The new satellite industry, energized by freedom
Liberty enlightening the world, both on it and in space.
Last week SpaceX successfully completed its 22nd launch in 2022, sending 59 smallsats into orbit with its Falcon 9 rocket.
In the past few decades, the launch of a smallsat would generally have not merited much further coverage. These satellites, almost always based on the 10-centimeter (or 4-inch) square cubesat design, had generally been short term objects built almost always by university students not so much to do space research as to simply learn how to build satellites and learn how they operated in orbit.
This has now all changed, fueled both by the immense drop in launch costs generated by the competition between the new rockets built by SpaceX and the new emerging smallsat rocket companies (Rocket Lab, Virgin Orbit, and Astra) and by the improved capabilities of miniaturized components. Cubesats can now do far more despite being tiny, and they can be launched for much less money.
The result has been wonderfully illustrated by the satellites launched last week on that Falcon 9. Below is a short list of the press releases in the past few days, announcing the successful activation of these satellites:
- Satellogic Announces Successful Launch of Four Additional Satellites on SpaceX Transporter-5 Mission
- Omnispace Spark-2™ Satellite Successfully Launches into Orbit
- All Six Terran Orbital Designed and Built Satellites Successfully Deploy From SpaceX Transporter-5
- ICEYE successfully completes its largest satellite launch ever, placing five new SAR satellites into orbit
- Fleet Space announces launch of next-generation Centauri-5 satellite
- Greenhouse Gas Monitoring from Space: GHGSat Launches Three New Satellites with SpaceX
- SpaceX’s Transporter 5 launches with remains of 47 people for ‘space burial’
These press releases cover only 20 of those 59 satellites, but include satellites that are part of five different satellite constellations that will do precise earth mapping, provide global internet capabilities, Earth radar surveillance, climate monitoring, or global communications for the internet of things. The six Terran Orbit satellites demonstrated the capability of that company to build a variety of smallsats for different customers with different objectives, while the space burial was Celestis’ 18th such mission.
In addition, the Falcon 9 launch included several payloads designed to service satellites in orbit, either by acting as a tug to bring the satellites where they needed to be, by providing them orbital capabilities they couldn’t carry themselves, or by demonstrating new technologies in orbit.
- First test flight of Momentus’s orbital tug has issues
- Spaceflight’s Sherpa-AC tug successfully deploys satellites
- D-Orbit Launches its Sixth ION Satellite Carrier Mission
- First Structural Metal Cutting In Space Demo By Nanoracks + Maxar
- CubeSat Set to Demonstrate NASA’s Fastest Laser Link from Space
Nor is this a complete list of all the satellites launched by that Falcon 9 on May 25th. There were also student-built cubesats and other smallsats for a host of other entities.
This list however demonstrates clearly the benefits from free enterprise and competition. Not only did those concepts lower the cost to orbit, they are also forcing satellite companies to innovate and lower their own costs, with the prime example being the three different commercial orbital tugs, all aiming for the business of serving future cubesat makers.
The many new cubesat constellations also show this. Several are in direct competition. Others are aiming to fill new needs that others haven’t yet provided. All will provide their users greater capabilities with less risk and for less money.
And as always, this competition that will force innovation and price reductions that will generate new satellite customers, which will then feed the launch industry, which faced with increased competition for this new business will be forced to innovate and lower costs as well.
Which will cycle back to the satellite industry, causing it to grow even more. And so forth.
The cycle can be never ending, with everyone benefiting in ways that no one can possibly predict. Nor is there really any downside. Even if orbital space begins to get too crowded, freedom and competition will simply result in new companies aiming to make money solving that problem.
There is however one dark cloud over this bright future, and that will come solely from those who wish to squelch freedom. Anyone who acts to deny these launch and satellite companies their ability to achieve is really an enemy to creativity and the human soul. When someone in the next few years screams “This must be stopped to save humanity!” recognize that the screamer is not interested in saving anyone. Their only goal will be to deny others the right to fulfill their dreams.
Such nay-sayers should always be treated, at the least, with great skepticism. More properly they should be taken by the neck and shown the door. Their only achievement is to hurt others, and to deny the rest of us the benefits of a grander future. Such negativity should never be rewarded.
As John Kennedy said as he called for a manned lunar landing in 1961,
We stand for freedom. . . . NO friend, no neutral, and no adversary should think otherwise. We are not against any man — or any nation — or any system — except as it is hostile to freedom.
For the sake of all future human generations, I stand with Kennedy and freedom. We all must.
On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.
The print edition can be purchased at Amazon. from any other book seller, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.
The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News
The technological changes that make this all possible are just incredible. What I have been able to do in such a small satellite package would not have been possible even a decade ago. Each year we get better and smaller. Cheaper flights will fuel new systems of monitoring the Earth in ways we don’t know. Imagine a persistent, detailed view of our entire globe. What could we learn about what the climate is really doing. Not just modeling the future, but knowing what it will bring.
I am looking forward to what comes next.
Cubesats: Gaia’s neural network.
Innovation by Capitalism.
The free exchange of money seems to far more efficiently produce actual results than top-down mandated fiat.
See my shocked face.
Robert wrote: “When someone in the next few years screams ‘This must be stopped to save humanity!’ recognize that the screamer is not interested in saving anyone. Their only goal will be to deny others the right to fulfill their dreams.”
All my life I have been hearing cries of “the end is near!” For the past seventy years we have been told that we only have 30 years worth of oil left on the planet, yet here we are, using oil at an even greater rate than when we were first told the end of oil was near. Half a century ago, we were told that the next ice age was upon us, and that the cooling temperatures (at that time) were just its beginning. for the past quarter century we were told that the temperatures and seas will rise by the end of this century, yet here we are with the temperature and sea levels still the same.
Each time, the solution was greater government control and less individual freedom, in order to save humanity. Someone had to keep us from destroying the world, and only government could do that for us. Unfortunately for the Chicken Littles among us, the end is not nearing, government has only caused worse problems, and individual freedom has provided virtually all the solutions that we have so far.
Edward: The problem isn’t the Chicken Littles endlessly screaming “the end is near!” The real problem has been the general public’s lack of skepticism of these claims. For decades the public heard the cry, panicked, and went along with the big government proposals offered, even after they had failed time after time after time.
I think the Wuhan panic might have finally infused some real skepticism in the general public, both young and old. Did you notice how the push for another panic over MonkeyPox has apparently fizzled? No one is interested, or now sees it for the manipulation that it is. If this is so, it is the best news I’ve seen in decades.
Michael Crichton “Prey” 2002
Crichton got preachy in his later work, like Heinlein, but Crichton was still halfway readable.
Has a lot to say in this novel about public manipulation.