable numbers.

And then there’s the NASA budget. Yes, Trump is trying to terminate four missions, but he isn’t doing it mindlessly. There are sound reasons to do so in all four cases. For example, WFIRST, a big space telescope comparable in size and expense to the James Webb Space Telescope, has from the start had serious budget and scheduling issues. By all indications, it is going to do the same as Webb, eat up the entire astrophysics budget at NASA for another decade, preventing the construction of any other space telescopes. Rather than build one giant boondoggle, as the astronomy community had NASA do with Webb, Trump wants to dump WFIRST so that the agency might instead have the chance to build many smaller space telescopes, launched frequently and studying a wide range of subjects.

Similarly, Trump’s proposal to terminate the airborne SOFIA telescope makes sense. It is expensive and does not produce much science. Better to put that money elsewhere. This is also the same conclusion the Trump administration has come to for the two earth science satellites it wishes to cut. Their science isn’t going to be worth the expense.

Despite these trims, however, Trump’s NASA 2021 budget proposal is another example of our out-of-control federal government. The administration appears to have made an all-out commitment to Artemis, SLS, Orion, and Gateway, committing big money to all three. For example, the budget provides $1.4 billion for Orion in 2021. That’s almost three times what SpaceX spent to develop Falcon Heavy, in its entirety. It is also on top of the $17 billion already spent since NASA awarded the contract to Lockheed Martin in 2006.

And what are we getting for spending almost $20 billion? Three flight capsules. Bless my heart!

NASA does say it wants to buy much of what it will need for Artemis from private companies, rather than build those things itself. This is good. The large numbers requested however suggest to me that NASA does not want to be forced to keep a tight budget. That is not good.

Overall, while this new Trump budget does attempt to cut spending imposed by Congress from the year before, it still illustrates once again that little has changed on a fundamental level in Washington. The same players are pushing for more spending, and they expect to get it. And I will not be surprised it Congress goes along (no matter which party is in control), endorsing Trump’s push for more spending where he asked for it, while rejecting all his cuts.

The result will be a continuing and mindless ballooning of the federal debt, something that simply cannot continue forever.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

2 comments

  • Saxby Fox

    Interesting. I see that if you use FY20 numbers things look a lot different. For instance, NIH received 41.46 billion from Congress compared to the FY21 presidential proposal of 36.97. Seems to me like that is a cut of almost 4.5 billion. NOAA was funded at 5.49B last year. Trump proposes cutting that to 4.63B this year, another cut. DOE office of science was $7 Billion last year. Trump proposes to cut it to 6.3B this year, a 7 million dollar cut. EPA was funded at 6.068M in FY20. Trump is pushing for 6.658M this year, a small plus up. NASA does well in FY21 request but a lot of science is cut while hardware gets a big boost.

    But probably most important is that the Congress, and not the President, controls the purse strings.

  • Saxby Fox: Your point is taken. I should have inserted some reference to the fact that, when compared with the previous budget amounts, imposed by Congress, Trump’s budget does attempt to impose some budget discipline. I have made this correction.

    Nonetheless, my point is that Trump’s cuts do little to actually cut anything. Worse, we all know that Congress will ignore them anyway and up the budget again.

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