The failed predictions of Earth Day

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On this anniversary of the first Earth Day in 1970, it behooves us to once again review the predictions of the environmental experts that even today the environmental movement relies on and continues to worship, men like Paul Ehrlich and David Brower, the first executive director of The Sierra Club.

The Daily Caller today provided us a list of the seven most significant predictions from that day, all of which turned out to be wrong. For example, Ehrlich repeatedly predicted that millions would starve in the coming decades:

Stanford professor Dr. Paul Ehrlich declared in April 1970 that mass starvation was imminent. His dire predictions failed to materialize as the number of people living in poverty has significantly declined and the amount of food per person has steadily increased, despite population growth. The world’s Gross Domestic Product per person has immeasurably grown despite increases in population.

Ehrlich is largely responsible for this view, having co-published “The Population Bomb” with The Sierra Club in 1968. The book made a number of claims including that millions of humans would starve to death in the 1970s and 1980s, mass famines would sweep England leading to the country’s demise, and that ecological destruction would devastate the planet causing the collapse of civilization.

Brower meanwhile revealed the tyrannical aspect of the environmental movement, stating that “[a]ll potential parents [should be] required to use contraceptive chemicals, the government issuing antidotes to citizens chosen for childbearing.” He went on to found Friends of the Earth and the League of Conservation Voters.

Ehrlich continues to push the same predictions, even though none of his past predictions have come true. But, then, what does that matter? Why should reality have anything to do with anything? It’s that he cares that matters!



  • Social philosophies that aren’t based on the observable universe are never going to succeed on any level. And Ehrlich et al don’t ‘care’ about anything except gaining power over those they don’t like.

  • Edward

    Ehrlich must have expected socialism to spread in the 1970s and 1980s. Socialism and communism were the main causes of starvation in the 20th century.

    Interestingly, population and energy concerns have been around for centuries. I remember reading in school that in about 1600AD, the Dutch were concerned that they only had about 300 years of peat left, and they were concerned about future generations — these would be the people of the 20th century.

    It turns out that people are smart (well, maybe not liberal environmentalists), and we look for alternatives and advancements to avoid self destruction. Who knows, maybe some day we will import energy and materials from space as being less expensive than mining the Earth.

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