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You want to know the future? Read my work! Fifteen years ago I said NASA's SLS rocket was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said its Orion capsule was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

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January 14, 2026 Quick space links

Courtesy of BtB’s stringer Jay. This post is also an open thread. I welcome my readers to post any comments or additional links relating to any space issues, even if unrelated to the links below.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

6 comments

  • Jeff Wright

    On the War Dept.

    You say it is not a good plan—that’s religion again.

    The reason Mike Griffin did what he did is that he was a Hegseth himself in some respects.

    He didn’t trust the primes and wanted things in-house…Arsenal Method.

    That worked quite well for the ABMA.

    The idea is to not take what a salesman offers.

    You DON’T let them build what they want to build. Keep suits on the short leash—and folks build what YOU tell them to build—or they will try to foist an albatross around your neck…like EELVs.

    My guess is that the War Department just doesn’t trust L3 for…whatever.

    I guess we will wait and see.

  • Jeff Wright

    Further—

    Remember….the popular wisdom is that L3 got rid of the best part of itself with only RS-25 (and a few other things)….so War Dept. might fear them like Griffin distrusted the EELV lobby.

    If I were half the homer people think I am—I would keep silent and say “you’re right Mr. Z—War Department should buy whatever L3 offers.”

    Personally, I think Space Force/War Department SHOULD launch assets atop SLS instead of Starship so they don’t wind up in the Gulf….

  • Nate P

    Jeff Wright,

    What makes that ‘religion’?

    Given Griffin’s behavior around the SDA, it’s far more likely that he was being leaned upon by politicians to funnel money to their constituents and campaign backers than because he didn’t trust the private sector.

    As for not trusting ‘them’ (whomever ‘them’ is), that behavior is what’s gotten our military into the situation it’s in now, with aircraft, ships, weapons, tanks, etc. that cost too much, are built in small numbers, and can barely be adequately replaced when expended. There is nothing suggesting that government officials have any special wisdom anent procurement, and lots to suggest that they don’t.

    Why would the Department of War fear L3Harris? Why would they launch payloads aboard a rocket that is unavailable, instead of aboard F9, and simply wait for SpaceX to work the kinks out of Starship? Why pay $2 billion for a launch that you can get for $90 million or less?

  • Dick Eagleson

    Given that L3Harris is pretty much a Franken-company cobbled together from parts acquired at the corporate equivalent of yard or estate sales, I’m inclined to give this deal a chance despite being, in general, not a fan of state-owned industries. A company that is, in essence, a lot of bargain-basement corporate leftovers flying in loose formation might provide more bang-for-the-buck to the War Dept. as a partial division of same than it would as an arms-length supplier under cost-plus contracts. This might even prove to be a model for arranging graceful sunsets for other legacy defense contractors. That is certainly a project I could get behind.

    Jeff Wright,

    Army arsenals have sometimes produced good results, but that is hardly the invariant case.

    An interesting example would be the venerable Browning M-2 .50 cal. heavy machine gun, a weapon ubiquitous during WW2 and still in use by US forces today. At the outbreak of US involvement in WW2, the War Production Board- pretty much a collection of leading manufacturing entrepreneurs of the day – was set up to allocate military production chores to companies equipped to handle them in a rapid switch-over from mainly civilian to mainly military production. Singer Sewing Machine Co. was assigned to make machine guns because its main product was a durable precision mechanical device that rapidly reciprocated in operation.

    Up to that time, the “Ma Deuce,” as it was called, had been produced by one of the Army arsenals. In keeping with Browning’s original design, every part of the weapon was machined including parts like the ventilated barrel cooling shroud. Singer engineers took a clean-sheet-of-paper approach to the M-2’s manufacture and substituted sheet metal stampings wherever possible and also re-schemed the machining steps of parts that still had to be machined. They took about 90% of the former unit cost out of the gun and increased its achievable production rate by more than two orders of magnitude.

