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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription, which takes about a 15% cut:

 

4. Donate by check. I get whatever you donate. Make the check payable to Robert Zimmerman and mail it to
 
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
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You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


Intuitive Machines awards SpaceX another lunar lander launch contract

Intuitive Machines Nova-C lunar lander
Artist’s impression of Intuitive Machines lunar lander,
on the Moon

Capitalism in space: Intuitive Machines announced yesterday that it has awarded SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket the launch contract for its third unmanned lunar lander, making SpaceX its carrier for all three.

The key quote however from the article is this:

Intuitive Machines’ first two lander missions are carrying out task orders for NASA awarded under its Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program. However, IM-3 is not linked to any CLPS missions. Marshall said that the mission “has an open manifest for commercial and civil customers.”

In other words, this third launch is being planned as an entirely private lunar robotic mission. Intuitive Machines is essentially announcing that it will launch the lander and has room for purchase for anyone who wants to send a payload to the Moon. This opportunity is perfect for the many universities that have programs teaching students how to build science payloads and satellites. For relatively little, a school can offer its students the chance to fly something to the lunar surface. Not only will it teach them how to build cutting edge engineering, it will allow those students to do cutting edge exploration.

This is the whole concept behind the recommendations I put forth in my 2016 policy paper, Capitalism in Space. If the government will simply buy what it needs from the private sector, and let that sector build and own what it builds, that sector will construct things so that their products can be sold to others, and thus expand the market.

Since around 2018 NASA and the federal government has apparently embraced those recommendations, and we are about to see that policy bear fruit in unmanned lunar exploration. Below is a list of all planned robotic lander missions to the Moon, all scheduled for the next four years:

That’s nine lander/rovers, and all arriving on the Moon hopefully before 2024. While the majority are carrying government payloads, all also include private payloads. The private market for commercial planetary exploration is certainly heating up.

Furthermore, this list leaves out NASA’s manned lunar program, which is also shifting more and more to this commercial model.

The list above also reinforces what I have noted previously: SpaceX is garnering more than 90% of the launch market for these privately built lunar landers. It is doing so because its rockets are the cheapest available at this time, and are also most likely to launch on time with few problems.

Other rocket companies, such as Blue Origin, ULA, and Northrop Grumman, have an opportunity here, if they simply will start to compete. Their failure to do so, however, has left almost the entire market to SpaceX.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

2 comments

  • Richard M

    “SpaceX is garnering more than 90% of the launch market for these privately built lunar landers.”

    And the only one it didn’t get, the Astrobotics lander, was basically, as I understand it, virtually a giveaway, since ULA wanted some kind of payload on its first test launch of Vulcan.

    Still, it would be nice to see Relativity and Rocket Lab getting a little of this business by the mid-2020’s when they get their medium class launchers online. Lord knows, I have no confidence that ULA or Blue Origin will be able to compete for them.

  • Edward

    Robert wrote: “SpaceX is garnering more than 90% of the launch market for these privately built lunar landers. It is doing so because its rockets are the cheapest available at this time, and are also most likely to launch on time with few problems.

    One of Space Exploration Technologies Corp’s (SpaceX) goals is reducing the cost of access to space so that commercial space exploration would be possible. It is succeeding.

    In the 1990s, Dr. Alan Binder tried to build the Lunar Prospector satellite on commercial funding, but because it was competing with governments, Dr. Binder had difficulty finding the last $10 million to complete the $25 million project as a commercial enterprise. Eventually, he had to get NASA funding, which meant NASA control, and NASA bureaucracy and costs. NASA now gets all the credit for the mission, bragging that they did it for $62 million. To me, that means that they spent that much to do $10 million worth of work.

    The bureaucracy imposed upon the scientists and engineers at NASA is costly.

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