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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription, which takes about a 15% cut:

 

4. Donate by check. I get whatever you donate. Make the check payable to Robert Zimmerman and mail it to
 
Behind The Black
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You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


Two launches this morning

In the last six hours two different American companies successfully completed launches from the same spaceport.

First, SpaceX placed another 28 Starlink satellites in orbit, its Falcon 9 rocket lifting off from Cape Canaveral in Florida, with the first stage completing its 22nd flight by landing on a drone ship in the Atlantic.

The company also has another Starlink launch for this evening.

Next, ULA placed 27 more of Amazon’s Kuiper satellites into orbit, its Atlas-5 rocket also lifting off from Cape Canaveral in Florida.

Amazon now has 129 Kuiper satellites in orbit. It needs to get another 1,471 in orbit by July 2026 in order to meet its licence requirements by the FCC. While ULA appears to be ramping up regular launches for Amazon, having a contract for 46 launches (having so far completed three in 2025), the contracts for Blue Origin’s New Glenn (27 launches), and ArianeGroup’s Ariane-6 (18 launches) are more uncertain. Neither company has achieved any launches on their contracts, and it is not clear when either company, especially Blue Origin, will ever begin regular launches.

This was ULA’s fourth launch in 2025, so it does not yet qualify for the leader board in the 2025 launch race. The company says it hopes to launch about eight more times this year, but based on its present launch pace of about one launch every three months, that seems unlikely. As for the Atlas-5 rocket, ULA now has twelve rockets in left in stock before the rocket is retired for good. Most I think are reserved for Kuiper launches.

The leaders in the 2025 launch race:

124 SpaceX
55 China
13 Russia
12 Rocket Lab

SpaceX now leads the rest of the world in successful launches, 124 to 95.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

7 comments

  • wayne

    ULA launch–
    I hate to complain but, lousy tracking & on-board video for this launch. And I dislike their phony baloney animation. They need to punch their production-values a bit, “good video is priceless,” and it costs so little.

  • Dick Eagleson

    Robert Zimmerman,

    In the line comparing SpaceX’s launch total to that of the rest of the world, you’ve attributed SpaceX 125 launches, not the 124 shown right above in the individual rankings. 124 is correct.

    Wayne,

    Yeah, the amateur-night production values of ULA launch webcasts almost seem designed to underline the point that ULA is your father’s – and grandfather’s – launch services company. These webcasts are in color but have a retro black-and-white feel to them. Even the intern on this webcast seems like he stepped right out of mid-1950s Central Casting. I kept waiting for him to say something like, “Gosh-a-rooney.”

    There is also an unseemly amount of self-congratulation and undeserved self-applied superlatives in the happy chat. Not as much as there is in Blue Origin webcasts of New Shepard launches, thank God, but it’s interesting that SpaceX does little or none of that in its own webcasts. I guess when you actually are numero uno you can just let your accomplishments speak for themselves.

  • Dick Eagleson: Typo fixed. Thank you.

    As for the self-congratulatory commentary on both ULA and Blue Origin telecasts, it is a terrible mistake on their part. It only highlights their weaknesses rather than magnify their strengths.

    Even when SpaceX was only beginning to do Falcon 1 launches in the 2000s it kept its commentary to a minimum. It let what happened speak for it, and that quiet confidence did more to sell the company than anything.

  • mkent

    To complete the leader board for successful orbital launches in 2025 we have…

    4 ULA
    4 Arianespace
    2 Japan
    2 India
    1 Israel
    1 Blue Origin
    1 Northrop Grumman
    0 ISAR Aerospace
    0 Gilmour Space
    0 Firefly
    0 Astra
    0 Relativity
    0 ABL

    FYI

  • mkent

    ”Amazon now has 129 Kuiper satellites in orbit.”

    With this launch Kuiper now passes Spire’s Lemur constellation (110 operational satellites) to claim the fifth largest satellite constellation in the world, behind Starlink, OneWeb, SuperDove, and Starshield. Spire has sold some additional Lemurs to other customers, but its unified AIS / ADSB constellation reportedly numbers 110.

    ”The company says it hopes to launch about eight more times this year…”

    I think that’s four more times for a total of eight.

    ”…its present launch pace of about one launch every three months…”

    ULA has launched four times in the last five months.

    ”ULA now has twelve rockets in left in stock before the rocket is retired for good. Most I think are reserved for Kuiper launches.”

    Six for Starliner, five for Kuiper, and one for Viasat.

  • mkent: Thanks for the breakdown of the last Atlas-5 launches.

    When Bruno said they hoped to do 9 more launches in 2025, it was in early August. At that time the company had only done two launches in 2025 (one each for Vulcan and Atlas-5). Since then it has managed two more launches, in a little more than a month.

    So, the launch pace I listed was right until August, while the launch pace you list has been more correct since. If it maintains that pace for the rest of the year, ULA might reach nine total launches as predicted by Bruno in August.

    We shall see. Forgive me if I remain skeptical at this point. Though I must make it clear I will be thrilled if they do it.

  • Dick Eagleson

    Robert Zimmerman,

    Yes. SpaceX operates on the principle that he who yaps least yaps best. It’s Elon’s now-famous dictum that the best part is no part applied to launch commentary. More than half of SpaceX’s Falcon 9 launches are Starlink missions and, on those, SpaceX applies Elon’s dictum very literally – there is no commentary, just the event call-outs on the mission control channel.

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