Russian investigators pin down cause of Luna-25 failure
Though the investigation is not yet complete, reports out of Russia indicate that the cause of the failure of Luna-25 during an engine burn while in orbit around the Moon has been identified.
The article at the link provides the details, which involve problems with two “BIUS-L accelerometers” during the flight, which for reasons not yet understood were switching from the primary to the secondary randomly during the journey to the Moon, apparently because of some failure.
However, ahead of the fateful lunar orbit correction on August 19, both accelerometers worked correctly, but once the maneuver started, one set failed again, while the flight control system never switched to data from the second set. As a result, onboard computers were not receiving data about critical parameters required for properly completing the orbit correction, such as orientation of the spacecraft in space, velocity and altitude.
If confirmed, this crash scenario would likely implicate deficiencies in the development or testing of the flight control system and its software rather than any mechanical problem of the propulsion system, which was implied in the initial statement about the incident. [emphasis mine]
The highlighted sentence says it all. The serious quality control problems that have hampered Russia’s space efforts remain, and in fact appear systemic throughout its entire aerospace industry. In fact, this failure of a planetary probe helps explain the many difficulties Russia has been having in its war in the Ukraine, attributable to these same issues.
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Though the investigation is not yet complete, reports out of Russia indicate that the cause of the failure of Luna-25 during an engine burn while in orbit around the Moon has been identified.
The article at the link provides the details, which involve problems with two “BIUS-L accelerometers” during the flight, which for reasons not yet understood were switching from the primary to the secondary randomly during the journey to the Moon, apparently because of some failure.
However, ahead of the fateful lunar orbit correction on August 19, both accelerometers worked correctly, but once the maneuver started, one set failed again, while the flight control system never switched to data from the second set. As a result, onboard computers were not receiving data about critical parameters required for properly completing the orbit correction, such as orientation of the spacecraft in space, velocity and altitude.
If confirmed, this crash scenario would likely implicate deficiencies in the development or testing of the flight control system and its software rather than any mechanical problem of the propulsion system, which was implied in the initial statement about the incident. [emphasis mine]
The highlighted sentence says it all. The serious quality control problems that have hampered Russia’s space efforts remain, and in fact appear systemic throughout its entire aerospace industry. In fact, this failure of a planetary probe helps explain the many difficulties Russia has been having in its war in the Ukraine, attributable to these same issues.
Readers!
Please consider supporting my work here at Behind the Black. Your support allows me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Only now does it appear that Washington might finally recognize this reality.
In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are four ways of doing so:
1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.
2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
3. A Paypal Donation or subscription:
4. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652
You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.
Russia is a Fourth World country
If they did not have legacy nuclear weapons they would be openly laughed at world wide.
The country is so corrupt that they can not even import consumer goods reliably to keep the people happy.
It takes them years to get the latest cell phones even if the infrastructure could handle them. Its not even worth it for the richest to go out of country and buy those products.
Doesn’t exactly inspire confidence in those Soyuz ferry flights
Col Beausabre:
A “fourth world country” that is currently defeating the USA and NATO in Ukraine. Your hatred prevents you from thinking clearly.
Those are largely unchanged.
I just think some wiseacre has been drilling holes.
Put chewing gum in it and when it gets cold soaked—it crumbles.
Questioner: Be very careful. I am still moderating your comments and approving them one by one, manually. Col Beausabre was stating an opinion that is in many ways strengthened by facts. To call that “hatred” is simply using insult and emotion as a debating tactic. If you return to this tactic too much I will simply stop approving your comments again.
As for Russia defeating the USA and NATO in the Ukraine, I will have more to say about that later this week. What I will say is that your statement is simplistic and fails entirely in describing the actual situation in the Ukraine, based on events during the past ten months.
”A ‘fourth world country’ that is currently defeating the USA and NATO in Ukraine.”
The USA and NATO are not fighting in Ukraine. If they were to enter the war they’d roll up the entire Russian army in a month.
As it stands now, the Ukraine is making slow and steady progress destroying military equipment Russia can’t replace. Just in the past week they damaged two missile-launching ships that had to be towed back to port and destroyed three or four S-400 Triumph air defense systems, an amphibious landing ship, and a submarine (!).
