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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription, which takes about a 15% cut:

 

4. Donate by check. I get whatever you donate. Make the check payable to Robert Zimmerman and mail it to
 
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
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You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


ESA looks to global private sector for its next ISS cargo mission

ESA logo

The European Space Agency (ESA) has issued a request for bids to launch a cargo mission to ISS by the fourth quarter of 2028, and its request will allow companies other than those in Europe to bid.

Published on 3 October, the call for the CSOC Cargo Commercially Procured Offset initiative outlines a single mission to transport 4,900 to 5,000 kilograms of pressurised cargo to the ISS.

… In the call’s “Letter of Invitation”, the agency stated that, due to regulatory requirements that include certifications provided by NASA, the competition would be open to economic operators from the United States. ESA did, however, add that preference would be given, to the “fullest extent possible”, to bids from its Member States.

While the call is set to close on 31 October, the execution of the mission’s procurement will only move forward if the necessary funding is approved by Member States at ESA’s Ministerial Council meeting in November. It will then need to be approved by the relevant Programme Board and the Industrial Policy Committee.

Though there are several European startups (The Exploration Company, Thales Alena, Atmos, PLD) now developing unmanned returnable capsules that will eventually be able to bring cargo to and from ISS, none appear likely to be able to meet the 2028 deadline. Thus, the most likely winner of this contract will be SpaceX.

More significant is the nature of ESA’s request. In the past the agency simply built and owned its own cargo capsule, the ATV. Rather than build another, it is adopting the capitalism model, asking its private sector to make it happen.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

4 comments

  • Dick Eagleson

    Five tonnes is about a tonne and a half beyond Cargo Dragon’s pressurized cargo capacity. Cargo Dragon can carry 6 tonnes in total, but about 2.5 tonnes of that has to ride in the unpressurized trunk. The new, stretched, Cygnus XL can carry 5 tonnes of pressurized cargo – and recently did. So can Dream Chaser – if it ever flies. Unless the Japanese give their about-to-debut HTV-X vehicle a Cygnus-like stretch, it would fall about a tonne short of what the Euros are seeking.

  • pzatchok

    They could get a jump if they can find a way to buy Dream Chaser.

  • Dick Eagleson

    Interesting notion.

    The practicality questions would start with whether or not the Ozmens are interested in selling DC. They might not be. They’ve pretty much lost ISS resupply as a use case, but the DoW has expressed some prior interest in DC’s expendable Shooting Star module. Given that Sierra Space has announced intentions to pursue more military work, DC+Shooting Star could be a big piece of that.

    If the Euros could buy DC, they could certainly launch it on Ariane 6. But the Euros would want to be able to build at least DC themselves and perhaps Shooting Star as well. The current supply chains for both are US-centric. The Euros would probably want all Of DC’s IP and likely the tooling as well. A lot of DC’s fabrication has been subcontracted to LockMart at Michoud. Sierra Space may not even own the tooling. That doesn’t preclude a deal, of course, but might materially complicate it.

    On the brighter side, old-line primes like LockMart have decades of experience trading IP around with their Euro peers as part of co-production deals when European governments buy US weapon systems.

    So never say never, but I still don’t rate the likelihood of such a deal occurring very high.

  • pzatchok

    My guess is they would only buy the DC if it was a total buy out and move to the EU. Then they could own and operate the whole thing employing Europeans.

    Otherwise its pretty much just buying something off of the US again that would never go over well for the governments of the EU.

    So much politics in the way of technical progress and efficiency.

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