    In addition to lavishly supplying the Army and Marine Corps infantry and armored formations, these changes also made it possible for US aircraft to veritably bristle with Ma Deuces – heavy bombers often had a dozen. There were modified versions of the B-25 that had a dozen or more of them mounted in a cluster in the nose for heavy strafing of naval targets. Every US fighter aircraft built thereafter had four, six and even eight M-2s in its nose or its wings.

    None of that would have been possible had M-2 production been left as-was at the Army arsenal.

    It would be nice if there was a simple and obvious formula for the best way to do everything, but life is more complex than that.

    Which brings us to the modern military procurement process – which, as so often seems to be the case with you, you completely misunderstand. Back in the day, the military was far less inclined to be minutely prescriptive about what it wanted, preferring to issue some general minimum specs and see what arrived on-offer. That’s how we got long-range heavy bombers in the inter-war years, for example. The USAAF put out a request for designs for a “multi-engined bomber” with the implied – but not mandated – number of engines being two. Boeing came back with the prototype of what would become the B-17 with four. A lot of inter-war, WW2 and Cold War US weaponry was acquired in this way.

    During Vietnam, the swivel chair hussars took over. Not that they just suddenly appeared out of nowhere – there was the famous case of the badly defective Mark 14 torpedo produced by the Navy’s Bureau of Ordnance and its obdurate refusal to acknowledge the flaws. There were other such examples. But “requirements” for weapon systems went from a few sheets of paper to toe-crushing volumes the size of big-city phone books. The legacy primes – once most of them were rid of their troublesome founding entrepreneurial headmen – went along with the gag and just did what they were so minutely and prescriptively told so long as they could do it on a cost-plus basis.

    There were a few oddball systems – like the A-10 – that managed to succeed despite these headwinds, but, in general, the paper-pushers took over. That’s how we got “fighter planes” that cost $100 million apiece and can only be built in niche quantities. It’s how we continue to get new piloted aircraft when we should be going for mass mass mass mass mass production of cheap and disposable drones with some bigger and more expensive robot fighters that can maneuver at 12Gs or more and rip the crap out of opposing air forces that still put people in planes.

    So, far from continuing to have the REMFs run the show, we should send all of these worthless people packing, burn the FAR manuals and put some actual warfighters in place who can intelligently evaluate both solicited and unsolicited proposals from “salesmen” at NewDef companies.

    Mike Griffin did this a grand total of once in his life when he was running SDA. Both before and after, though, he has been the guy who wants to dictate terms and empire-build even if it means wasting billions and ignoring serviceable solutions already available. That includes, most especially, using extant EELVs instead of ginning up more useless and barely producible monster rockets in order to give MSFC something to do.

    The military has been offered SLS several times – most recently under the clueless auspices of former Acting NASA Administrator Sean Duffy. The War Department has – wisely – declined every time.

    But, please, tell us just what payloads the military might loft on SLS – every other year. Given Starship’s vastly greater production cadence and comparatively miniscule price, the War Department would be better off launching stuff on it than on SLS even if every tenth Starship continued to go into the drink. But, of course, they won’t.

  • Mike a

    I have experience in this mix of corporate/government engineering.

    If the prints, designs and concepts all flow together for a final product, this is intrinsically antithetical to how the govt industrial complex flows down their designs to industry.
    I’m working off a decades old print, that requires an act of congress to compel a Rev Roll, and I’m dealing with BASIC GD&T that conflicts with itself, even in the industry standards that existed at that time.

    Sometimes you can’t blame the orgs that inherit legacy programs.
    It’s a lost art in picking up where someone else left off, especially if the details were lost to tribal knowledge.

  • Nate P and Dick Eagleson: I have come to the conclusion that Jeff Wright is nothing more than a troll, who is possibly only coming here to put up links to several sites that pay him to do so. In the process he spews out nonsense expressly designed to irritate. He thus reminds me of this guy:

    I don’t ban him because he does spark some very intelligent responses that are informative and helpful, such as your two comments above. I do however review every post, and have deleted a few, almost exclusively because he won’t follow my rules relating to posting too-many and off-topic links.

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