Getting back to the topic at hand, Russia has not had a successful lunar probe since Luna-24 in 1976 or a successful planetary probe of any kind since Vega-2 in 1985. Their space science program trails not just the United States’s and Europe’s but those of China, Japan, and India as well.
What they do in space now is primarily by inertia. They have great difficulty doing anything new. Much like their military.
Mr. Zimmerman: Please not another status report from the infamous Institute for the Study of War, a well-known neoconservative institution right behind Ukraine and closely linked to Victoria Nuland, the woman who was instrumental in the overthrow of the Ukrainian government in 2014. This woman hates Russia to death. Please try to find someone neutral on this matter. If you want, I can recommend a few. You may not want to give the impression that you are affiliated with ISW.
Questioner: I am well aware of ISW’s biases. However, unlike the sources you have previously recommended, which favor Russia, its opinions continue to be based on actual events, not pure fantasy. It remains a good source of information for what is actually transpiring, as long as one recognizes that it is reporting the war from a pro-Ukraine perspective.
John Mearsheimer – Russia is Too Strong in Terms of Manpower and Military Equipment.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y5XhbJ4UmFA
Jeffrey Sachs Interview – The Biggest Mistake Imaginable.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MKMxMUG4cKA
Mr. Zimmerman,
in addition to the two American gentlemen I linked above, I can also recommend “weeb union” (a Dane?) as a neutral commentator. Recently it was seen on American television that even the Pentagon, in the presence of General Milley, was watching his contributions! That completely knocked me off my feet.
So Many Losses For So Little
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pxFQtmiKeIg
Since June 4th, Ukraine has been sacrificing many tens of thousands of soldiers for minimal terrain gains. That is the complete truth. The offensive failed spectacularly. This is slowly seeping into the Western mainstream media.
Questioner, OK, I apologize -Russia isn”t even a Fourth World country. Maybe Neolithic. As for “defeating NATO and the US” excuse me, while I role on the ground laughing. The Russian military is a joke, hanging on desperately by use of mercenaries swept up from the prisons and sent to die.
Now the rumor is that Cuba has sent over ten thousand troops (as workers) to the Russian front. Supposedly to dig trenches but somehow they are given guns and ammo for the task.
But thats ok because I remember that Cuba had to send Russia troops back in their Angola confrontation.
I just found out that Russia has removed over half of its troops from the Finish border. Supposedly to move them into the Ukraine to replace losses.
By ALL accounts Russia should have taken all of the Ukraine inside a week. A month at most. But they did not. Buy that metric alone Russia has already lost.
It has lost far far far more equipment and personnel than it could ever afford to replace.
But there is a good side to this. They have found out exactly how many of their tanks and armored vehicles actually work.(less than half)
They count vehicles ready for combat different that the west does. For years they counted ships ready for combat that were 25% manned and simply capable of movement.
Russia is asking Iran for drones and NK for artillery shells and small arms ammo. We will see if NK can supply them with anything. By my last check NK can not even afford fuel for its few operational jets. You NEVER hear of NK flying planes around their borders.
China is obviously not giving Russia much of anything other than lip service.
If Russia is asking those nations for help they have obviously scraped bottom on their ammo stocks also.
Their solders and sailors are trained to a far different standard that the west does. Almost not at all.
The west trains all its sailors in some firefighting and damage control along with simple first aid. Russian sailors are not trained in any of this unless it is their specific job.
Remember when the Moskva sank. There was little evidence the Russian sailors even tried to put out the fire, I am sure a few did but to no avail. That ship should never have sank.
The Russian conscript is trained just as badly.
Russia just forced the Wagner mercenaries who stayed to swear allegiance to the Russia flag and join the army. If they are not paid and treated like they are used to I see no reason why they would fight as hard as they used to.
The ones who quit and left are now being looked for and asked or begged to return.
https://news.yahoo.com/russia-creates-mercenary-company-lure-165400766.html
Yeh Russia looks like its winning.
Col Douglas Macgregor: “We Don’t Want War With Russia (speech at Ron Paul Institute)”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BPEJHXQKcCE
Colonel Douglas Macgregor Straight Calls – Analysis of breaking news and in-depth discussion of current geopolitical events in the United States of America and the world.
17. Sep 23