The uncertainty of science: Despite predictions that global warming would destroy the world’s coral reefs, scientists as well as divers who visit the reefs regularly have found that they are instead thriving, with almost no damage.
[R]ecent research has shown some coral reefs are coming back to life much more quickly than scientists believed possible. Scientists found Coral Castles teeming with life during a 2015 dive, despite declaring the reef dead 13 years ago. โEverything looked just magnificent,โ said Jan Witting, the diveโs lead scientist who works at the Sea Education Association, told The New York Times. โLast year, the whole place was holding its breath,โ Witting said. โThe whole oceanโs in bloom this year.โ
Rangiroa lagoon in French Polynesia had rebounded just 15 years after being devastated by the incredibly strong 1998 El Nino warming event. โOur projections were completely wrong,โ marine biologist Peter Mumby told BBC News in 2014. โSometimes it is really nice to be proven wrong as a scientist, and this was a perfect example of that.โ
These bad predictions, some as recently as April 2016, not only were not based on facts, they did serious harm to the tourist industry and the people who depend on it.
โScientists had written off that entire northern section as a complete white-out,โโ Chris Eade, owner of the diving boat Spirit Of Freedom, told The Courier-Mail in an interview. โWe expected the worst,โ Eade said. โBut it is tremendous condition, most of it is pristine, the rest is in full recovery. It shows the resilience of the reef.โ
Eade said dire predictions about the demise of the Great Barrier Reef has hurt tourism businesses โ a $5 billion industry. Heโs particularly angry with scientists who estimated bleaching had hurt 93 percent of the Great Barrier Reef, mostly concentrated in the northern half. โBetween 60 and 100 percent of corals are severely bleached on 316 reefs, nearly all in the northern half of the Reef,โ Terry Hughes, the lead coral reef scientist at Australiaโs James Cook University, said in April. Hughesโ research was based on aerial surveys of 911 reefs, and found 316 reefs were โseverely bleached.โ But thatโs not what Eade and other reef tourist operators have observed taking people out for daily dives. [emphasis mine]
In other words, the scientist really didn’t look at the reefs. Instead, he took a quick distant survey and declared disaster, probably to promote the agenda of global warming.