Update on coronavirus spread
Link here. As expected, the situation in China continues to be serious and somewhat out of control. The key data point however is this:
The number of confirmed infections across China has risen to 7,711, resulting in 170 deaths. By comparison, there were 5,327 cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in China during the 2002-2003 outbreak, although that virus was more deadly, claiming 349 lives.
In about a week the number of those infected has grown exponentially, far far faster than the previous SARS epidemic. In one week it just about passed SARS, which took a year to accumulate the same numbers.
At the same time, coronavirus still appears relatively mild, having produced half the deaths, about 2% of all those infected. This number however can easily rise, as the disease is still in its early stages for the majority of those infected.
So far the detected cases outside of China remain small, but they are also on the rise, including the first detected human-to-human transmission entirely within the U.S.
Once again, it is essential that no one panic over this virus. Its potential danger should also not be poo-pooed. Until we know more, it poses a threat that must be faced.
The support of my readers through the years has given me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Four years ago, just before the 2020 election I wrote that Joe Biden's mental health was suspect. Only in this year has the propaganda mainstream media decided to recognize that basic fact.
Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Even today NASA and Congress refuse to recognize this reality.
In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
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Link here. As expected, the situation in China continues to be serious and somewhat out of control. The key data point however is this:
The number of confirmed infections across China has risen to 7,711, resulting in 170 deaths. By comparison, there were 5,327 cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in China during the 2002-2003 outbreak, although that virus was more deadly, claiming 349 lives.
In about a week the number of those infected has grown exponentially, far far faster than the previous SARS epidemic. In one week it just about passed SARS, which took a year to accumulate the same numbers.
At the same time, coronavirus still appears relatively mild, having produced half the deaths, about 2% of all those infected. This number however can easily rise, as the disease is still in its early stages for the majority of those infected.
So far the detected cases outside of China remain small, but they are also on the rise, including the first detected human-to-human transmission entirely within the U.S.
Once again, it is essential that no one panic over this virus. Its potential danger should also not be poo-pooed. Until we know more, it poses a threat that must be faced.
The support of my readers through the years has given me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Four years ago, just before the 2020 election I wrote that Joe Biden's mental health was suspect. Only in this year has the propaganda mainstream media decided to recognize that basic fact.
Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Even today NASA and Congress refuse to recognize this reality.
In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
Please consider supporting my work here at Behind the Black.
You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are five ways of doing so:
1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.
2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
3. A Paypal Donation:
5. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652
You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above. And if you buy the books through the ebookit links, I get a larger cut and I get it sooner.
What worries me is the scale of action by governments around the world… Instead of spinning the outbreak as a new form of the flu, we have the Chinese building “pop up”hospitals capable of holding many 10s of thousands, the UK planning on putting all returning citizens into a 2 week quarantine at army bases, and cruise ships off the coast of Italy being refused entry .
I don’t know if it’s a genuine reaction to a very dangerous plague, and we are being fed bull crap to avoid panic, if it’s an over reaction due to past failing, or even a practice run for “the real thing”…
Whatever the RRAL story is, we are not privy to the details! :-/
I give it one “poo” as opposed to the “poo poo.” There are tons of other virus outbreaks that are far worse that go unmentioned simply because they are not new or novel – the regular flu has tons of schools closed in Texas right now and I got it before Christmas.
Yes, pay attention. Bird flu, SARS, and so many other such things have had folks all panicking over the years and were always over hyped. Let’s watch, wait and see. Then, if it has folks in hospitals all over we can worry.
Our personal worry does absolutely nothing to find a cure or treatment and does nothing to stop it – it just induces other illness through stress.
the solution always proposed is to stay home. this shuts down the industrial machine. to make money, most are in a just-in-time mode. We will soon find out what this means as China’s industry stays home.
WHO declares emergency.
https://www.theepochtimes.com/coronavirus-live-updates-air-canada-announces-it-is-suspending-china-flights_3221125.html
The issue is not how deadly it is, but how fast it spreads.
Transmission during the incubation phase increases the chances, because you dont know your sick.
The statements about fast mutation (tho I have not seen all the details), means that there is a “wild card” factor that could result is various strains that could thwart a cure.
The folks are no longer quarantined on the cruise liner. The sick person was cleared and all were allowed to disembark.
https://www.theepochtimes.com/cruise-passengers-held-over-coronavirus-scare-can-disembark_3222395.html
Talgus
(If memory serves)Per a recent John Batchelor episode the expected impact in China is 4% for the Provence and 1% GPD for China with an expected peak in the spring (April – May)
This gets worse, and affects the global economy, as the virus remains uncontainable.
If this is true, then I’m not worried. Looks like the virus “mutated” to be preferential to Asian males.
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.26.919985v1.full
25% of the children in the local school district have the flu. After extensive flu shots given earlier in the year. (only one Child recently returned from China)
My place of employment quit allowing flu shots to be given out free in our common room because so many people would come down with the flu that it would compromise production. Some never came back to work.
The above article is very good, pointing out that China hasn’t ordered very many test kits to keep the number of confirmed cases low. There’s also other allegations of bodies being burned before they are counted or identified to prevent the death rate from being official.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=12304547
Chinese nationals working in a lab in Canada were caught stealing samples of coronavirus and placing them in there socks to go through the airport.
Biotech lab that handles these viruses for the Chinese military is located 20 miles from the infection zone. It has been cited for poor containment and hygiene practices. For example, when their incinerator was down they took the boxed infected items and threw them in the trash. People at the trash dump collected and resold much of the medical waste that have value, like the medical suits.
A personal story called on the radio this morning of helping a young woman in Mongolia who is in trouble , the entire apartment complex was out of food. She called for permission to retrieve the money transferred to the bank to go get food. She was escorted by for four person guard to the bank then to a mostly empty grocery store. The city near the border of China is under quarantine. Starvation is already becoming a problem.
A call to the local preparation centers who sell freeze dried food confirms that the orders are so high, that they are sold out for the near future. Most of the orders are from Southeast Asia.
Local doctors are making medical supply runs at the local grocery stores and also picking up extra food.
The world health organization, that sippin-bourbon posted, has determined this health crisis to be a level four pandemic, and yet it also says it forbids people from being biased and to keep the borders open. That is their order!