Two defunct satellites barely miss each other
Missed it by that much: According to the US Space Command, two defunct satellites, one the first infrared space telescope ever launched and the other a military technology test satellite, apparently did not collide tonight, barely missing each other.
Prior to impact it was estimated they could get within as little as 40 feet. Since the military satellite had booms 60 feet long, the possibility of impact was quite real, especially because there was also a margin of error in the calculations and the two satellites were traveling almost 33,000 mph relative to each other. Had they hit each other the cloud of debris would have caused enormous problems, as the pieces would have been a threat to many other satellites presently in orbit.
Fortunately they missed each other. The problem of many such defunct satellites and upper stages and general space junk still exists however. Someone could make some good money providing a service to clean this stuff up. I suspect governments would be willing to pay to have it done.
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Missed it by that much: According to the US Space Command, two defunct satellites, one the first infrared space telescope ever launched and the other a military technology test satellite, apparently did not collide tonight, barely missing each other.
Prior to impact it was estimated they could get within as little as 40 feet. Since the military satellite had booms 60 feet long, the possibility of impact was quite real, especially because there was also a margin of error in the calculations and the two satellites were traveling almost 33,000 mph relative to each other. Had they hit each other the cloud of debris would have caused enormous problems, as the pieces would have been a threat to many other satellites presently in orbit.
Fortunately they missed each other. The problem of many such defunct satellites and upper stages and general space junk still exists however. Someone could make some good money providing a service to clean this stuff up. I suspect governments would be willing to pay to have it done.
The support of my readers through the years has given me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Four years ago, just before the 2020 election I wrote that Joe Biden's mental health was suspect. Only in the past two weeks has the mainstream media decided to recognize that basic fact.
Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Even today NASA and Congress refuses to recognize this reality.
In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
Please consider supporting my work here at Behind the Black.
You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are five ways of doing so:
1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.
2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
3. A Paypal Donation:
5. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652
You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above. And if you buy the books through the ebookit links, I get a larger cut and I get it sooner.
If the AGW model is correct, the answer is burn more carbon reserves so the atmosphere increases to add drag to the debris.
However, I am not an AGW advocate at the problem will be more complex.
If orbital velocity is somewhere around 17,000 mph, and the relative motion of these two is around 33,000 mph, it sounds like a meeting situation. The impact would result in a reduced orbital speed for both, deorbiting in a relatively short space of time. Most of the pieces, anyway.
So, what am I missing here?
I never understood the escape velocity concept-taught in elementary school (a loong time ago). Wouldn’t escape velocity become less and less the further out the gravity well one got? Maybe the answer to the original question has something to do with that.
Nothing happens to prevent the Kessler Syndrome because it is a classic tragedy of the commons.
Elon, cleanup on LEO 4!
…actually, his equipment did snare one cowling yesterday from the Starlink launch and return it.
The idea of retrieving and repairing wayward satellites was part of the inspiration behind the original Space Shuttle program, as I recall. (I know for a fact that it was the main goal of the genius Atari 2600 game “Space Shuttle.”) It wouldn’t be too hard to adapt such craft to cleanup and salvage operations… had we not suddenly decided it was too much of a bother to go to space under our own power.
Michael–
take a look at–
“Gravity at altitude”
Prof Matt Anderson
2014
https://youtu.be/qz9WOIMcWdQ
4:57
He also has equally short & concise explanations of escape velocity, stable orbits, rocket launch, etc. (good stuff)
Northrop Grumman launched MEV-1 (Mission Extension Vehicle) late last year to rescue an IntelSat by latching on to it and maintaining its orbital station for 5 or more years, MEV-2 will be launched soon to move another IntelSat and position it very close to an existing Satellite.
MEV-3, MEV-4, and MEV-5 will have even greater capabilities including robotic arms, refueling capabilities, de-orbiting capabilities, etc.
Every MEV has a working life of approximately 15 years and can do much to clean-up or re-position spacecraft.
The biggest limit for cleaning up all the debris is fuel consumption. If one could maneuver around with a solar sail or ion engine you could do more with one vehicle, otherwise from one piece of debris to another the cost in fuel to switch between orbits is enormous.
Maybe Elon could make a swarm of single use smallsats for this. They could latch onto objects and then deploy a solar sail that slowly drags them both out into a higher orbit where they will be less dangerous and can be mined for scrap later on. I would call this Project Dandelion.
Robert wrote: “Someone could make some good money providing a service to clean this stuff up. I suspect governments would be willing to pay to have it done.”
It looks like this is coming soon to launch pads near everyone.
https://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/esa-hires-private-company-to-remove-space-junk/
The European Space Agency has demonstrated that governments are willing to pay to clean up space debris, and the commercial company that it hired can make a profit doing it.
Michael wrote: Most of the pieces, anyway. So, what am I missing here?”
You are missing two things. First, if there were only a glancing blow, such as antennas striking each other or an antenna striking a larger part, then most of the pieces would still be travelling in a similar direction and about the same speed, but there may be fewer pieces. Second, even a direct collision would still result in many, many pieces still travelling in the similar directions and about the same speed. Some pieces would be slower and could fall out of orbit, but there would still be a very large number of pieces creating a hazard to satellite navigation.
“Wouldn’t escape velocity become less and less the further out the gravity well one got?”
This is correct, but velocity must be added in order to get further out of the gravity well. Essentially you trade speed for altitude, like an airplane does if the pilot does not add power, and this is why a car driver adds power in order to keep up his speed as he goes up a hill.